Primeira Liga
Tondela
Mar 1, 2026 3.30pm
2
2
HT : 0 1
FT Estádio João Cardoso
Santa Clara
  • Bebeto 10' yellowcard
  • Rony Lopes 59' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo Conceição 60' goal
  • Makan Aïko 71' yellowcard
  • Hélder Tavares 71' yellowcard
  • Moudjatovic 90'+4' yellowcard
  • Xabi Huarte 90'+4' yellowcard
  • Xabi Huarte 90'+5' yellowcard
  • goal Gabriel Silva 15'
  • yellowcard Welinton Torrão 64'
  • yellowcard Gonçalo Paciência 64'
  • yellowcard Lucas Soares 71'
  • yellowcard Serginho 88'
  • yellowcard Elias Manoel 89'
  • yellowcard Darlan 89'
  • yellowcard Darlan 90'

Tondela vs Santa Clara - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Tondela

All competitions
Last game
Feb 20, 2026 8.45pm
Estrela Amadora 0 - 2 Tondela
Goals scored
19
Top scorer
Maranhão

Santa Clara

All competitions
Last game
Feb 21, 2026 3.30pm
Alverca 1 - 1 Santa Clara
Goals scored
23
Top scorer
Gabriel Silva

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santa Clara win with a probability of 41.08%. A draw had a probability of 29.99% and a win for Tondela had a probability of 28.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a Santa Clara win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.13%) and 1-2 (7.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.47%) , while for a Tondela win it was 1-0 (11.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.

Result

Tondela 28.93% ▲ (+0.20)
Draw 29.99% ▲ (+0.05)
Santa Clara 41.08% ▼ (-0.29)

Both Teams to Score: 

42.73% ▲ (+0.01)

Goals

Over 1.5 62.06% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 1.5 37.94% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 2.5 35.14% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 2.5 64.86% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 3.5 16.65% ▼ (-0.13)
Under 3.5 83.35% ▲ (+0.12)
Over 4.5 7.76% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 4.5 92.24% ▲ (+0.08)

First Half Winner

Tondela 23.14%
Draw 47.68%
Santa Clara 29.18%

Team To Score First

Tondela 36.98% ▼ (-0.04)
No Goal 12.32% ▲ (+0.05)
Santa Clara 50.7% ▼ (-0.01)

Corners

Over 8 40.45% ▼ (-0.04)
Equal 8 12.45%
Under 8 47.1% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 9 29.41% ▼ (-0.04)
Equal 9 11.05%
Under 9 59.55% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 10.5 20.39% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 10.5 79.61% ▲ (+0.04)

Tondela Goals

Over 1.5 23.21% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 1.5 76.79% ▼ (-0.06)
Over 2.5 6.71% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 2.5 93.29% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 3.5 1.54% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 98.46% ▼ (-0.02)

Santa Clara Goals

Over 0.5 67.94% ▼ (-0.25)
Under 0.5 32.06% ▲ (+0.25)
Over 1.5 32.21% ▼ (-0.18)
Under 1.5 67.79% ▲ (+0.18)
Over 2.5 11.16% ▼ (-0.18)
Under 2.5 88.84% ▲ (+0.19)
Over 3.5 3.22% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 3.5 96.78% ▲ (+0.07)

Score analysis

Tondela 28.93%
Draw 30%
Santa Clara 41.08%
Tondela
1-0 @ 11.36% ▲ (+0.10)
2-1 @ 5.96% ▲ (+0.05)
2-0 @ 5.3% ▲ (+0.04)
3-1 @ 2.03%
3-0 @ 1.56% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 1.19%
Other @ 1.53% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 28.93%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.47% ▲ (+0.03)
0-0 @ 12.32% ▲ (+0.05)
2-2 @ 3.81% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 30%
Santa Clara
0-1 @ 14.27% ▼ (-0.14)
0-2 @ 8.13% ▼ (-0.02)
1-2 @ 7.92% ▲ (+0.05)
1-3 @ 3.07% ▼ (-0.05)
0-3 @ 3.05% ▼ (-0.06)
2-3 @ 1.43% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 3.21% ▼ (-0.07)
Total : 41.08%

Head to Head

Primeira Liga
Santa Clara
Sep 27, 2025 4.30pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Tondela
Taca da Liga
Santa Clara
Jul 29, 2023 3.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
ET Estadio de Sao Miguel
Tondela
  • Gustavo Klismahn 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Luis Rocha 26'
  • yellowcard Helder Luis Lopes Vieira Tavares 37'
  • yellowcard Jota Goncalves 64'
  • yellowcard Rui Gomes 88'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 18
Santa Clara
Jan 16, 2022 3.30pm
2
2
HT : 2 0
FT
Tondela
  • Hidemasa Morita 9' yellowcard
  • Rui Costa 23' goal
  • Ricardo Antonio 40' goal
  • yellowcard Salvador Agra 45'
  • goal Juan Boselli 78'
  • goal Juan Boselli 88'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 1
Tondela
Aug 8, 2021 3.30pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estádio João Cardoso
Santa Clara
  • Daniel da Silva dos Anjos 18' goal
  • Daniel da Silva dos Anjos 54' goal
  • Joao Pedro 77' yellowcard
  • Joao Pedro 84' goal
  • yellowcard Mansur 34'
  • yellowcard Mikel Villanueva 62'
  • yellowcard Carlos 80'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 24
Santa Clara
Mar 20, 2021 3.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT
Tondela
  • Fabio Cardoso 62' yellowcard
  • Fabio Cardoso 80' redcard
  • Allano 83' redcard
  • Crysan 84' yellowcard
  • Mansur 90' yellowcard
  • Yohan Tavares 90'+4' goal
  • goal Mario Gonzalez 44'
  • yellowcard Tiago Almeida 77'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 7
Tondela
Nov 7, 2020 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
Santa Clara
  • Pedro Augusto 20' yellowcard
  • Jhon Murillo 29' yellowcard
  • Salvador Agra 35' goal
  • Mario Gonzalez 67' goal
  • yellowcard Nene 17'
  • yellowcard Rafael Ramos 41'
  • yellowcard Fabio Cardoso 85'

Form Data

Estrela Amadora 0 - 2 Tondela
Tondela 1 - 1 Alverca
Estoril 2 - 2 Tondela
Tondela 0 - 0 Benfica
Famalicao 3 - 0 Tondela
Tondela 0 - 1 Braga
Alverca 1 - 1 Santa Clara
Santa Clara 1 - 2 Benfica
Estrela Amadora 1 - 0 Santa Clara
Santa Clara 2 - 4 Estoril
Moreirense 1 - 0 Santa Clara
Santa Clara 0 - 1 Famalicao