Primeira Liga Gameweek 30
Apr 19, 2026 6.00pm
Estádio José Alvalade

Sporting Lisbon vs Benfica - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Sporting Lisbon

All competitions
Last game
Apr 11, 2026 8.30pm
Estrela Amadora 0 - 1 Sporting Lisbon
Goals scored
73
Top scorer
Luis Suarez Charris

Benfica

All competitions
Last game
Apr 12, 2026 6.00pm
Benfica 2 - 0 Nacional
Goals scored
61
Top scorer
Vangelis Pavlidis

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 46.52%. A win for Benfica has a probability of 29.15% and a draw has a probability of 24.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.16%) and 2-0 (7.82%). The likeliest Benfica win is 1-2 (7.43%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.54%).

Result

Sporting Lisbon 46.52% (-1.76)
Draw 24.33% (+0.39)
Benfica 29.15% (+1.40)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.83% (+0.72)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.26% (-1.05)
Under 1.5 22.74% (+1.05)
Over 2.5 53.57% (-1.61)
Under 2.5 46.43% (+1.61)
Over 3.5 30.4% (-1.34)
Under 3.5 69.6% (+1.34)
Over 4.5 17.53% (-1.01)
Under 4.5 82.47% (+1.02)

First Half Winner

Sporting Lisbon 31.73% (-3.59)
Draw 39.86% (+1.15)
Benfica 28.41% (+2.45)

Team To Score First

Sporting Lisbon 48.55% (-4.00)
No Goal 6.2% (+0.42)
Benfica 45.25% (+3.58)

Corners

Over 8 61.2% (-2.72)
Equal 8 10.52% (-0.06)
Under 8 28.28% (+2.77)
Over 9 50.19% (-2.43)
Equal 9 11.01% (-0.30)
Under 9 38.8% (+2.72)
Over 10.5 39.57% (-1.96)
Under 10.5 60.43% (+1.96)

Sporting Lisbon Goals

Over 1.5 45.5% (-2.37)
Under 1.5 54.5% (+2.37)
Over 2.5 21.04% (-1.66)
Under 2.5 78.96% (+1.65)
Over 3.5 7.96% (-0.88)
Under 3.5 92.04% (+0.89)

Benfica Goals

Over 0.5 63.9% (+0.44)
Under 0.5 36.1% (-0.44)
Over 1.5 31.7% (+0.42)
Under 1.5 68.3% (-0.43)
Over 2.5 12.04% (+0.46)
Under 2.5 87.96% (-0.47)
Over 3.5 3.72% (+0.25)
Under 3.5 96.28% (-0.25)

Score analysis

Sporting Lisbon 46.52%
Draw 24.33%
Benfica 29.16%
Sporting Lisbon
1-0 @ 9.84% (+0.25)
2-1 @ 9.16% (-0.42)
2-0 @ 7.82% (+0.04)
3-1 @ 4.79% (-0.23)
3-0 @ 4.48% (-0.23)
3-2 @ 2.66% (-0.30)
Other @ 7.77% (-0.89)
Total : 46.52%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.54% (+0.25)
0-0 @ 6.2% (+0.42)
2-2 @ 5.25% (-0.27)
3-3 @ 1.15% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.33%
Benfica
1-2 @ 7.43% (+0.24)
0-1 @ 6.71% (+0.42)
0-2 @ 4.32% (+0.29)
1-3 @ 2.84% (+0.17)
2-3 @ 2.23% (-0.07)
0-3 @ 2.1% (+0.14)
Other @ 3.53% (+0.25)
Total : 29.16%

Head to Head

Primeira Liga
Dec 5, 2025 8.15pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Heorhiy Sudakov 27' goal
  • Leandro Barreiro 56' yellowcard
  • Vangelis Pavlidis 67' yellowcard
  • Gianluca Prestianni 89' yellowcard
  • Gianluca Prestianni 90'+2' redcard
  • goal Pedro Goncalves 12'
  • yellowcard Hidemasa Morita 30'
  • yellowcard Luis Suarez Charris 65'
  • yellowcard Ivan Fresneda 72'
  • yellowcard Maximiliano Araujo 75'
  • yellowcard Pedro Goncalves 76'
  • yellowcard Maximiliano Araujo 76'
Portuguese Super Cup
Jul 31, 2025 8.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Taca de Portugal
May 25, 2025 5.15pm
1
3
HT : 0 0
ET Estadio Nacional
  • Samuel Dahl 19' yellowcard
  • Orkun Kokcu 47' goal
  • Alvaro Fernandez 53' yellowcard
  • Orkun Kokcu 65' yellowcard
  • Samuel Jumpe Soares 114' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Conrad Harder 78'
  • yellowcard Maximiliano Araujo 86'
  • yellowcard Morten Hjulmand 90'+2'
  • goal Conrad Harder 99'
  • goal Viktor Gyokeres 90'+11'
  • yellowcard Geovany Tcherno Quenda 101'
  • goal Francisco Trincao 120'+1'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 33
May 10, 2025 6.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica
  • Nicolas Otamendi 15' yellowcard
  • Florentino Luis 60' yellowcard
  • Kerem Akturkoglu 63' goal
  • Kerem Akturkoglu 70' yellowcard
  • Orkun Kokcu 90'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Francisco Trincao 4'
  • yellowcard Morten Hjulmand 19'
  • yellowcard Rui Silva 54'
  • redcard Ricardo Esgaio 90'+8'
Taca da Liga
Jan 11, 2025 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 1 2
FT Estadio Pina Manique
  • Viktor Gyokeres 42' goal
  • Maximiliano Araujo 45' yellowcard
  • goal Andreas Schjelderup 29'
  • goal Andreas Schjelderup 29'
  • yellowcard Alvaro Fernandez 58'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 16
Dec 29, 2024 8.30pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Jose Alvalade
  • Geny Catamo 29' goal
  • Matheus Reis 59' yellowcard
  • Franco Israel 63' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nicolas Otamendi 34'
  • yellowcard Alexander Bah 58'
  • yellowcard Tomas Araujo 90'+3'