Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 63.13%. A draw had a probability of 20.29% and a win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 16.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 10.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.62%) and 2-0 (10.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.77%) , while for a Werder Bremen win it was 0-1 (4.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.