Primeira Liga Gameweek 24
Feb 28, 2026 3.30pm
Estádio Clube Desportivo das Aves

AVS vs Estrela Amadora - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

AVS

All competitions
Last game
Feb 21, 2026 6.00pm
Benfica 3 - 0 AVS
Goals scored
18
Top scorer
Tomane

Estrela Amadora

All competitions
Last game
Feb 20, 2026 8.45pm
Estrela Amadora 0 - 2 Tondela
Goals scored
26
Top scorer
Kikas

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a AVS win with a probability of 37.4%. A win for Estrela Amadora has a probability of 36.01% and a draw has a probability of 26.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a AVS win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8%) and 2-0 (6.37%). The likeliest Estrela Amadora win is 0-1 (9.52%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.6%).

Result

AVS 37.4% (-0.03)
Draw 26.58% (-0.03)
Estrela Amadora 36.01% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.31% (+0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 72.04% (+0.09)
Under 1.5 27.96% (-0.08)
Over 2.5 47.22% (+0.09)
Under 2.5 52.78% (-0.09)
Over 3.5 26.13% (+0.08)
Under 3.5 73.87% (-0.08)
Over 4.5 14.09% (+0.04)
Under 4.5 85.91% (-0.05)

First Half Winner

AVS 30.4% (-0.06)
Draw 43.2% (-0.02)
Estrela Amadora 26.4% (+0.08)

Team To Score First

AVS 48.72% (-0.18)
No Goal 7.87% (-0.05)
Estrela Amadora 43.41% (+0.22)

Corners

Over 8 46.1% (-0.18)
Equal 8 11.76%
Under 8 42.14% (+0.18)
Over 9 35.16% (-0.17)
Equal 9 10.94% (-0.03)
Under 9 53.9% (+0.18)
Over 10.5 25.77% (-0.13)
Under 10.5 74.23% (+0.14)

AVS Goals

Over 1.5 35.24% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 64.76% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 13.38% (+0.05)
Under 2.5 86.62% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 3.96%
Under 3.5 96.04%

Estrela Amadora Goals

Over 0.5 68.56% (+0.08)
Under 0.5 31.44% (-0.08)
Over 1.5 35.02% (+0.10)
Under 1.5 64.98% (-0.09)
Over 2.5 13.63% (+0.07)
Under 2.5 86.37% (-0.07)
Over 3.5 4.51% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 95.49% (-0.02)

Score analysis

AVS 37.39%
Draw 26.59%
Estrela Amadora 36.03%
AVS
1-0 @ 10.58% (-0.06)
2-1 @ 8% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 6.37% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 3.42% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 2.68% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.39% (+0.02)
Other @ 3.95%
Total : 37.39%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.6%
0-0 @ 7.87% (-0.05)
2-2 @ 5.18% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 26.59%
Estrela Amadora
0-1 @ 9.52% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 7.98% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 5.84% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 3.45% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 2.43% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 2.31% (+0.02)
Other @ 4.5% (+0.01)
Total : 36.03%

Head to Head

Primeira Liga
Sep 27, 2025 6.00pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Primeira Liga Gameweek 33
May 11, 2025 3.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Jose Gomes
  • yellowcard Kiki Afonso 7'
  • yellowcard Fernando Fonseca 50'
  • goal Ze Luis 85'
  • yellowcard Guillermo Ochoa 90'+7'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 16
Dec 28, 2024 3.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Clube Desportivo das Aves
  • Cristian Castro 35' yellowcard
  • Baptiste Roux 52' goal
  • John Mercado 87' yellowcard
  • goal Leo Cordeiro 8'
  • yellowcard Alan Ruiz 35'
  • yellowcard Nilton Varela 48'