Bundesliga
Feb 14, 2026 2.30pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT PreZero Arena
  • Fisnik Asllani 46' goal
  • Ozan Kabak 51' goal
  • Alexander Prass 73' yellowcard
  • Max Moerstedt 74' yellowcard
  • Ihlas Bebou 86' yellowcard
  • Valentin Gendrey 90'+4' yellowcard
  • Valentin Gendrey 90'+5' goal
  • yellowcard Max Rosenfelder 46'
  • yellowcard Anthony Jung 57'
  • yellowcard Igor Matanovic 58'
  • yellowcard Vincenzo Grifo 72'
  • yellowcard Niklas Beste 88'

Hoffenheim vs Freiburg - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Hoffenheim

All competitions
Last game
Feb 8, 2026 4.30pm
Bayern 5 - 1 Hoffenheim
Goals scored
54
Top scorer
Andrej Kramaric

Freiburg

All competitions
Last game
Feb 7, 2026 2.30pm
Freiburg 1 - 0 Werder Bremen
Goals scored
37
Top scorer
Igor Matanovic

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 50.76%. A win for Freiburg had a probability of 25.67% and a draw had a probability of 23.57%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.57%) and 2-0 (8.44%). The likeliest Freiburg win was 0-1 (6.44%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.01%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.

Result

Hoffenheim 50.76%
Draw 23.57% (-0.01)
Freiburg 25.67% (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.83% (+0.02)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.81% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 22.19% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 54.5% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 45.5% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 32.39% (+0.07)
Under 3.5 67.61% (-0.04)
Over 4.5 18.99% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 81.01% (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Hoffenheim 36.29% (-0.14)
Draw 39.01% (+0.09)
Freiburg 24.69% (+0.04)

Team To Score First

Hoffenheim 54.16% (-0.02)
No Goal 5.69% (-0.01)
Freiburg 40.15% (+0.02)

Corners

Over 8 59.14% (-0.16)
Equal 8 11.37% (+0.01)
Under 8 29.49% (+0.15)
Over 9 47.42% (-0.16)
Equal 9 11.72%
Under 9 40.86% (+0.16)
Over 10.5 36.36% (-0.15)
Under 10.5 63.65% (+0.15)

Hoffenheim Goals

Over 1.5 49.75% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 50.25% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 23.86%
Under 2.5 76.14%
Over 3.5 9.41%
Under 3.5 90.59%

Freiburg Goals

Over 0.5 61.68% (+0.03)
Under 0.5 38.32% (-0.03)
Over 1.5 29.38% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 70.62% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 10.16% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 89.84% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 2.98% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 97.02% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Hoffenheim 50.76%
Draw 23.57%
Freiburg 25.66%
Hoffenheim
1-0 @ 10.05% (+0.02)
2-1 @ 9.57% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 8.44%
3-1 @ 5.28% (+0.03)
3-0 @ 4.73% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 3.29%
Other @ 9.4%
Total : 50.76%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.01% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.71% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 5.69% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.15%
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 23.57%
Freiburg
0-1 @ 6.44% (+0.02)
1-2 @ 6.36% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 3.86% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 2.42% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 2.17% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.44% (-0.03)
Other @ 2.97% (+0.02)
Total : 25.66%

Head to Head

Bundesliga
Sep 28, 2025 2.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Bundesliga Gameweek 30
Apr 19, 2025 2.30pm
3
2
HT : 2 2
FT Schwarzwald-Stadion
  • Lucas Holer 28' goal
  • Ritsu Doan 36' goal
  • Lucas Holer 57' goal
  • Patrick Osterhage 59' yellowcard
  • Lucas Holer 72' yellowcard
  • Ritsu Doan 74' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Stanley Nsoki 39'
  • goal Marius Bulter 45'+2'
  • goal Andrej Kramaric 45'+5'
  • yellowcard Tom Bischof 76'
Bundesliga Gameweek 13
Dec 8, 2024 4.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT DnB NOR Arena
  • Tom Bischof 73' goal
  • Dennis Geiger 81' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Patrick Osterhage 26'
  • goal Matthias Ginter 68'
Bundesliga Gameweek 18
Jan 20, 2024 2.30pm
3
2
HT : 1 0
FT Schwarzwald-Stadion
  • Lucas Holer 37' goal
  • Manuel Gulde 43' yellowcard
  • Vincenzo Grifo 55' goal
  • Vincenzo Grifo 56' yellowcard
  • Manuel Gulde 82' redcard
  • Roland Sallai 85' goal
  • yellowcard Pavel Kaderabek 8'
  • yellowcard Ozan Kabak 31'
  • goal Wout Weghorst 57'
  • goal Maximilian Beier 77'
  • yellowcard Luca Philipp 87'
Bundesliga Gameweek 1
Aug 19, 2023 2.30pm
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT Campo La Quinta
  • Ozan Kabak 50' goal
  • yellowcard Philipp Lienhart 15'
  • goal Attila Szalai 39' (OG)
  • goal Roland Sallai 45'+3'
Bundesliga Gameweek 24
Mar 12, 2023 2.30pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Maximilian Eggestein 5' goal
  • Ritsu Doan 89' goal
  • goal Angelo Stiller 48'