Primeira Liga Gameweek 29
Benfica
Apr 12, 2026 6.00pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Estádio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica
Nacional
  • Andreas Schjelderup 3' goal
  • Rafa Silva 14' goal
  • Vangelis Pavlidis 58' yellowcard
  • Franjo Ivanović 77' yellowcard
  • Fredrik Aursnes 78' yellowcard
  • Dodi Lukébakio 78' yellowcard
  • Enzo Barrenechea 79' yellowcard
  • Gonçalo Moreira 90' yellowcard
  • Gonçalo Moreira 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Pablo Ruan 61'
  • yellowcard Filipe Soares 61'
  • yellowcard Joel Silva 83'
  • yellowcard L. Vallier 83'
  • yellowcard João Aurélio 90'
  • yellowcard João Aurélio 90'+1'

Benfica vs Nacional - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Benfica

All competitions
Last game
Apr 6, 2026 8.45pm
Casa Pia 1 - 1 Benfica
Goals scored
61
Top scorer
Vangelis Pavlidis

Nacional

All competitions
Last game
Apr 4, 2026 3.30pm
Nacional 2 - 0 Estrela Amadora
Goals scored
31
Top scorer
Jesus Andres Ramirez

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 71.61%. A draw had a probability of 18.73% and a win for Nacional had a probability of 9.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.92%) and 3-0 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.91%) , while for a Nacional win it was 0-1 (3.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.9% likelihood.

Result

Benfica 71.61% ▼ (-0.05)
Draw 18.73% ▲ (+0.02)
Nacional 9.66% ▲ (+0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

40.83% ▲ (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.39% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 1.5 25.61% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 2.5 51.37%
Under 2.5 48.63%
Over 3.5 30.24% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 3.5 69.72% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 4.5 20.81% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 4.5 79.19% ▲ (+0.08)

First Half Winner

Benfica 50.66%
Draw 34.38%
Nacional 14.96%

Team To Score First

Benfica 68.69% ▲ (+0.01)
No Goal 7.27% ▼ (-0.03)
Nacional 24.04% ▲ (+0.01)

Corners

Over 8 60.81% ▲ (+0.03)
Equal 8 11.62% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 8 27.56% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 9 48.64% ▼ (-0.04)
Equal 9 12.17% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 9 39.19% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 10.5 37.04% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 10.5 62.96% ▲ (+0.08)

Benfica Goals

Over 1.5 61.4% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 1.5 38.6% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 2.5 34.95% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 2.5 65.05% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 3.5 16.7% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 3.5 83.3% ▲ (+0.04)

Nacional Goals

Over 0.5 38.19% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 0.5 61.81% ▼ (-0.06)
Over 1.5 11.61% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 1.5 88.39% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 2.5 2.88% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 2.5 97.12% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 3.5 0.68% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 3.5 99.32% ▲ (+0.01)

Score analysis

Benfica 71.61%
Draw 18.72%
Nacional 9.67%
Benfica
1-0 @ 14.5% ▼ (-0.02)
2-0 @ 13.92% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 9.54% ▲ (+0.01)
2-1 @ 8.92% ▲ (+0.03)
3-1 @ 5.91% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.24% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 16.58% ▼ (-0.05)
Total : 71.61%
Draw
1-1 @ 7.91% ▲ (+0.03)
0-0 @ 7.27% ▼ (-0.03)
2-2 @ 2.86%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 18.72%
Nacional
0-1 @ 3.84% ▲ (+0.01)
1-2 @ 2.44% ▲ (+0.03)
0-2 @ 1.19% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.56% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 9.67%

Head to Head

Primeira Liga
Nacional
Nov 29, 2025 6.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Benfica
  • Mootaz Nourani 55' yellowcard
  • Jesus Andres Ramirez 60' goal
  • Chiheb Abidi 65' yellowcard
  • Jesus Andres Ramirez 71' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Enzo Barrenechea 55'
  • yellowcard Gianluca Prestianni 84'
  • goal Gianluca Prestianni 89'
  • goal Vangelis Pavlidis 90'+5'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 25
Benfica
Mar 8, 2025 6.00pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica
Nacional
  • Zeki Amdouni 5' goal
  • Orkun Kokcu 23' goal
  • Vangelis Pavlidis 90'+2' goal
  • yellowcard Ze Vitor 19'
  • yellowcard Djibril Soumare 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Joao Aurelio 88'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 8
Nacional
Dec 19, 2024 5.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio da Madeira
Benfica
  • Jose Gomes 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Djibril Soumare 67' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Vangelis Pavlidis 16'
  • yellowcard Alexander Bah 45'+3'
  • goal Angel di Maria 59'
  • yellowcard Angel di Maria 62'
  • goal Angel di Maria 74'
  • yellowcard Leandro Barreiro 84'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 32
Nacional
May 11, 2021 6.00pm
1
3
HT : 1 0
FT
Benfica
  • Pedrao 8' goal
  • Joao Vigario 60' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Chiquinho 34'
  • yellowcard Gilberto 55'
  • goal Pedrao 78' (OG)
  • yellowcard Alex Grimaldo 80'
  • goal Goncalo Ramos 81'
  • goal Goncalo Ramos 86'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 15
Benfica
Jan 25, 2021 5.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
Nacional
  • Chiquinho 14' goal
  • Jardel 71' yellowcard
  • goal Bryan Rochez 48'
  • yellowcard Pedrao 80'
  • yellowcard Ruben Micael 90'+2'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 21
Benfica
Feb 10, 2019 5.30pm
10
0
HT : 3 0
FT Estádio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica (da Luz) (Lisboa)
Nacional
  • Alex Grimaldo 1' goal
  • Andreas Samaris 20' yellowcard
  • Haris Seferovic 21' goal
  • Haris Seferovic 27' goal
  • Joao Felix 50' goal
  • Pizzi 54' goal
  • Francisco Ferreira 56' goal
  • Ruben Dias 64' goal
  • Jonas 85' goal
  • Rafa Silva 88' goal
  • Jonas 90' goal

Form Data

Casa Pia 1 - 1 Benfica
Benfica 3 - 0 Guimaraes
Arouca 1 - 2 Benfica
Benfica 2 - 2 Porto
Gil Vicente 1 - 2 Benfica
Real Madrid 2 - 1 Benfica
Nacional 2 - 0 Estrela Amadora
Famalicao 1 - 0 Nacional
Nacional 0 - 1 Estoril
Moreirense 1 - 1 Nacional
Nacional 1 - 2 Braga
Arouca 3 - 0 Nacional