Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tondela win with a probability of 46.85%. A draw had a probability of 26.63% and a win for AVS had a probability of 26.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tondela win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.6%) and 2-1 (8.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12%) , while for a AVS win it was 0-1 (9.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.