Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Radomiak Radom win with a probability of 42.9%. A win for Portimonense had a probability of 29.12% and a draw had a probability of 27.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Radomiak Radom win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.43%) and 0-2 (6.87%). The likeliest Portimonense win was 1-0 (8.05%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.