Primeira Liga
Mar 22, 2026 6.00pm
1
4
HT : 0 1
FT Complexo Desportivo FC Alverca
  • Davy Jean Carl Kamon Gui 64' yellowcard
  • Marko Milovanović 64' yellowcard
  • Vasco Moreira 65' yellowcard
  • Davy Jean Carl Kamon Gui 65' yellowcard
  • Marko Milovanović 65' yellowcard
  • Mathis Clairicia 74' yellowcard
  • Mathis Clairicia 75' yellowcard
  • Steven Baseya 80' yellowcard
  • Marko Milovanović 83' goal
  • goal Pedro Gonçalves 22'
  • yellowcard Georgios Vagiannidis 27'
  • goal Luis Suárez 50'
  • goal Geny Catamo 68'
  • yellowcard Zeno Debast 72'
  • yellowcard Daniel Bragança 72'
  • yellowcard Ricardo Mangas 82'
  • yellowcard Rafael Nel 82'
  • goal Pedro Gonçalves 86'

Alverca vs Sporting Lisbon - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Alverca

All competitions
Last game
Mar 14, 2026 6.00pm
Gil Vicente 2 - 2 Alverca
Goals scored
27
Top scorer
Marko Milovanovic

Sporting Lisbon

All competitions
Last game
Mar 15, 2026 12.00am
Sporting Lisbon 0 - 0 Tondela
Goals scored
68
Top scorer
Luis Suarez Charris

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 53.89%. A draw had a probability of 26.18% and a win for Alverca had a probability of 19.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.77%) and 1-2 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.23%) , while for a Alverca win it was 1-0 (7.06%).

Result

Alverca 19.93% (-0.08)
Draw 26.18% (+0.04)
Sporting Lisbon 53.89% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

43.82% (-0.11)

Goals

Over 1.5 67.83% (-0.07)
Under 1.5 32.17% (+0.07)
Over 2.5 42.95% (-0.08)
Under 2.5 57.05% (+0.08)
Over 3.5 22.46% (-0.17)
Under 3.5 77.54% (+0.17)
Over 4.5 12.58% (-0.11)
Under 4.5 87.42% (+0.11)

First Half Winner

Alverca 23.1%
Draw 41.69%
Sporting Lisbon 35.2%

Team To Score First

Alverca 36.77%
No Goal 10.18% (+0.02)
Sporting Lisbon 53.05% (-0.03)

Corners

Over 8 39.19% (-0.24)
Equal 8 11.33% (-0.02)
Under 8 49.48% (+0.25)
Over 9 29.22% (-0.20)
Equal 9 9.97% (-0.04)
Under 9 60.81% (+0.24)
Over 10.5 21.09% (-0.15)
Under 10.5 78.91% (+0.15)

Alverca Goals

Over 1.5 19.85% (-0.11)
Under 1.5 80.15% (+0.11)
Over 2.5 5.87% (-0.05)
Under 2.5 94.13% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 1.53% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 98.47% (+0.04)

Sporting Lisbon Goals

Over 0.5 77.43% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 22.57% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 44.85% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 55.15% (+0.05)
Over 2.5 19.97% (-0.05)
Under 2.5 80.03% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 7.14% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 92.86% (+0.04)

Score analysis

Alverca 19.93%
Draw 26.18%
Sporting Lisbon 53.88%
Alverca
1-0 @ 7.06% (-0.02)
2-1 @ 4.92% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 2.88% (-0.03)
3-1 @ 1.51% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 1.12% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 1.02% (+0.03)
Other @ 1.42% (-0.04)
Total : 19.93%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.23% (+0.04)
0-0 @ 10.18% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 3.97% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.18%
Sporting Lisbon
0-1 @ 14.92% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 10.77% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 9.02% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 5.53% (+0.05)
1-3 @ 4.4% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.21% (-0.04)
Other @ 7.03% (-0.03)
Total : 53.88%

Head to Head

Primeira Liga
Oct 31, 2025 8.15pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Taca da Liga
Oct 29, 2025 3.00pm
5
1
HT : 0 0
FT