Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pogon Szczecin win with a probability of 50.55%. A draw had a probability of 26.33% and a win for Turan had a probability of 23.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pogon Szczecin win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.58%) and 2-0 (8.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.94%) , while for a Turan win it was 0-1 (7.05%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.