Conference League
Feb 26, 2026 5.45pm
2
4
ET Stadio Artemio Franchi
  • David de Gea 46' yellowcard
  • Jack Harrison 46' yellowcard
  • Manor Solomon 62' yellowcard
  • Nicolò Fagioli 62' yellowcard
  • Moise Kean 89' yellowcard
  • Albert Gudmundsson 100' yellowcard
  • Nicolò Fagioli 107' goal
  • Taras Romanczuk 114' goal
  • goal Bartosz Mazurek 23'
  • yellowcard Dawid Drachal 36'
  • goal Bartosz Mazurek 45'+3'
  • goal Bartosz Mazurek 49'
  • yellowcard Samed Bazdar 66'
  • yellowcard Leon Flach 89'
  • yellowcard Dimitris Rallis 106'
  • yellowcard Yuki Kobayashi 117'
  • goal Jesús Imaz 118'

Fiorentina vs Jagiellonia Bialystok - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Fiorentina

All competitions
Conference League
Last game
Feb 19, 2026 8.00pm
Jagiellonia 0 - 3 Fiorentina

Jagiellonia Bialystok

All competitions
Conference League
Last game
Feb 19, 2026 8.00pm
Jagiellonia 0 - 3 Fiorentina

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 45.99%. A win for Jagiellonia Bialystok had a probability of 27.42% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.2%) and 2-0 (8.12%). The likeliest Jagiellonia Bialystok win was 0-1 (8.32%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%).

Result

Fiorentina 45.99% (+0.04)
Draw 26.6% (-0.03)
Jagiellonia Bialystok 27.42%

Both Teams to Score: 

49.86% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 71.19% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 28.81% (-0.05)
Over 2.5 46.7% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 53.3% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 25.21% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 74.79% (-0.03)
Over 4.5 13.78% (+0.01)
Under 4.5 86.22% (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Fiorentina 31.52%
Draw 42.61%
Jagiellonia Bialystok 25.87%

Team To Score First

Fiorentina 49.99% (+0.03)
No Goal 8.54% (-0.04)
Jagiellonia Bialystok 41.47% (+0.01)

Corners

Over 8 56.95%
Equal 8 11.52%
Under 8 31.52%
Over 9 45.3%
Equal 9 11.66%
Under 9 43.05%
Over 10.5 34.46%
Under 10.5 65.54%

Fiorentina Goals

Over 1.5 41.72% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 58.28% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 17.81% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 82.19% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 6.03% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 93.97% (+0.02)

Jagiellonia Bialystok Goals

Over 0.5 61.33% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 38.67% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 27.57% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 72.43% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 9.32% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 90.68% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 2.72%
Under 3.5 97.28%

Score analysis

Fiorentina 45.97%
Draw 26.6%
Jagiellonia Bialystok 27.41%
Fiorentina
1-0 @ 11.93%
2-1 @ 9.2%
2-0 @ 8.12% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 4.18%
3-0 @ 4.14%
3-2 @ 2.48%
Other @ 5.92%
Total : 45.97%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.06% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 8.54% (-0.04)
2-2 @ 4.91%
Other @ 0.11% (-0.01)
Total : 26.6%
Jagiellonia Bialystok
0-1 @ 8.32% (-0.02)
1-2 @ 6.53%
0-2 @ 4.33% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.33%
2-3 @ 1.68% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.61%
Other @ 2.61% (+0.01)
Total : 27.41%

Head to Head

Conference League
Feb 19, 2026 8.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 0
FT Stadion Miejski
  • Dawid Drachal 60' yellowcard
  • Dimitris Rallis 68' yellowcard
  • 68' yellowcard
  • Eryk Kozlowski 89' yellowcard
  • Youssuf Sylla 89' yellowcard
  • goal Luca Ranieri 53'
  • goal Rolando Mandragora 65'
  • yellowcard Marin Pongracic 68'
  • yellowcard Fabiano Parisi 68'
  • yellowcard Fabiano Parisi 69'
  • yellowcard 69'
  • yellowcard Roberto Piccoli 81'
  • yellowcard Luís Balbo 84'