Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Tondela win with a probability of 42.52%. A win for Alverca has a probability of 29.86% and a draw has a probability of 27.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tondela win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.55%) and 2-0 (7.4%). The likeliest Alverca win is 0-1 (8.93%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (13.16%).