Primeira Liga
Gameweek
23
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F29%2Famalog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F12%2Ftonlog.png)
-
Max Scholze
46'
-
Eddy Doué
46'
-
Billal Brahimi
46'
-
Ianis Stoica
65'
-
Tom Moustier
73'
-
Rodrigo Pinho
73'
-
Bebeto
4'
-
Hugo Félix
18'
-
Yaya Sithole
67'
-
Hélder Tavares
67'
-
Maranhão
75'
-
João Afonso
89'
-
Tiago Manso
89'
Estrela Amadora vs Tondela - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2Fuploads%2F2026%2F02%2Ffotojet-2026-02-18t143550-621-6995c0daef647735336059.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estrela Amadora win with a probability of 42.14%. A win for Tondela had a probability of 29.7% and a draw had a probability of 28.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estrela Amadora win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.57%) and 2-0 (8.02%). The likeliest Tondela win was 0-1 (9.35%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.
Result
Estrela Amadora
42.14%
Draw
28.16%
Tondela
29.7%
▲
(+0.03)
Both Teams to Score:
48.86%
▲
(+0.04)
Goals
Over 1.5
68.84%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 1.5
31.16%
▼
(-0.02)
Over 2.5
43.09%
▼
(-0.03)
Under 2.5
56.91%
▲
(+0.03)
Over 3.5
22.1%
Under 3.5
77.9%
Over 4.5
11.23%
Under 4.5
88.77%
First Half Winner
Estrela Amadora
28.79%
Draw
43.65%
Tondela
27.56%
Team To Score First
Estrela Amadora
47.49%
No Goal
9.56%
Tondela
42.95%
Corners
Over 8
51.41%
▲
(+0.01)
Equal 8
12.28%
Under 8
36.31%
▼
(-0.01)
Over 9
39.5%
▲
(+0.01)
Equal 9
11.91%
Under 9
48.59%
▼
(-0.01)
Over 10.5
28.92%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 10.5
71.08%
▼
(-0.02)
Estrela Amadora Goals
Over 1.5
37.28%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 1.5
62.72%
▲
(+0.01)
Over 2.5
14.12%
Under 2.5
85.88%
Over 3.5
4.24%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 3.5
95.76%
▲
(+0.02)
Tondela Goals
Over 0.5
62.56%
▲
(+0.07)
Under 0.5
37.44%
▼
(-0.07)
Over 1.5
28.12%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 1.5
71.88%
▼
(-0.03)
Over 2.5
9.21%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 2.5
90.79%
▲
(+0.03)
Over 3.5
2.5%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 3.5
97.5%
▲
(+0.02)
Score analysis
Estrela Amadora
42.14%
Draw
28.17%
Tondela
29.71%
Estrela Amadora
1-0
@
12.27%
▲
(+0.02)
2-1 @ 8.57%
2-0 @ 8.02% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 3.6% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 3.44% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.07% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 4.17%
Total : 42.14%
2-1 @ 8.57%
2-0 @ 8.02% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 3.6% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 3.44% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.07% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 4.17%
Total : 42.14%
Draw
1-1
@
12.92%
▲
(+0.01)
0-0 @ 9.56%
2-2 @ 4.85%
Other @ 0.07% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 28.17%
0-0 @ 9.56%
2-2 @ 4.85%
Other @ 0.07% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 28.17%
Tondela
0-1
@
9.35%
▲
(+0.02)
1-2 @ 7.2%
0-2 @ 4.79% ▲ (+0.04)
1-3 @ 2.43%
0-3 @ 1.79% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.72%
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 29.71%
1-2 @ 7.2%
0-2 @ 4.79% ▲ (+0.04)
1-3 @ 2.43%
0-3 @ 1.79% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.72%
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 29.71%
Head to Head
Primeira Liga