Primeira Liga Gameweek 27
Mar 21, 2026 8.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estádio João Cardoso
  • Jordan 68' yellowcard
  • Yaya Sithole 74' yellowcard
  • Arjen van der Heide 88' yellowcard
  • Nor Maviram 88' yellowcard
  • Moudjatovic 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Tiago Galletto López 29'
  • yellowcard Diego Ariel Duarte Gárcete 65'
  • yellowcard Babatunde Jimoh Akinsola 65'
  • yellowcard Ânderson Miguel da Silva 85'
  • yellowcard Christian Neiva Afonso 85'

Tondela vs AVS - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Tondela

All competitions
Last game
Mar 15, 2026 12.00am
Sporting Lisbon 0 - 0 Tondela
Goals scored
19
Top scorer
Maranhão

AVS

All competitions
Last game
Mar 15, 2026 3.30pm
AVS 0 - 1 Santa Clara
Goals scored
18
Top scorer
Tomane

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tondela win with a probability of 46.85%. A draw had a probability of 26.63% and a win for AVS had a probability of 26.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tondela win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.6%) and 2-1 (8.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12%) , while for a AVS win it was 0-1 (9.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.

Result

Tondela 46.85% (-0.04)
Draw 26.63%
AVS 26.52% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

45.27% (-0.03)

Goals

Over 1.5 68.23% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 31.77% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 43.08% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 56.92% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 22.63% (-0.06)
Under 3.5 77.34% (+0.03)
Over 4.5 12.58% (-0.04)
Under 4.5 87.42% (+0.05)

First Half Winner

Tondela 36.64%
Draw 42.97%
AVS 20.39%

Team To Score First

Tondela 55.7% (-0.02)
No Goal 9.81% (+0.04)
AVS 34.49% (-0.01)

Corners

Over 8 47.36% (-0.08)
Equal 8 11.59% (-0.01)
Under 8 41.06% (+0.09)
Over 9 36.46% (-0.07)
Equal 9 10.9% (-0.01)
Under 9 52.64% (+0.08)
Over 10.5 27% (-0.04)
Under 10.5 73% (+0.05)

Tondela Goals

Over 1.5 40.2% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 59.8% (+0.08)
Over 2.5 17.51% (-0.07)
Under 2.5 82.49% (+0.07)
Over 3.5 6.65% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 93.35% (+0.04)

AVS Goals

Over 0.5 57.87%
Under 0.5 42.13%
Over 1.5 24.27% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 75.73% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 7.57%
Under 2.5 92.43%
Over 3.5 1.95%
Under 3.5 98.05%

Score analysis

Tondela 46.84%
Draw 26.64%
AVS 26.52%
Tondela
1-0 @ 12.86% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 8.6%
2-1 @ 8.56%
3-0 @ 4.27% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 3.94% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.02%
Other @ 6.59% (-0.03)
Total : 46.84%
Draw
1-1 @ 12% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 9.81% (+0.04)
2-2 @ 4.14% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.06% (-0.02)
Total : 26.64%
AVS
0-1 @ 9.1%
1-2 @ 5.99%
0-2 @ 4.55%
1-3 @ 1.97% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.63% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.39%
Other @ 1.89% (+0.02)
Total : 26.52%

Head to Head

Primeira Liga
Nov 2, 2025 3.30pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT