Primeira Liga Gameweek 27
Mar 22, 2026 6.00pm
Complexo Desportivo FC Alverca

Alverca vs Sporting Lisbon - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Alverca

All competitions
Last game
Mar 14, 2026 6.00pm
Gil Vicente 2 - 2 Alverca
Goals scored
26
Top scorer
Marko Milovanovic

Sporting Lisbon

All competitions
Last game
Mar 15, 2026 12.00am
Sporting Lisbon 0 - 0 Tondela
Goals scored
64
Top scorer
Luis Suarez Charris

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 53.42%. A draw has a probability of 26.31% and a win for Alverca has a probability of 20.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win is 0-1 with a probability of 14.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (10.61%) and 1-2 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.29%) , while for a Alverca win it is 1-0 (7.17%).

Result

Alverca 20.27%
Draw 26.31%
Sporting Lisbon 53.42%

Both Teams to Score: 

44.15%

Goals

Over 1.5 67.88%
Under 1.5 32.12%
Over 2.5 43.02%
Under 2.5 56.98%
Over 3.5 22.59%
Under 3.5 77.41%
Over 4.5 12.63%
Under 4.5 87.37%

First Half Winner

Alverca 23.1%
Draw 41.69%
Sporting Lisbon 35.2%

Team To Score First

Alverca 36.77%
No Goal 10.18%
Sporting Lisbon 53.05%

Corners

Over 8 39.42%
Equal 8 11.35%
Under 8 49.23%
Over 9 29.41%
Equal 9 10.01%
Under 9 60.58%
Over 10.5 21.24%
Under 10.5 78.76%

Alverca Goals

Over 1.5 20.18%
Under 1.5 79.82%
Over 2.5 5.99%
Under 2.5 94.01%
Over 3.5 1.57%
Under 3.5 98.43%

Sporting Lisbon Goals

Over 0.5 77.23%
Under 0.5 22.77%
Over 1.5 44.64%
Under 1.5 55.36%
Over 2.5 19.82%
Under 2.5 80.18%
Over 3.5 7.09%
Under 3.5 92.91%

Score analysis

Alverca 20.27%
Draw 26.31%
Sporting Lisbon 53.43%
Alverca
1-0 @ 7.17%
2-1 @ 4.98%
2-0 @ 2.95%
3-1 @ 1.54%
3-2 @ 1.15%
3-0 @ 1.03%
Other @ 1.45%
Total : 20.27%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.29%
0-0 @ 10.18%
2-2 @ 4.02%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.31%
Sporting Lisbon
0-1 @ 14.78%
0-2 @ 10.61%
1-2 @ 9.04%
0-3 @ 5.39%
1-3 @ 4.4%
2-3 @ 2.24%
Other @ 6.97%
Total : 53.43%

Head to Head

Primeira Liga
Oct 31, 2025 8.15pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Taca da Liga
Oct 29, 2025 3.00pm
5
1
HT : 0 0
FT