Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 53.89%. A draw had a probability of 26.18% and a win for Alverca had a probability of 19.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.77%) and 1-2 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.23%) , while for a Alverca win it was 1-0 (7.06%).