Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jagiellonia Bialystok win with a probability of 49.01%. A win for Radomiak Radom had a probability of 26.12% and a draw had a probability of 24.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jagiellonia Bialystok win was 2-1 with a probability of 10.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.94%) and 2-0 (7.96%). The likeliest Radomiak Radom win was 1-2 (6.65%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.