Primeira Liga
Feb 28, 2026 3.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estádio Clube Desportivo das Aves
  • Christian Neiva Afonso 62' yellowcard
  • Óscar Perea 62' yellowcard
  • Carlos Ponck 73' yellowcard
  • Ânderson Miguel da Silva 73' yellowcard
  • Guilherme Neiva Silva 76' yellowcard
  • 77' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Rodrigo Pinho 56'
  • yellowcard Eddy Doué 58'
  • yellowcard Robinho 75'
  • yellowcard Billal Brahimi 75'
  • yellowcard Jorge Meireles 76'
  • yellowcard Billal Brahimi 76'
  • yellowcard Robinho 76'

AVS vs Estrela Amadora - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

AVS

All competitions
Last game
Feb 21, 2026 6.00pm
Benfica 3 - 0 AVS
Goals scored
18
Top scorer
Tomane

Estrela Amadora

All competitions
Last game
Feb 20, 2026 8.45pm
Estrela Amadora 0 - 2 Tondela
Goals scored
28
Top scorer
Abraham Marcus

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AVS win with a probability of 37.4%. A win for Estrela Amadora had a probability of 36.01% and a draw had a probability of 26.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a AVS win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8%) and 2-0 (6.37%). The likeliest Estrela Amadora win was 0-1 (9.52%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.

Result

AVS 37.4% (-0.03)
Draw 26.58% (-0.03)
Estrela Amadora 36.01% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.31% (+0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 72.04% (+0.09)
Under 1.5 27.96% (-0.08)
Over 2.5 47.22% (+0.09)
Under 2.5 52.78% (-0.09)
Over 3.5 26.13% (+0.08)
Under 3.5 73.87% (-0.08)
Over 4.5 14.09% (+0.04)
Under 4.5 85.91% (-0.05)

First Half Winner

AVS 30.4% (-0.06)
Draw 43.2% (-0.02)
Estrela Amadora 26.4% (+0.08)

Team To Score First

AVS 48.72% (-0.18)
No Goal 7.87% (-0.05)
Estrela Amadora 43.41% (+0.22)

Corners

Over 8 46.1% (-0.18)
Equal 8 11.76%
Under 8 42.14% (+0.18)
Over 9 35.16% (-0.17)
Equal 9 10.94% (-0.03)
Under 9 53.9% (+0.18)
Over 10.5 25.77% (-0.13)
Under 10.5 74.23% (+0.14)

AVS Goals

Over 1.5 35.24% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 64.76% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 13.38% (+0.05)
Under 2.5 86.62% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 3.96%
Under 3.5 96.04%

Estrela Amadora Goals

Over 0.5 68.56% (+0.08)
Under 0.5 31.44% (-0.08)
Over 1.5 35.02% (+0.10)
Under 1.5 64.98% (-0.09)
Over 2.5 13.63% (+0.07)
Under 2.5 86.37% (-0.07)
Over 3.5 4.51% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 95.49% (-0.02)

Score analysis

AVS 37.39%
Draw 26.59%
Estrela Amadora 36.03%
AVS
1-0 @ 10.58% (-0.06)
2-1 @ 8% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 6.37% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 3.42% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 2.68% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.39% (+0.02)
Other @ 3.95%
Total : 37.39%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.6%
0-0 @ 7.87% (-0.05)
2-2 @ 5.18% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 26.59%
Estrela Amadora
0-1 @ 9.52% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 7.98% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 5.84% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 3.45% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 2.43% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 2.31% (+0.02)
Other @ 4.5% (+0.01)
Total : 36.03%

Head to Head

Primeira Liga
Sep 27, 2025 6.00pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Primeira Liga Gameweek 33
May 11, 2025 3.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Jose Gomes
  • yellowcard Kiki Afonso 7'
  • yellowcard Fernando Fonseca 50'
  • goal Ze Luis 85'
  • yellowcard Guillermo Ochoa 90'+7'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 16
Dec 28, 2024 3.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Clube Desportivo das Aves
  • Cristian Castro 35' yellowcard
  • Baptiste Roux 52' goal
  • John Mercado 87' yellowcard
  • goal Leo Cordeiro 8'
  • yellowcard Alan Ruiz 35'
  • yellowcard Nilton Varela 48'