Primeira Liga Gameweek 25
Mar 8, 2026 6.00pm
Estádio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica

Benfica vs Porto - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Benfica

All competitions
Last game
Mar 2, 2026 8.15pm
Gil Vicente 1 - 2 Benfica
Goals scored
51
Top scorer
Vangelis Pavlidis

Porto

All competitions
Last game
Feb 27, 2026 6.45pm
Porto 3 - 1 Arouca
Goals scored
47
Top scorer
Samu Omorodion

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Benfica win with a probability of 45.52%. A win for Porto has a probability of 30.7% and a draw has a probability of 23.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.27%) and 2-0 (6.62%). The likeliest Porto win is 1-2 (6.97%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.5%).

Result

Benfica 45.52% (+0.60)
Draw 23.78% (-0.24)
Porto 30.7% (-0.36)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.06% (+0.18)

Goals

Over 1.5 80.21% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 19.79% (-0.06)
Over 2.5 58.8% (+0.17)
Under 2.5 41.2% (-0.17)
Over 3.5 37.19% (+0.11)
Under 3.5 62.81% (-0.11)
Over 4.5 23.05% (+0.07)
Under 4.5 76.95% (-0.07)

First Half Winner

Benfica 36.58% (+0.47)
Draw 38.88% (-0.25)
Porto 24.54% (-0.23)

Team To Score First

Benfica 54.33% (+0.80)
No Goal 5.19% (-0.15)
Porto 40.48% (-0.66)

Corners

Over 8 49.61% (+0.65)
Equal 8 11.56% (-0.09)
Under 8 38.83% (-0.56)
Over 9 38.55% (+0.66)
Equal 9 11.06% (-0.02)
Under 9 50.39% (-0.65)
Over 10.5 28.79% (+0.62)
Under 10.5 71.21% (-0.63)

Benfica Goals

Over 1.5 48.22% (+0.50)
Under 1.5 51.78% (-0.50)
Over 2.5 23.57% (+0.40)
Under 2.5 76.43% (-0.40)
Over 3.5 10.07% (+0.15)
Under 3.5 89.93% (-0.14)

Porto Goals

Over 0.5 66.59% (-0.22)
Under 0.5 33.41% (+0.22)
Over 1.5 35.87% (-0.32)
Under 1.5 64.13% (+0.31)
Over 2.5 15.13% (-0.25)
Under 2.5 84.87% (+0.25)
Over 3.5 5.35% (-0.10)
Under 3.5 94.65% (+0.10)

Score analysis

Benfica 45.51%
Draw 23.78%
Porto 30.71%
Benfica
2-1 @ 9.07% (+0.08)
1-0 @ 8.27% (+0.05)
2-0 @ 6.62% (+0.07)
3-1 @ 4.82% (+0.11)
3-0 @ 3.6% (+0.11)
3-2 @ 3.4% (+0.05)
Other @ 9.73% (+0.15)
Total : 45.51%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.5% (-0.11)
2-2 @ 6.07% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 5.19% (-0.15)
3-3 @ 1.68% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 23.78%
Porto
1-2 @ 6.97% (-0.08)
0-1 @ 6.33% (+0.04)
0-2 @ 4.3% (-0.05)
1-3 @ 3.24% (-0.08)
2-3 @ 2.89% (-0.05)
0-3 @ 1.97% (-0.04)
Other @ 5.01% (-0.09)
Total : 30.71%

Head to Head

Taca de Portugal
Jan 14, 2026 8.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estádio Do Dragão
  • Jan Bednarek 15' goal
  • William Gomes Carvalho Santos 62' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo Mora Carvalho 62' yellowcard
  • William Gomes 62' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo Mora 62' yellowcard
  • Alberto Oliveira Baio 76' yellowcard
  • Alan Varela 76' yellowcard
  • Alberto Costa 76' yellowcard
  • Stephen Eustaquio 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Heorhiy Sudakov 44'
  • yellowcard Georgiy Sudakov 44'
  • yellowcard Andreas Schjelderup 74'
  • yellowcard Franjo Ivanovic 83'
  • yellowcard Franjo Ivanović 83'
Primeira Liga
Oct 5, 2025 9.15pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Primeira Liga Gameweek 28
Apr 6, 2025 8.30pm
1
4
HT : 0 2
FT Estadio Do Dragao
  • Nehuen Perez 16' yellowcard
  • Martin Anselmi 55' yellowcard
  • Samu Omorodion 81' goal
  • Goncalo Borges 82' yellowcard
  • Martim Fernandes 90'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Vangelis Pavlidis 1'
  • yellowcard Alvaro Fernandez 23'
  • goal Vangelis Pavlidis 42'
  • goal Vangelis Pavlidis 69'
  • goal Nicolas Otamendi 90'+4'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 11
Nov 10, 2024 8.45pm
4
1
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica
  • Alvaro Fernandez 19' yellowcard
  • Alvaro Fernandez 30' goal
  • Angel di Maria 56' goal
  • Nehuen Perez 61' goal
  • Angel di Maria 82' goal
  • Orkun Kokcu 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Alan Varela 19'
  • goal Samu Omorodion 44'
  • yellowcard Fabio Vieira 51'
  • yellowcard Martim Fernandes 52'
  • yellowcard Joao Mario 79'
  • yellowcard Nico Gonzalez 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Goncalo Borges 90'+3'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 24
Mar 3, 2024 8.30pm
5
0
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Do Dragao
  • Sergio Conceicao 12' yellowcard
  • Galeno 20' goal
  • Galeno 44' goal
  • Wendell 55' goal
  • Pepe 75' goal
  • Nico Gonzalez 79' yellowcard
  • Danny Loader 90' goal
  • yellowcard Morato 32'
  • yellowcard Nicolas Otamendi 52'
  • redcard Nicolas Otamendi 61'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 7
Sep 29, 2023 8.15pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica
  • Joao Neves 59' yellowcard
  • Angel di Maria 68' goal
  • Angel di Maria 69' yellowcard
  • David Jurasek 90'+5' yellowcard
  • Nicolas Otamendi 90'+5' yellowcard
  • redcard Fabio Cardoso 19'
  • yellowcard David Carmo 34'
  • yellowcard Mehdi Taremi 35'
  • yellowcard Wendell 77'
  • yellowcard Jose Pedro da Silva Figueiredo Freitas 82'
  • yellowcard Sergio Conceicao 45'+45'
  • yellowcard Francisco Conceicao 90'+5'