Primeira Liga Gameweek 23
Feb 21, 2026 3.30pm
Complexo Desportivo FC Alverca

Alverca vs Santa Clara - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Alverca

All competitions
Last game
Feb 13, 2026 8.45pm
Tondela 1 - 1 Alverca
Goals scored
21
Top scorer
Marko Milovanovic

Santa Clara

All competitions
Last game
Feb 13, 2026 6.30pm
Santa Clara 0 - 0 Benfica
Goals scored
16
Top scorer
Elias Manoel

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Alverca win with a probability of 38.41%. A win for Santa Clara has a probability of 32.75% and a draw has a probability of 28.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a Alverca win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (7.99%) and 2-0 (6.82%). The likeliest Santa Clara win is 0-1 (10.9%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (13.3%).

Result

Alverca 38.41% (-0.05)
Draw 28.84% (+0.04)
Santa Clara 32.75% (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.58% (+0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 67.48% (+0.07)
Under 1.5 32.52% (-0.06)
Over 2.5 41.7% (+0.07)
Under 2.5 58.3% (-0.07)
Over 3.5 21.13% (+0.10)
Under 3.5 78.87% (-0.10)
Over 4.5 10.5% (+0.07)
Under 4.5 89.5% (-0.07)

First Half Winner

Alverca 26.33% (-0.05)
Draw 49.38%
Santa Clara 24.29% (+0.06)

Team To Score First

Alverca 44.78% (-0.04)
No Goal 9.96% (-0.04)
Santa Clara 45.26% (+0.08)

Corners

Over 8 30.44% (-0.01)
Equal 8 11.29%
Under 8 58.27% (+0.02)
Over 9 21.26% (-0.01)
Equal 9 9.18%
Under 9 69.56% (+0.02)
Over 10.5 14.34%
Under 10.5 85.66%

Alverca Goals

Over 1.5 33.95% (+0.06)
Under 1.5 66.05% (-0.05)
Over 2.5 12.83% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 87.17% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 3.93% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 96.07% (-0.02)

Santa Clara Goals

Over 0.5 64.81% (+0.08)
Under 0.5 35.19% (-0.09)
Over 1.5 29.28% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 70.72% (-0.08)
Over 2.5 9.63% (+0.06)
Under 2.5 90.37% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 2.49% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 97.51% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Alverca 38.4%
Draw 28.84%
Santa Clara 32.75%
Alverca
1-0 @ 11.65% (-0.03)
2-1 @ 7.99%
2-0 @ 6.82% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 3.34% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 2.96% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 1.85% (+0.02)
Other @ 3.79%
Total : 38.4%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.3% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 9.96% (-0.04)
2-2 @ 4.69% (+0.03)
Other @ 0.14% (+0.02)
Total : 28.84%
Santa Clara
0-1 @ 10.9% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 7.45% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 5.66%
1-3 @ 2.6% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 2.17% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.62% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.35% (+0.02)
Total : 32.75%

Head to Head

Primeira Liga
Sep 20, 2025 3.30pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT