Primeira Liga Gameweek 26
Apr 29, 2026 8.15pm
Estádio José Alvalade

Sporting Lisbon vs Tondela - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Sporting Lisbon

All competitions
Last game
Apr 19, 2026 6.15pm
Sporting Lisbon 1 - 2 Benfica
Goals scored
74
Top scorer
Luis Suarez Charris

Tondela

All competitions
Last game
Apr 19, 2026 8.30pm
Porto 2 - 0 Tondela
Goals scored
21
Top scorer
Maranhão

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 77.15%. A draw has a probability of 15.84% and a win for Tondela has a probability of 6.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win is 2-0 with a probability of 14.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (13.72%) and 3-0 (10.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (6.66%) , while for a Tondela win it is 0-1 (2.86%).

Result

Sporting Lisbon 77.15% (+1.58)
Draw 15.84% (-1.22)
Tondela 6.97% (-0.38)

Both Teams to Score: 

38.71% (+0.78)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.88% (+2.02)
Under 1.5 23.12% (-2.02)
Over 2.5 54.92% (+3.32)
Under 2.5 45.08% (-3.32)
Over 3.5 33.34% (+2.97)
Under 3.5 66.66% (-2.97)
Over 4.5 24.3% (+2.59)
Under 4.5 75.7% (-2.60)

First Half Winner

Sporting Lisbon 56.9% (+6.04)
Draw 31.81% (-2.63)
Tondela 11.29% (-3.44)

Team To Score First

Sporting Lisbon 72.5% (+1.86)
No Goal 6.53% (-0.59)
Tondela 20.97% (-1.27)

Corners

Over 8 60.28% (+4.61)
Equal 8 11.29% (+0.12)
Under 8 28.43% (-4.72)
Over 9 48.57% (+4.08)
Equal 9 11.72% (+0.54)
Under 9 39.72% (-4.61)
Over 10.5 37.42% (+3.28)
Under 10.5 62.58% (-3.27)

Sporting Lisbon Goals

Over 1.5 66.65% (+2.64)
Under 1.5 33.35% (-2.63)
Over 2.5 40.71% (+3.12)
Under 2.5 59.29% (-3.12)
Over 3.5 20.69% (+2.00)
Under 3.5 79.31% (-1.99)

Tondela Goals

Over 0.5 33.59% (+0.16)
Under 0.5 66.41% (-0.16)
Over 1.5 9.17% (+0.27)
Under 1.5 90.83% (-0.27)
Over 2.5 1.76% (+0.21)
Under 2.5 98.24% (-0.22)
Over 3.5 0.34% (+0.05)
Under 3.5 99.66% (-0.05)

Score analysis

Sporting Lisbon 77.15%
Draw 15.86%
Tondela 6.98%
Sporting Lisbon
2-0 @ 14.52% (-0.62)
1-0 @ 13.72% (-1.08)
3-0 @ 10.95% (+0.13)
2-1 @ 8.56% (+0.21)
3-1 @ 6.34% (+0.54)
3-2 @ 2.38% (+0.40)
Other @ 20.68% (+1.99)
Total : 77.15%
Draw
1-1 @ 6.66% (-0.50)
0-0 @ 6.53% (-0.59)
2-2 @ 2.31% (-0.19)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 15.86%
Tondela
0-1 @ 2.86% (-0.37)
1-2 @ 1.96% (+0.06)
Other @ 0.33% (+0.05)
Total : 6.98%

Head to Head

Primeira Liga
Oct 26, 2025 6.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 0
FT
Taca de Portugal
Jan 9, 2024 6.45pm
4
0
HT : 3 0
FT Estadio Jose Alvalade
  • Pedro Goncalves 11' goal
  • Pedro Goncalves 16' goal
  • Viktor Gyokeres 37' goal
  • Viktor Gyokeres 46' goal
Taca da Liga
Dec 23, 2023 6.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT Estadio Joao Cardoso
  • Ricardo Alves 11' yellowcard
  • Luan 16' yellowcard
  • Lucas Mezenga 54' yellowcard
  • Helder Tavares 76' goal
  • Abdoulaye Ba 85' yellowcard
  • goal Daniel Braganca 17'
  • goal Paulinho 32'
  • yellowcard Luis Neto 45'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 29
Apr 9, 2022 8.30pm
1
3
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Juan Boselli 13' yellowcard
  • Pedro Augusto 52' yellowcard
  • Joao Pedro 68' yellowcard
  • Manu Hernando 71' goal
  • goal Goncalo Inacio 29'
  • goal Pablo Sarabia 33'
  • yellowcard Matheus Reis 50'
  • yellowcard Antonio Adan 52'
  • goal Pablo Sarabia 69'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 12
Nov 28, 2021 6.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Pablo Sarabia 10' goal
  • Pablo Sarabia 30' yellowcard
  • Paulinho 50' goal
  • Manuel Ugarte 78' yellowcard
  • Tiago Tomas 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Rafael Barbosa 30'
  • yellowcard Pedro Augusto 74'
  • yellowcard Modibo Sagnan 80'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 23
Mar 13, 2021 8.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Naoufel Khacef 40' yellowcard
  • Roberto Olabe 52' yellowcard
  • Ricardo Alves 60' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Sebastian Coates 44'
  • goal Tiago Tomas 81'