Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 48.39%. A win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 26.75% and a draw had a probability of 24.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.6%) and 0-2 (8.37%). The likeliest Gil Vicente win was 1-0 (7.38%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.