Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Benfica win with a probability of 45.52%. A win for Porto has a probability of 30.7% and a draw has a probability of 23.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.27%) and 2-0 (6.62%). The likeliest Porto win is 1-2 (6.97%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.5%).