Primeira Liga Gameweek 24
Feb 28, 2026 8.30pm
Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques

Vitoria de Guimaraes vs Alverca - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Vitoria de Guimaraes

All competitions
Last game
Feb 21, 2026 8.30pm
Braga 3 - 2 Guimaraes
Goals scored
27
Top scorer
Oumar Camara

Alverca

All competitions
Last game
Feb 21, 2026 3.30pm
Alverca 1 - 1 Santa Clara
Goals scored
23
Top scorer
Marko Milovanovic

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 55.34%. A draw has a probability of 24.49% and a win for Alverca has a probability of 20.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (10.47%) and 2-0 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.92%) , while for a Alverca win it is 0-1 (6.16%).

Result

Vitoria de Guimaraes 55.34% (+0.33)
Draw 24.49% (-0.13)
Alverca 20.14% (-0.26)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.7% (-0.18)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.94% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 25.06% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 50.17% (-0.05)
Under 2.5 49.83% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 27.36% (-0.11)
Under 3.5 72.64% (+0.10)
Over 4.5 15.31% (-0.05)
Under 4.5 84.69% (+0.05)

First Half Winner

Vitoria de Guimaraes 38.01%
Draw 42.38%
Alverca 19.62%

Team To Score First

Vitoria de Guimaraes 59.07% (-0.11)
No Goal 6.89% (-0.03)
Alverca 34.04% (+0.14)

Corners

Over 8 54.97% (-0.18)
Equal 8 11.93% (+0.02)
Under 8 33.11% (+0.16)
Over 9 43.07% (-0.19)
Equal 9 11.89%
Under 9 45.03% (+0.18)
Over 10.5 32.21% (-0.18)
Under 10.5 67.79% (+0.18)

Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals

Over 1.5 50.46% (+0.18)
Under 1.5 49.54% (-0.18)
Over 2.5 24.09% (+0.22)
Under 2.5 75.91% (-0.22)
Over 3.5 8.92% (+0.09)
Under 3.5 91.08% (-0.10)

Alverca Goals

Over 0.5 56.62% (-0.33)
Under 0.5 43.38% (+0.33)
Over 1.5 22.36% (-0.34)
Under 1.5 77.64% (+0.35)
Over 2.5 6.35% (-0.21)
Under 2.5 93.65% (+0.21)
Over 3.5 1.48% (-0.08)
Under 3.5 98.52% (+0.07)

Score analysis

Vitoria de Guimaraes 55.36%
Draw 24.49%
Alverca 20.13%
Vitoria de Guimaraes
1-0 @ 11.99% (+0.02)
2-1 @ 10.47% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 9.78% (+0.05)
3-0 @ 5.87% (+0.12)
3-1 @ 5.71% (+0.05)
3-2 @ 2.71% (-0.02)
Other @ 8.83% (+0.10)
Total : 55.36%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.92%
0-0 @ 6.89% (-0.03)
2-2 @ 4.71% (-0.06)
Other @ 0.09% (-0.02)
Total : 24.49%
Alverca
0-1 @ 6.16% (-0.05)
1-2 @ 5.54% (-0.04)
0-2 @ 3.05% (-0.05)
1-3 @ 1.64% (-0.04)
2-3 @ 1.41% (-0.05)
Other @ 1.39% (-0.07)
Total : 20.13%

Head to Head

Primeira Liga
Sep 28, 2025 3.30pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT