Bundesliga Gameweek 25
Mar 7, 2026 2.30pm
Europa-Park Stadion

Freiburg vs Bayer Leverkusen - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Freiburg

All competitions
Last game
Mar 1, 2026 4.30pm
Frankfurt 2 - 0 Freiburg
Goals scored
32
Top scorer
Igor Matanovic

Bayer Leverkusen

All competitions
Last game
Mar 4, 2026 7.30pm
Hamburger SV 0 - 1 B. Leverkusen
Goals scored
44
Top scorer
Martin Terrier

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Freiburg win with a probability of 40.83%. A win for Bayer Leverkusen has a probability of 33.44% and a draw has a probability of 25.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.11%) and 2-0 (6.46%). The likeliest Bayer Leverkusen win is 0-1 (7.89%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.2%).

Result

Freiburg 40.83% (-2.65)
Draw 25.74% (+0.28)
Bayer Leverkusen 33.44% (+2.37)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.56% (+0.32)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.35% (-0.14)
Under 1.5 23.65% (+0.13)
Over 2.5 52.56% (-0.25)
Under 2.5 47.44% (+0.25)
Over 3.5 29.92% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 70.08% (-0.02)
Over 4.5 16.73% (-0.01)
Under 4.5 83.27% (+0.01)

First Half Winner

Freiburg 33.99% (-1.12)
Draw 40.51% (+0.75)
Bayer Leverkusen 25.5% (+0.38)

Team To Score First

Freiburg 51.39% (-1.89)
No Goal 6.47% (+0.13)
Bayer Leverkusen 42.14% (+1.76)

Corners

Over 8 54.21% (+0.15)
Equal 8 11.88% (-0.10)
Under 8 33.91% (-0.05)
Over 9 42.43% (+0.22)
Equal 9 11.78% (-0.09)
Under 9 45.79% (-0.15)
Over 10.5 31.73% (+0.27)
Under 10.5 68.27% (-0.28)

Freiburg Goals

Over 1.5 41.1% (-2.18)
Under 1.5 58.9% (+2.18)
Over 2.5 17.31% (-1.54)
Under 2.5 82.69% (+1.54)
Over 3.5 5.95% (-0.68)
Under 3.5 94.05% (+0.68)

Bayer Leverkusen Goals

Over 0.5 68.66% (+1.72)
Under 0.5 31.34% (-1.73)
Over 1.5 35.36% (+1.97)
Under 1.5 64.64% (-1.96)
Over 2.5 13.91% (+1.27)
Under 2.5 86.09% (-1.27)
Over 3.5 4.48% (+0.56)
Under 3.5 95.52% (-0.55)

Score analysis

Freiburg 40.82%
Draw 25.73%
Bayer Leverkusen 33.43%
Freiburg
1-0 @ 9.27% (-0.34)
2-1 @ 9.11% (-0.37)
2-0 @ 6.46% (-0.47)
3-1 @ 4.1% (-0.35)
3-0 @ 3.31% (-0.44)
3-2 @ 2.76% (-0.09)
Other @ 5.81% (-0.66)
Total : 40.82%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.2% (+0.17)
0-0 @ 6.47% (+0.13)
2-2 @ 5.73% (+0.03)
3-3 @ 1.19%
Other @ 0.14% (-0.03)
Total : 25.73%
Bayer Leverkusen
0-1 @ 7.89% (+0.30)
1-2 @ 7.81% (+0.28)
0-2 @ 5.15% (+0.48)
1-3 @ 3.35% (+0.32)
2-3 @ 2.49% (+0.18)
0-3 @ 2.4% (+0.24)
Other @ 4.34% (+0.59)
Total : 33.43%

Head to Head

Bundesliga
Oct 26, 2025 2.30pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Bundesliga Gameweek 32
May 4, 2025 4.30pm
2
2
HT : 1 0
FT Schwarzwald-Stadion
  • Johan Manzambi 27' yellowcard
  • Maximilian Eggestein 44' goal
  • Piero Hincapie 48' goal
  • yellowcard Amine Adli 66'
  • goal Florian Wirtz 82'
  • yellowcard Alex Grimaldo 88'
  • goal Jonathan Tah 90'+3'
Bundesliga Gameweek 15
Dec 21, 2024 5.30pm
5
1
HT : 1 0
FT BayArena
  • Patrik Schick 45'+1' goal
  • Florian Wirtz 51' goal
  • Patrik Schick 67' goal
  • Patrik Schick 74' goal
  • Patrik Schick 77' goal
  • Patrik Schick 78' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Lukas Kubler 24'
  • goal Vincenzo Grifo 55'
  • yellowcard Merlin Rohl 90'+1'
Bundesliga Gameweek 26
Mar 17, 2024 2.30pm
2
3
HT : 1 2
FT Schwarzwald-Stadion
  • Ritsu Doan 10' goal
  • Nicolas Hofler 72' yellowcard
  • Yannik Keitel 79' goal
  • goal Florian Wirtz 2'
  • goal Adam Hlozek 40'
  • goal Patrik Schick 53'
Bundesliga Gameweek 9
Oct 29, 2023 4.30pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT BayArena
  • Florian Wirtz 36' goal
  • Jonas Hofmann 60' goal
  • yellowcard Lukas Kubler 14'
  • goal Manuel Gulde 70'
  • yellowcard Christian Streich 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Lucas Holer 90'+4'
Bundesliga Gameweek 22
Feb 26, 2023 2.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Vincenzo Grifo 29' goal
  • goal Sardar Azmoun 67'