Primeira Liga Gameweek 25
Mar 9, 2026 8.15pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estádio João Cardoso
  • Yaya Sithole 62' yellowcard
  • Jordan 74' yellowcard
  • Hélder Tavares 75' yellowcard
  • Jordan 75' yellowcard
  • Tiago Manso 80' yellowcard
  • Moudjatovic 81' yellowcard
  • Tiago Manso 81' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Diogo Bezerra 45'+3'
  • yellowcard Ryan 60'
  • goal Jalen Blesa 70'
  • yellowcard Tamble Monteiro 72'
  • yellowcard João Tomé 72'
  • yellowcard Leonardo Buta 89'
  • yellowcard Francisco Petrasso 89'
  • yellowcard Francisco Petrasso 90'

Tondela vs Rio Ave - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Tondela

All competitions
Last game
Mar 1, 2026 3.30pm
Tondela 2 - 2 Santa Clara
Goals scored
19
Top scorer
Maranhão

Rio Ave

All competitions
Last game
Mar 1, 2026 8.30pm
Rio Ave 0 - 0 Famalicao
Goals scored
24
Top scorer
Andre Luiz

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tondela win with a probability of 46.24%. A draw had a probability of 27.45% and a win for Rio Ave had a probability of 26.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tondela win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.9%) and 2-0 (8.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.47%) , while for a Rio Ave win it was 0-1 (8.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood.

Result

Tondela 46.24% (-0.27)
Draw 27.45% (+0.10)
Rio Ave 26.31% (+0.17)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.23% (-0.11)

Goals

Over 1.5 68.33% (-0.22)
Under 1.5 31.67% (+0.23)
Over 2.5 43.23% (-0.25)
Under 2.5 56.77% (+0.29)
Over 3.5 22.52% (-0.18)
Under 3.5 77.48% (+0.18)
Over 4.5 12.17% (-0.14)
Under 4.5 87.83% (+0.13)

First Half Winner

Tondela 33.89%
Draw 43.92%
Rio Ave 22.19%

Team To Score First

Tondela 52.83% (-0.04)
No Goal 9.72% (+0.08)
Rio Ave 37.45% (-0.03)

Corners

Over 8 53.19% (-0.10)
Equal 8 11.92% (+0.02)
Under 8 34.89% (+0.08)
Over 9 41.48% (-0.11)
Equal 9 11.71% (+0.02)
Under 9 46.81% (+0.10)
Over 10.5 30.92% (-0.10)
Under 10.5 69.08% (+0.10)

Tondela Goals

Over 1.5 40.01% (-0.32)
Under 1.5 59.99% (+0.32)
Over 2.5 16.81% (-0.25)
Under 2.5 83.19% (+0.25)
Over 3.5 6.09% (-0.13)
Under 3.5 93.91% (+0.13)

Rio Ave Goals

Over 0.5 58.91% (+0.11)
Under 0.5 41.09% (-0.11)
Over 1.5 24.65% (+0.06)
Under 1.5 75.35% (-0.07)
Over 2.5 7.7% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 92.3% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 1.91%
Under 3.5 98.09%

Score analysis

Tondela 46.24%
Draw 27.45%
Rio Ave 26.3%
Tondela
1-0 @ 12.96% (+0.05)
2-1 @ 8.9% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 8.38% (-0.04)
3-0 @ 4.02% (-0.08)
3-1 @ 3.91% (-0.05)
3-2 @ 2.07%
Other @ 6% (-0.13)
Total : 46.24%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.47% (+0.04)
0-0 @ 9.72% (+0.08)
2-2 @ 4.45%
Other @ 0.09%
Total : 27.45%
Rio Ave
0-1 @ 8.98% (+0.09)
1-2 @ 6.17%
0-2 @ 4.26% (+0.05)
1-3 @ 1.99% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.61%
2-3 @ 1.47%
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 26.3%

Head to Head

Primeira Liga
Oct 5, 2025 5.30pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Taca de Portugal
Jan 12, 2022 6.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
ET Estádio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube
  • Aderlan 6' yellowcard
  • Aderlan 63' redcard
  • Abdul-Aziz Yakubu 69' yellowcard
  • Joao Graca 106' yellowcard
  • Hugo Gomes 106' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ricardo Alves 50'
  • yellowcard Juan Boselli 76'
  • yellowcard Manu Hernando 82'
  • goal Renat Dadasov 96'
  • yellowcard Salvador Agra 105'
  • yellowcard Rafael Barbosa 116'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 18
Feb 9, 2021 5.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Toni Borevkovic 5' yellowcard
  • Aderlan 39' yellowcard
  • Carlos Mane 59' goal
  • Rafael Camacho 64' goal
  • Pele 87' yellowcard
  • Gelson 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Abdel Medioub 10'
  • goal Jhon Murillo 32'
  • yellowcard Salvador Agra 82'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 1
Sep 20, 2020 9.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Estádio João Cardoso
  • Ricardo Alves 9' goal
  • Tomislav Strkalj 88' yellowcard
  • goal Ryotaro Meshino 90'+3'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 22
Feb 22, 2020 6.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Joao Cardoso
  • Joao Pedro 83' goal
  • goal Gelson 74'
  • goal Gelson 90'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 5
Sep 15, 2019 4.00pm
2
4
HT : 1 2
FT Estádio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube (Vila do Conde)
  • Tarantini 45' goal
  • Matheus Reis 45' yellowcard
  • Bruno Moreira 84' goal
  • Aderlan 86' yellowcard
  • goal Pite 5'
  • goal Denilson 17'
  • goal Jonathan Rubio 57'
  • goal Denilson 62'
  • yellowcard Joao Jaquite 72'
  • yellowcard Pite 90'
  • yellowcard Jonathan Rubio 91'