Primeira Liga
Gameweek
28
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-
Jesús Ramírez
2'
-
Daniel Jr
48'
-
Daniel Jr
49'
-
Paulinho Bóia
71'
-
L. Vallier
77'
-
Filipe Soares
77'
-
Francisco Gonçalves
89'
-
Jovane Cabral
46'
-
Tom Moustier
46'
-
Jefferson Encada
74'
-
Sydney van Hooijdonk
74'
-
Jefferson Encada
75'
-
Leandro Antonetti
85'
Nacional vs Estrela Amadora - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 43.34%. A win for Estrela Amadora had a probability of 31.1% and a draw had a probability of 25.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.34%) and 2-0 (7.02%). The likeliest Estrela Amadora win was 1-2 (7.69%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.
Result
Nacional
43.34%
▼
(-0.04)
Draw
25.56%
Estrela Amadora
31.1%
Both Teams to Score:
55.24%
▼
(-0.08)
Goals
Over 1.5
76.15%
▼
(-0.10)
Under 1.5
23.85%
▲
(+0.11)
Over 2.5
52.71%
▼
(-0.11)
Under 2.5
47.29%
▲
(+0.11)
Over 3.5
29.82%
▼
(-0.11)
Under 3.5
70.18%
▲
(+0.11)
Over 4.5
16.69%
▼
(-0.10)
Under 4.5
83.31%
▲
(+0.11)
First Half Winner
Nacional
34.89%
Draw
42.88%
Estrela Amadora
22.23%
Team To Score First
Nacional
53.51%
▼
(-0.02)
No Goal
6.5%
▲
(+0.02)
Estrela Amadora
39.99%
▼
(-0.01)
Corners
Over 8
69.48%
Equal 8
10.3%
Under 8
20.22%
Over 9
57.84%
Equal 9
11.64%
Under 9
30.52%
Over 10.5
45.91%
Under 10.5
54.09%
Nacional Goals
Over 1.5
43.18%
▼
(-0.10)
Under 1.5
56.82%
▲
(+0.10)
Over 2.5
18.75%
▼
(-0.08)
Under 2.5
81.25%
▲
(+0.08)
Over 3.5
6.5%
▼
(-0.05)
Under 3.5
93.5%
▲
(+0.05)
Estrela Amadora Goals
Over 0.5
66.83%
▼
(-0.05)
Under 0.5
33.17%
▲
(+0.06)
Over 1.5
33.43%
▼
(-0.07)
Under 1.5
66.57%
▲
(+0.06)
Over 2.5
12.64%
▼
(-0.05)
Under 2.5
87.36%
▲
(+0.05)
Over 3.5
3.89%
▼
(-0.03)
Under 3.5
96.11%
▲
(+0.04)
Score analysis
Nacional
43.34%
Draw
25.55%
Estrela Amadora
31.1%
Nacional
1-0
@
9.66%
▲
(+0.02)
2-1 @ 9.34%
2-0 @ 7.02% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 4.47% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 3.66%
3-2 @ 2.87% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 6.32% ▼ (-0.05)
Total : 43.34%
2-1 @ 9.34%
2-0 @ 7.02% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 4.47% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 3.66%
3-2 @ 2.87% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 6.32% ▼ (-0.05)
Total : 43.34%
Draw
1-1
@
11.91%
0-0 @ 6.5% ▲ (+0.02)
2-2 @ 5.71% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.25% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.18% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 25.55%
0-0 @ 6.5% ▲ (+0.02)
2-2 @ 5.71% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.25% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.18% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 25.55%
Estrela Amadora
1-2
@
7.69%
0-1 @ 7.68% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 4.52% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.94%
2-3 @ 2.36% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 2.2%
Other @ 3.71% ▼ (-0.03)
Total : 31.1%
0-1 @ 7.68% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 4.52% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.94%
2-3 @ 2.36% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 2.2%
Other @ 3.71% ▼ (-0.03)
Total : 31.1%
Head to Head
Primeira Liga
Primeira Liga
Gameweek
28
-
Matheus Dias
37'
-
Francisco Sacalumbo
12'
-
Francisco Sacalumbo
21'
-
Leo Cordeiro
72'
-
Jovane Cabral
81'
Primeira Liga
Gameweek
11
-
Ferro
62'
-
Paulo Daniel Valente Moreira
77'
-
Kikas
86'
-
Luis Esteves
12'