Bundesliga Gameweek 21
Feb 7, 2026 2.30pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Europa-Park Stadion
  • Niklas Beste 13' goal
  • Yuito Suzuki 56' yellowcard
  • Anthony Jung 68' yellowcard
  • Jordy Makengo 68' yellowcard
  • Lucas Höler 84' yellowcard
  • Derry Scherhant 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Samuel Mbangula 62'
  • yellowcard Felix Agu 62'
  • yellowcard Marco Grüll 84'
  • yellowcard Cameron Puertas 84'
  • yellowcard Jovan Milosevic 88'

Freiburg vs Werder Bremen - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Freiburg

All competitions
Last game
Feb 1, 2026 2.30pm
Stuttgart 1 - 0 Freiburg
Goals scored
35
Top scorer
Igor Matanovic

Werder Bremen

All competitions
Last game
Jan 31, 2026 2.30pm
Werder Bremen 1 - 1 Borussia M'bach
Goals scored
30
Top scorer
Jens Stage

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 63.13%. A draw had a probability of 20.29% and a win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 16.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 10.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.62%) and 2-0 (10.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.77%) , while for a Werder Bremen win it was 0-1 (4.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.

Result

Freiburg 63.13% (+0.25)
Draw 20.29% (-0.09)
Werder Bremen 16.54% (-0.18)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.86% (-0.12)

Goals

Over 1.5 79.35% (-0.07)
Under 1.5 20.65% (+0.06)
Over 2.5 57.07% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 42.93% (+0.03)
Over 3.5 34.73% (-0.11)
Under 3.5 65.27% (+0.10)
Over 4.5 22.2% (-0.08)
Under 4.5 77.8% (+0.07)

First Half Winner

Freiburg 49.23% (+0.03)
Draw 33.69% (+0.08)
Werder Bremen 17.08% (-0.12)

Team To Score First

Freiburg 68.09% (+0.07)
No Goal 5.11% (+0.02)
Werder Bremen 26.8% (-0.08)

Corners

Over 8 59.69% (-0.15)
Equal 8 11.84% (+0.02)
Under 8 28.48% (+0.13)
Over 9 47.4% (-0.15)
Equal 9 12.29% (+0.01)
Under 9 40.31% (+0.14)
Over 10.5 35.79% (-0.15)
Under 10.5 64.21% (+0.15)

Freiburg Goals

Over 1.5 59.35% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 40.65% (-0.08)
Over 2.5 32.33% (+0.18)
Under 2.5 67.67% (-0.18)
Over 3.5 14.8% (+0.08)
Under 3.5 85.2% (-0.07)

Werder Bremen Goals

Over 0.5 52.78% (-0.25)
Under 0.5 47.22% (+0.25)
Over 1.5 20.75% (-0.27)
Under 1.5 79.25% (+0.27)
Over 2.5 5.71% (-0.16)
Under 2.5 94.29% (+0.16)
Over 3.5 1.51% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 98.49% (+0.04)

Score analysis

Freiburg 63.13%
Draw 20.3%
Werder Bremen 16.53%
Freiburg
2-1 @ 10.84%
1-0 @ 10.62% (+0.07)
2-0 @ 10.15% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 6.54% (+0.05)
3-0 @ 6.51% (+0.13)
3-2 @ 3.68% (-0.03)
Other @ 14.79% (+0.07)
Total : 63.13%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.77% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 5.11% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 4.61% (-0.05)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 20.3%
Werder Bremen
0-1 @ 4.88% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 4.4% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 2.35% (-0.05)
2-3 @ 1.42% (-0.06)
1-3 @ 1.38% (-0.04)
Other @ 1.5% (-0.04)
Total : 16.53%

Head to Head

Bundesliga
Sep 20, 2025 2.30pm
0
3
HT : 0 0
FT
Bundesliga Gameweek 23
Feb 21, 2025 7.30pm
5
0
HT : 2 0
FT Schwarzwald-Stadion
  • Kiliann Sildillia 15' goal
  • Maximilian Eggestein 21' yellowcard
  • Vincenzo Grifo 33' goal
  • Matthias Ginter 34' yellowcard
  • Vincenzo Grifo 57' goal
  • Merlin Rohl 62' yellowcard
  • Ritsu Doan 76' goal
  • Ritsu Doan 90'+2' goal
Bundesliga Gameweek 6
Oct 5, 2024 2.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT wohninvest WESERSTADION (Bremen)
  • Julian Malatini 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Maximilian Eggestein 36'
  • goal Ritsu Doan 75'
  • yellowcard Patrick Osterhage 83'
Bundesliga Gameweek 19
Jan 27, 2024 2.30pm
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT Weserstadion
  • Marvin Ducksch 9' goal
  • Niklas Stark 50' yellowcard
  • Justin Njinmah 53' goal
  • Senne Lynen 89' yellowcard
  • Julian Malatini 90'+3' goal
  • goal Vincenzo Grifo 28'
  • yellowcard Christian Streich 89'
  • yellowcard Michael Gregoritsch 90'
Bundesliga Gameweek 2
Aug 26, 2023 2.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Schwarzwald-Stadion
  • Lukas Kubler 38' yellowcard
  • Nicolas Hofler 45' yellowcard
  • Maximilian Philipp 90'+6' goal
  • yellowcard Romano Schmid 6'
  • yellowcard Marco Friedl 55'
Bundesliga Gameweek 28
Apr 16, 2023 2.30pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Maximilian Philipp 46' goal
  • goal Roland Sallai 66'
  • goal Lucas Holer 71'