Club Friendlies 3
Jan 23, 2026 9.30am
Arena Lublin

Motor Lublin vs FK Vardar - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Motor Lublin

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jan 16, 2026 2.30pm
Motor Lublin 5 - 1 IMT Novi Beograd

FK Vardar

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jan 17, 2026 12.30pm
Jablonec 6 - 2 FK Vardar

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Motor Lublin win with a probability of 54.5%. A draw has a probability of 22.94% and a win for FK Vardar has a probability of 22.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a Motor Lublin win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (7.66%) and 2-0 (6.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.8%) , while for a FK Vardar win it is 1-2 (5.55%).

Result

Motor Lublin 54.5% ▲ (+0.12)
Draw 22.94% ▼ (-0.05)
FK Vardar 22.56% ▼ (-0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

62.54% ▲ (+0.11)

Goals

Over 1.5 83.34% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 1.5 16.66% ▼ (-0.11)
Over 2.5 62.44% ▲ (+0.17)
Under 2.5 37.56% ▼ (-0.17)
Over 3.5 42.17% ▲ (+0.18)
Under 3.5 57.83% ▼ (-0.18)
Over 4.5 27.63% ▲ (+0.15)
Under 4.5 72.37% ▼ (-0.15)

First Half Winner

Motor Lublin 40.67% ▲ (+0.25)
Draw 38.12% ▼ (-0.11)
FK Vardar 21.22% ▼ (-0.14)

Team To Score First

Motor Lublin 58.98% ▲ (+0.04)
No Goal 4.36% ▼ (-0.05)
FK Vardar 36.66% ▲ (+0.01)

Corners

Over 8 54.18% ▼ (-0.01)
Equal 8 11.17%
Under 8 34.64%
Over 9 43.1% ▼ (-0.01)
Equal 9 11.08%
Under 9 45.82% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 10.5 32.96% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 10.5 67.04% ▲ (+0.02)

Motor Lublin Goals

Over 1.5 56.96% ▲ (+0.18)
Under 1.5 43.04% ▼ (-0.18)
Over 2.5 32.13% ▲ (+0.19)
Under 2.5 67.87% ▼ (-0.18)
Over 3.5 14.83% ▲ (+0.14)
Under 3.5 85.17% ▼ (-0.13)

FK Vardar Goals

Over 0.5 61.77% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 0.5 38.23% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 1.5 30.78% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 1.5 69.22% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 2.5 10.86% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 2.5 89.14% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 3.5 4.14% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 3.5 95.86% ▼ (-0.02)

Score analysis

Motor Lublin 54.51%
Draw 22.94%
FK Vardar 22.56%
Motor Lublin
2-1 @ 9.36%
1-0 @ 7.66% ▼ (-0.04)
2-0 @ 6.98%
3-1 @ 6.18% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 5.09% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 4.6% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 14.64% ▲ (+0.13)
Total : 54.51%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.8% ▼ (-0.02)
2-2 @ 6.16%
0-0 @ 4.36% ▼ (-0.05)
3-3 @ 1.43% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.19% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 22.94%
FK Vardar
1-2 @ 5.55% ▼ (-0.04)
0-1 @ 4.65% ▼ (-0.02)
0-2 @ 3.12% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 2.33%
1-3 @ 2.2% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.95%
Total : 22.56%