Bundesliga Gameweek 21
Freiburg
Feb 7, 2026 2.30pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Europa-Park Stadion
Werder Bremen
  • Niklas Beste 13' goal
  • Johan Manzambi 52' redcard
  • Yuito Suzuki 56' yellowcard
  • Anthony Jung 68' yellowcard
  • Jordy Makengo 68' yellowcard
  • Lucas Höler 84' yellowcard
  • Derry Scherhant 84' yellowcard
  • Julian Schuster 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Samuel Mbangula 62'
  • yellowcard Felix Agu 62'
  • yellowcard Marco Grüll 84'
  • yellowcard Cameron Puertas 84'
  • yellowcard Jovan Milosevic 88'
  • yellowcard Marco Friedl 90'

Freiburg vs Werder Bremen - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Freiburg

All competitions
Last game
Feb 1, 2026 2.30pm
Stuttgart 1 - 0 Freiburg
Goals scored
51
Top scorer
Igor Matanovic

Werder Bremen

All competitions
Last game
Jan 31, 2026 2.30pm
Werder Bremen 1 - 1 Borussia M'bach
Goals scored
37
Top scorer
Jens Stage

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 63.13%. A draw had a probability of 20.29% and a win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 16.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 10.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.62%) and 2-0 (10.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.77%) , while for a Werder Bremen win it was 0-1 (4.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.

Result

Freiburg 63.13% ▲ (+0.25)
Draw 20.29% ▼ (-0.09)
Werder Bremen 16.54% ▼ (-0.18)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.86% ▼ (-0.12)

Goals

Over 1.5 79.35% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 1.5 20.65% ▲ (+0.06)
Over 2.5 57.07% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 2.5 42.93% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 3.5 34.73% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 3.5 65.27% ▲ (+0.10)
Over 4.5 22.2% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 4.5 77.8% ▲ (+0.07)

First Half Winner

Freiburg 49.23% ▲ (+0.03)
Draw 33.69% ▲ (+0.08)
Werder Bremen 17.08% ▼ (-0.12)

Team To Score First

Freiburg 68.09% ▲ (+0.07)
No Goal 5.11% ▲ (+0.02)
Werder Bremen 26.8% ▼ (-0.08)

Corners

Over 8 59.69% ▼ (-0.15)
Equal 8 11.84% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 8 28.48% ▲ (+0.13)
Over 9 47.4% ▼ (-0.15)
Equal 9 12.29% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 9 40.31% ▲ (+0.14)
Over 10.5 35.79% ▼ (-0.15)
Under 10.5 64.21% ▲ (+0.15)

Freiburg Goals

Over 1.5 59.35% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 1.5 40.65% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 2.5 32.33% ▲ (+0.18)
Under 2.5 67.67% ▼ (-0.18)
Over 3.5 14.8% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 3.5 85.2% ▼ (-0.07)

Werder Bremen Goals

Over 0.5 52.78% ▼ (-0.25)
Under 0.5 47.22% ▲ (+0.25)
Over 1.5 20.75% ▼ (-0.27)
Under 1.5 79.25% ▲ (+0.27)
Over 2.5 5.71% ▼ (-0.16)
Under 2.5 94.29% ▲ (+0.16)
Over 3.5 1.51% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 3.5 98.49% ▲ (+0.04)

Score analysis

Freiburg 63.13%
Draw 20.3%
Werder Bremen 16.53%
Freiburg
2-1 @ 10.84%
1-0 @ 10.62% ▲ (+0.07)
2-0 @ 10.15% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 6.54% ▲ (+0.05)
3-0 @ 6.51% ▲ (+0.13)
3-2 @ 3.68% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 14.79% ▲ (+0.07)
Total : 63.13%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.77% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 5.11% ▲ (+0.02)
2-2 @ 4.61% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 20.3%
Werder Bremen
0-1 @ 4.88% ▼ (-0.01)
1-2 @ 4.4% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 2.35% ▼ (-0.05)
2-3 @ 1.42% ▼ (-0.06)
1-3 @ 1.38% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 1.5% ▼ (-0.04)
Total : 16.53%

Head to Head

Bundesliga Gameweek 4
Werder Bremen
Sep 20, 2025 2.30pm
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT Wohninvest Weserstadion
Freiburg
  • Cameron Puertas 36' yellowcard
  • Jens Stage 48' yellowcard
  • Marco Grüll 49' yellowcard
  • Felix Agu 71' yellowcard
  • Victor Boniface 90' yellowcard
  • goal Vincenzo Grifo 33'
  • yellowcard Niklas Beste 35'
  • goal Junior Adamu 54'
  • goal Karim Coulibaly 75' (OG)
  • yellowcard Lukas Kübler 81'
Bundesliga Gameweek 23
Freiburg
Feb 21, 2025 7.30pm
5
0
HT : 2 0
FT Schwarzwald-Stadion
Werder Bremen
  • Kiliann Sildillia 15' goal
  • Maximilian Eggestein 21' yellowcard
  • Vincenzo Grifo 33' goal
  • Matthias Ginter 34' yellowcard
  • Vincenzo Grifo 57' goal
  • Merlin Rohl 62' yellowcard
  • Ritsu Doan 76' goal
  • Ritsu Doan 90'+2' goal
Bundesliga Gameweek 6
Werder Bremen
Oct 5, 2024 2.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT wohninvest WESERSTADION (Bremen)
Freiburg
  • Julian Malatini 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Maximilian Eggestein 36'
  • goal Ritsu Doan 75'
  • yellowcard Patrick Osterhage 83'
Bundesliga Gameweek 19
Werder Bremen
Jan 27, 2024 2.30pm
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT Weserstadion
Freiburg
  • Marvin Ducksch 9' goal
  • Niklas Stark 50' yellowcard
  • Justin Njinmah 53' goal
  • Senne Lynen 89' yellowcard
  • Julian Malatini 90'+3' goal
  • goal Vincenzo Grifo 28'
  • yellowcard Christian Streich 89'
  • yellowcard Michael Gregoritsch 90'
Bundesliga Gameweek 2
Freiburg
Aug 26, 2023 2.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Schwarzwald-Stadion
Werder Bremen
  • Lukas Kubler 38' yellowcard
  • Nicolas Hofler 45' yellowcard
  • Maximilian Philipp 90'+6' goal
  • yellowcard Romano Schmid 6'
  • yellowcard Marco Friedl 55'
Bundesliga Gameweek 28
Werder Bremen
Apr 16, 2023 2.30pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Freiburg
  • Maximilian Philipp 46' goal
  • goal Roland Sallai 66'
  • goal Lucas Holer 71'

Form Data

Stuttgart 1 - 0 Freiburg
Lille 1 - 0 Freiburg
Freiburg 2 - 1 FC Koln
Freiburg 1 - 0 M. Tel Aviv
Augsburg 2 - 2 Freiburg
RB Leipzig 2 - 0 Freiburg
Werder Bremen 1 - 1 Borussia M'bach
Werder Bremen 0 - 2 Hoffenheim
B. Leverkusen 1 - 0 Werder Bremen
Werder Bremen 3 - 3 Frankfurt
Dortmund 3 - 0 Werder Bremen
St Pauli 0 - 0 Werder Bremen