Primeira Liga Gameweek 25
Mar 7, 2026 3.30pm
Complexo Desportivo FC Alverca

Alverca vs AVS - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Alverca

All competitions
Last game
Feb 28, 2026 8.30pm
Guimaraes 1 - 1 Alverca
Goals scored
24
Top scorer
Marko Milovanovic

AVS

All competitions
Last game
Feb 28, 2026 3.30pm
AVS 0 - 0 Estrela Amadora
Goals scored
18
Top scorer
Tomane

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Alverca win with a probability of 59.89%. A draw has a probability of 22.32% and a win for AVS has a probability of 17.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Alverca win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (10.62%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.44%) , while for a AVS win it is 0-1 (5.49%).

Result

Alverca 59.89% (-0.11)
Draw 22.32%
AVS 17.78% (+0.07)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.84% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.21% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 23.79% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 52.65% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 47.35% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 30.01% (-0.07)
Under 3.5 69.98% (+0.07)
Over 4.5 18.58% (-0.07)
Under 4.5 81.42% (+0.07)

First Half Winner

Alverca 45.44%
Draw 38.22%
AVS 16.34%

Team To Score First

Alverca 63.96% (+0.11)
No Goal 6.47% (-0.02)
AVS 29.57% (-0.09)

Corners

Over 8 43.68% (+0.25)
Equal 8 11.53% (+0.05)
Under 8 44.79% (-0.29)
Over 9 33.15% (+0.18)
Equal 9 10.53% (+0.06)
Under 9 56.32% (-0.25)
Over 10.5 24.26% (+0.13)
Under 10.5 75.74% (-0.13)

Alverca Goals

Over 1.5 54.75% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 45.25% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 28.54% (-0.07)
Under 2.5 71.46% (+0.06)
Over 3.5 12.67% (-0.06)
Under 3.5 87.33% (+0.05)

AVS Goals

Over 0.5 51.69% (+0.08)
Under 0.5 48.31% (-0.08)
Over 1.5 20.23% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 79.77% (-0.08)
Over 2.5 5.97% (+0.05)
Under 2.5 94.03% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 1.42%
Under 3.5 98.58%

Score analysis

Alverca 59.9%
Draw 22.31%
AVS 17.78%
Alverca
1-0 @ 11.82% (-0.03)
2-0 @ 10.62% (-0.03)
2-1 @ 9.92% (+0.03)
3-0 @ 6.88% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 5.61% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.54% (-0.01)
Other @ 12.51% (-0.06)
Total : 59.9%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.44% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 6.47% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 4.4% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 22.31%
AVS
0-1 @ 5.49% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 4.82% (+0.05)
0-2 @ 2.5% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 1.42%
2-3 @ 1.27%
0-3 @ 1.02%
Other @ 1.26%
Total : 17.78%

Head to Head

Primeira Liga
Oct 4, 2025 6.00pm
1
3
HT : 0 0
FT