Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 55.34%. A draw had a probability of 24.49% and a win for Alverca had a probability of 20.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (10.47%) and 2-0 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.92%) , while for a Alverca win it was 0-1 (6.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.