Primeira Liga Gameweek 27
Mar 20, 2026 8.15pm
4
0
HT : 2 0
FT Estádio José Gomes
  • Rodrigo Pinho 12' yellowcard
  • Abraham Marcus 37' goal
  • Rodrigo Pinho 45'+3' goal
  • Jovane Cabral 67' yellowcard
  • Alex Sola 67' yellowcard
  • Jorge Meireles 75' yellowcard
  • Eddy Doué 76' goal
  • Otavio Manoel Galdino Fernandes 83' yellowcard
  • Tom Moustier 83' yellowcard
  • Tom Moustier 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard José Fonte 39'
  • yellowcard Tiago Morais 39'
  • yellowcard Tiago Morais 40'
  • yellowcard João Marques 57'
  • yellowcard Iyad Mohamed 57'
  • yellowcard Clau Mendes 77'
  • yellowcard Clau Mendes 78'

Estrela Amadora vs Casa Pia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Estrela Amadora

All competitions
Last game
Mar 15, 2026 6.00pm
Rio Ave 2 - 1 Estrela Amadora
Goals scored
33
Top scorer
Abraham Marcus

Casa Pia

All competitions
Last game
Mar 7, 2026 8.30pm
Estoril 0 - 0 Casa Pia
Goals scored
26
Top scorer
Gaizka Larrazabal

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estrela Amadora win with a probability of 39.6%. A win for Casa Pia had a probability of 32.23% and a draw had a probability of 28.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Estrela Amadora win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.37%) and 2-0 (7.15%). The likeliest Casa Pia win was 0-1 (10.14%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.94%).

Result

Estrela Amadora 39.6%
Draw 28.17%
Casa Pia 32.23% (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.3%

Goals

Over 1.5 68.82% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 31.18% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 43.32%
Under 2.5 56.68% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 22.23% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 77.77% (+0.04)
Over 4.5 11.49% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 88.51% (+0.03)

First Half Winner

Estrela Amadora 28.37%
Draw 44.89%
Casa Pia 26.74%

Team To Score First

Estrela Amadora 46.3% (-0.02)
No Goal 9.56% (+0.03)
Casa Pia 44.14% (-0.01)

Corners

Over 8 52.29%
Equal 8 11.72%
Under 8 36%
Over 9 40.85%
Equal 9 11.44%
Under 9 47.71%
Over 10.5 30.58%
Under 10.5 69.42%

Estrela Amadora Goals

Over 1.5 35.52% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 64.48% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 13.53% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 86.47% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 4.14%
Under 3.5 95.86%

Casa Pia Goals

Over 0.5 64.62% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 35.38% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 29.75% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 70.25% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 10.24%
Under 2.5 89.76%
Over 3.5 2.93% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 97.07% (+0.01)

Score analysis

Estrela Amadora 39.61%
Draw 28.17%
Casa Pia 32.24%
Estrela Amadora
1-0 @ 11.5% (+0.02)
2-1 @ 8.37% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 7.15% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 3.42% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 3.17% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 1.98% (-0.02)
Other @ 4.02%
Total : 39.61%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.94% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 9.56% (+0.03)
2-2 @ 4.73%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 28.17%
Casa Pia
0-1 @ 10.14% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 7.4% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 5.4% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.59%
0-3 @ 2.16% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.74%
Other @ 2.81% (-0.01)
Total : 32.24%

Head to Head

Primeira Liga
Nov 1, 2025 6.00pm
3
5
HT : 0 0
FT
Primeira Liga Gameweek 21
Feb 9, 2025 8.30pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Campo do Cevadeiro
  • Jose Fonte 23' yellowcard
  • Cassiano 37' goal
  • Gaizka Larrazabal 76' yellowcard
  • Joao Pedro Goulart Silva 78' yellowcard
  • Henrique Martins Pereira 90'+6' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Rodrigo Pinho 23'
  • yellowcard Ruben Lima 29'
  • yellowcard Paulo Daniel Valente Moreira 89'
  • yellowcard Issiar Drame 90'+1'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 4
Aug 31, 2024 6.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Jose Gomes
  • Miguel Lopes 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Duplexe Tchamba 49'
  • goal Henrique Martins Pereira 61'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 25
Mar 8, 2024 8.45pm
3
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Jose Gomes da Costa
  • Kikas 57' goal
  • Kikas 75' goal
  • Andre Luiz 90'+1' goal
  • yellowcard Ruben Lameiras 77'
  • goal Yuki Soma 86'
  • yellowcard Duplexe Tchamba 90'+4'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 8
Oct 8, 2023 3.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Campo do Cevadeiro
  • Neto 16' yellowcard
  • goal 73'
  • goal Ronaldo Tavares 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Ronaldo Tavares 90'+4'