Primeira Liga Gameweek 27
Mar 21, 2026 8.30pm
Estádio João Cardoso

Tondela vs AVS - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Tondela

All competitions
Last game
Mar 15, 2026 12.00am
Sporting Lisbon 0 - 0 Tondela
Goals scored
19
Top scorer
Maranhão

AVS

All competitions
Last game
Mar 15, 2026 3.30pm
AVS 0 - 1 Santa Clara
Goals scored
18
Top scorer
Tomane

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Tondela win with a probability of 46.88%. A draw has a probability of 26.63% and a win for AVS has a probability of 26.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tondela win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (8.6%) and 2-1 (8.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.98%) , while for a AVS win it is 0-1 (9.09%).

Result

Tondela 46.88% (+0.04)
Draw 26.63%
AVS 26.49% (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

45.33% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 68.28% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 31.72% (-0.05)
Over 2.5 43.15% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 56.85% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 22.71% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 77.29% (-0.03)
Over 4.5 12.63% (+0.03)
Under 4.5 87.37% (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Tondela 36.64%
Draw 42.97%
AVS 20.39%

Team To Score First

Tondela 55.72%
No Goal 9.78%
AVS 34.5%

Corners

Over 8 47.43%
Equal 8 11.6%
Under 8 40.98%
Over 9 36.52%
Equal 9 10.91%
Under 9 52.57%
Over 10.5 27.04%
Under 10.5 72.96%

Tondela Goals

Over 1.5 40.29% (+0.07)
Under 1.5 59.71% (-0.07)
Over 2.5 17.58% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 82.42% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 6.68% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 93.32% (-0.02)

AVS Goals

Over 0.5 57.88% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 42.12% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 24.3%
Under 1.5 75.7%
Over 2.5 7.59% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 92.41% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 1.96%
Under 3.5 98.04%

Score analysis

Tondela 46.88%
Draw 26.64%
AVS 26.49%
Tondela
1-0 @ 12.86% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 8.6%
2-1 @ 8.56% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 4.28% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 3.95% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.02% (+0.02)
Other @ 6.61% (+0.02)
Total : 46.88%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.98%
0-0 @ 9.78%
2-2 @ 4.16% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.07%
Total : 26.64%
AVS
0-1 @ 9.09% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 5.99%
0-2 @ 4.54% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 1.97%
0-3 @ 1.62% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.39%
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 26.49%

Head to Head

Primeira Liga
Nov 2, 2025 3.30pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT