Club Friendlies 3
Jan 23, 2026 9.30am
Arena Lublin

Motor Lublin vs FK Vardar - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Motor Lublin

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jan 16, 2026 2.30pm
Motor Lublin 5 - 1 IMT Novi Beograd

FK Vardar

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jan 17, 2026 12.30pm
Jablonec 6 - 2 FK Vardar

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Motor Lublin win with a probability of 54.5%. A draw has a probability of 22.94% and a win for FK Vardar has a probability of 22.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a Motor Lublin win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (7.66%) and 2-0 (6.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.8%) , while for a FK Vardar win it is 1-2 (5.55%).

Result

Motor Lublin 54.5% (+0.12)
Draw 22.94% (-0.05)
FK Vardar 22.56% (-0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

62.54% (+0.11)

Goals

Over 1.5 83.34% (+0.11)
Under 1.5 16.66% (-0.11)
Over 2.5 62.44% (+0.17)
Under 2.5 37.56% (-0.17)
Over 3.5 42.17% (+0.18)
Under 3.5 57.83% (-0.18)
Over 4.5 27.63% (+0.15)
Under 4.5 72.37% (-0.15)

First Half Winner

Motor Lublin 40.67% (+0.25)
Draw 38.12% (-0.11)
FK Vardar 21.22% (-0.14)

Team To Score First

Motor Lublin 58.98% (+0.04)
No Goal 4.36% (-0.05)
FK Vardar 36.66% (+0.01)

Corners

Over 8 54.18% (-0.01)
Equal 8 11.17%
Under 8 34.64%
Over 9 43.1% (-0.01)
Equal 9 11.08%
Under 9 45.82% (+0.01)
Over 10.5 32.96% (-0.01)
Under 10.5 67.04% (+0.02)

Motor Lublin Goals

Over 1.5 56.96% (+0.18)
Under 1.5 43.04% (-0.18)
Over 2.5 32.13% (+0.19)
Under 2.5 67.87% (-0.18)
Over 3.5 14.83% (+0.14)
Under 3.5 85.17% (-0.13)

FK Vardar Goals

Over 0.5 61.77% (-0.05)
Under 0.5 38.23% (+0.05)
Over 1.5 30.78% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 69.22% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 10.86% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 89.14% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 4.14% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 95.86% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Motor Lublin 54.51%
Draw 22.94%
FK Vardar 22.56%
Motor Lublin
2-1 @ 9.36%
1-0 @ 7.66% (-0.04)
2-0 @ 6.98%
3-1 @ 6.18% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 5.09% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 4.6% (+0.01)
Other @ 14.64% (+0.13)
Total : 54.51%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.8% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 6.16%
0-0 @ 4.36% (-0.05)
3-3 @ 1.43% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.19% (+0.02)
Total : 22.94%
FK Vardar
1-2 @ 5.55% (-0.04)
0-1 @ 4.65% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 3.12% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 2.33%
1-3 @ 2.2% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.95%
Total : 22.56%