Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 40.86%. A win for Bayer Leverkusen had a probability of 33.37% and a draw had a probability of 25.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.13%) and 2-0 (6.46%). The likeliest Bayer Leverkusen win was 0-1 (7.87%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.