Primeira Liga Gameweek 22
Feb 13, 2026 8.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 2
FT Estádio João Cardoso
  • Juan Sebastian Rodríguez López 46' yellowcard
  • Juanse 46' yellowcard
  • Hugo Felix 62' yellowcard
  • Joao Silva 62' yellowcard
  • João Silva 62' yellowcard
  • Hugo Félix 62' yellowcard
  • Arjen van der Heide 76' yellowcard
  • Joao Silva 80' goal
  • João Silva 80' goal
  • Tiago Miguel Silva Manso 87' yellowcard
  • Tiago Manso 87' yellowcard
  • goal Marko Milovanovic 4'
  • goal Marko Milovanović 4'
  • yellowcard Mathis Clairicia 71'
  • yellowcard Jose Julian Martinez Crisanto 71'
  • yellowcard Davy Jean Carl Kamon Gui 71'
  • yellowcard José Julián Martínez Crisanto 71'
  • yellowcard Steven Baseya 82'
  • yellowcard Cédric Nuozzi 85'
  • yellowcard Cédric Jean-Luc Nuozzi 85'

Tondela vs Alverca - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Tondela

All competitions
Last game
Feb 7, 2026 6.00pm
Estoril 2 - 2 Tondela
Goals scored
15
Top scorer
Maranhão

Alverca

All competitions
Last game
Feb 8, 2026 8.30pm
Benfica 2 - 1 Alverca
Goals scored
22
Top scorer
Marko Milovanovic

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tondela win with a probability of 42.49%. A win for Alverca had a probability of 29.86% and a draw had a probability of 27.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tondela win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.55%) and 2-0 (7.39%). The likeliest Alverca win was 0-1 (8.93%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.

Result

Tondela 42.49% (-0.04)
Draw 27.61%
Alverca 29.86%

Both Teams to Score: 

50.27%

Goals

Over 1.5 71.06% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 28.94% (+0.05)
Over 2.5 45.54%
Under 2.5 54.46%
Over 3.5 24.07%
Under 3.5 75.93%
Over 4.5 12.57%
Under 4.5 87.43%

First Half Winner

Tondela 29.5%
Draw 46.44%
Alverca 24.06%

Team To Score First

Tondela 47.49% (+0.02)
No Goal 8.54% (-0.02)
Alverca 43.97%

Corners

Over 8 35.17%
Equal 8 11.35%
Under 8 53.48%
Over 9 25.52%
Equal 9 9.65%
Under 9 64.83%
Over 10.5 17.91%
Under 10.5 82.09%

Tondela Goals

Over 1.5 38.69% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 61.31% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 16.09% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 83.91% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 5.33% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 94.67% (+0.02)

Alverca Goals

Over 0.5 63.7% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 36.3% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 29.13%
Under 1.5 70.87%
Over 2.5 9.68% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 90.32% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 2.52% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 97.48% (-0.01)

Score analysis

Tondela 42.49%
Draw 27.6%
Alverca 29.86%
Tondela
1-0 @ 11.42%
2-1 @ 8.55%
2-0 @ 7.39% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 3.94% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 3.69%
3-2 @ 2.29%
Other @ 5.21% (-0.01)
Total : 42.49%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.15% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 8.54% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 4.95%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 27.6%
Alverca
0-1 @ 8.93%
1-2 @ 7.22%
0-2 @ 4.99% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.6%
0-3 @ 2.01%
2-3 @ 1.71%
Other @ 2.4% (+0.01)
Total : 29.86%

Head to Head

Primeira Liga
Sep 12, 2025 8.15pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT