Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Nacional win with a probability of 44.24%. A win for Estrela Amadora has a probability of 30.49% and a draw has a probability of 25.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.3%) and 2-0 (7.11%). The likeliest Estrela Amadora win is 0-1 (7.47%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.67%).