Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alverca win with a probability of 60.03%. A draw had a probability of 22.29% and a win for AVS had a probability of 17.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Alverca win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.63%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.44%) , while for a AVS win it was 0-1 (5.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.