Primeira Liga Gameweek 24
Feb 28, 2026 8.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques
  • Samu 46' goal
  • Gonçalo Nogueira 56' yellowcard
  • Telmo Arcanjo 73' yellowcard
  • Orest Lebedenko 85' yellowcard
  • Oumar Camara 85' yellowcard
  • goal Figueiredo 65'
  • yellowcard Sandro Lima 72'
  • yellowcard Sandro Lima 73'
  • yellowcard Fabrício Garcia 85'
  • yellowcard Vasco Moreira 85'
  • yellowcard Lincoln Henrique Oliveira dos Santos 85'
  • yellowcard Davy Jean Carl Kamon Gui 90'
  • yellowcard Steven Baseya 90'
  • yellowcard Mathis Clairicia 90'

Vitoria de Guimaraes vs Alverca - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Vitoria de Guimaraes

All competitions
Last game
Feb 21, 2026 8.30pm
Braga 3 - 2 Guimaraes
Goals scored
28
Top scorer
Oumar Camara

Alverca

All competitions
Last game
Feb 21, 2026 3.30pm
Alverca 1 - 1 Santa Clara
Goals scored
24
Top scorer
Marko Milovanovic

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 55.34%. A draw had a probability of 24.49% and a win for Alverca had a probability of 20.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (10.47%) and 2-0 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.92%) , while for a Alverca win it was 0-1 (6.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.

Result

Vitoria de Guimaraes 55.34% (+0.33)
Draw 24.49% (-0.13)
Alverca 20.14% (-0.26)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.7% (-0.18)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.94% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 25.06% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 50.17% (-0.05)
Under 2.5 49.83% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 27.36% (-0.11)
Under 3.5 72.64% (+0.10)
Over 4.5 15.31% (-0.05)
Under 4.5 84.69% (+0.05)

First Half Winner

Vitoria de Guimaraes 38.01%
Draw 42.38%
Alverca 19.62%

Team To Score First

Vitoria de Guimaraes 59.07% (-0.11)
No Goal 6.89% (-0.03)
Alverca 34.04% (+0.14)

Corners

Over 8 54.97% (-0.18)
Equal 8 11.93% (+0.02)
Under 8 33.11% (+0.16)
Over 9 43.07% (-0.19)
Equal 9 11.89%
Under 9 45.03% (+0.18)
Over 10.5 32.21% (-0.18)
Under 10.5 67.79% (+0.18)

Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals

Over 1.5 50.46% (+0.18)
Under 1.5 49.54% (-0.18)
Over 2.5 24.09% (+0.22)
Under 2.5 75.91% (-0.22)
Over 3.5 8.92% (+0.09)
Under 3.5 91.08% (-0.10)

Alverca Goals

Over 0.5 56.62% (-0.33)
Under 0.5 43.38% (+0.33)
Over 1.5 22.36% (-0.34)
Under 1.5 77.64% (+0.35)
Over 2.5 6.35% (-0.21)
Under 2.5 93.65% (+0.21)
Over 3.5 1.48% (-0.08)
Under 3.5 98.52% (+0.07)

Score analysis

Vitoria de Guimaraes 55.36%
Draw 24.49%
Alverca 20.13%
Vitoria de Guimaraes
1-0 @ 11.99% (+0.02)
2-1 @ 10.47% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 9.78% (+0.05)
3-0 @ 5.87% (+0.12)
3-1 @ 5.71% (+0.05)
3-2 @ 2.71% (-0.02)
Other @ 8.83% (+0.10)
Total : 55.36%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.92%
0-0 @ 6.89% (-0.03)
2-2 @ 4.71% (-0.06)
Other @ 0.09% (-0.02)
Total : 24.49%
Alverca
0-1 @ 6.16% (-0.05)
1-2 @ 5.54% (-0.04)
0-2 @ 3.05% (-0.05)
1-3 @ 1.64% (-0.04)
2-3 @ 1.41% (-0.05)
Other @ 1.39% (-0.07)
Total : 20.13%

Head to Head

Primeira Liga
Sep 28, 2025 3.30pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT