Primeira Liga
Rio Ave
Mar 15, 2026 6.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Estádio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube
Estrela Amadora
  • Jalen Blesa 27' goal
  • Jalen Blesa 48' goal
  • Ryan 58' yellowcard
  • João Tomé 75' yellowcard
  • Tamble Monteiro 75' yellowcard
  • Tamble Monteiro 76' yellowcard
  • João Tomé 76' yellowcard
  • Francisco Petrasso 88' yellowcard
  • Georgios Liavas 88' yellowcard
  • Georgios Liavas 89' yellowcard
  • 89' yellowcard
  • Francisco Petrasso 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Robinho 54'
  • yellowcard Otavio Manoel Galdino Fernandes 54'
  • yellowcard Eddy Doué 54'
  • goal Rodrigo Pinho 65'
  • yellowcard Leandro Antonetti 83'
  • yellowcard Yahya Kalley 88'
  • yellowcard Tom Moustier 89'
  • yellowcard Yahya Kalley 89'

Rio Ave vs Estrela Amadora - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Rio Ave

All competitions
Last game
Mar 9, 2026 8.15pm
Tondela 0 - 1 Rio Ave
Goals scored
26
Top scorer
Jalen Blesa

Estrela Amadora

All competitions
Last game
Mar 8, 2026 3.30pm
Estrela Amadora 2 - 2 Gil Vicente
Goals scored
33
Top scorer
Abraham Marcus

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 42.34%. A win for Estrela Amadora had a probability of 30.05% and a draw had a probability of 27.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.89%) and 2-0 (7.7%). The likeliest Estrela Amadora win was 0-1 (9.55%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.

Result

Rio Ave 42.34% ▲ (+0.17)
Draw 27.61%
Estrela Amadora 30.05% ▼ (-0.13)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.04% ▼ (-0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 69.23% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 1.5 30.77% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 2.5 43.72% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 2.5 56.28% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 3.5 21.95% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 3.5 78.05% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 4.5 11.31% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 4.5 88.69% ▲ (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Rio Ave 32.4%
Draw 42.63%
Estrela Amadora 24.98%

Team To Score First

Rio Ave 49.46%
No Goal 9.27% ▲ (+0.01)
Estrela Amadora 41.27% ▼ (-0.01)

Corners

Over 8 58.9%
Equal 8 11.29%
Under 8 29.81%
Over 9 47.29%
Equal 9 11.61%
Under 9 41.1%
Over 10.5 36.34%
Under 10.5 63.66%

Rio Ave Goals

Over 1.5 37.44% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 1.5 62.56% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 2.5 14.55% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 2.5 85.45% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 4.54% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 3.5 95.46% ▼ (-0.02)

Estrela Amadora Goals

Over 0.5 62.96% ▼ (-0.15)
Under 0.5 37.04% ▲ (+0.15)
Over 1.5 27.94% ▼ (-0.13)
Under 1.5 72.06% ▲ (+0.13)
Over 2.5 9.09% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 2.5 90.91% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 3.5 2.4% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 3.5 97.6% ▲ (+0.02)

Score analysis

Rio Ave 42.33%
Draw 27.61%
Estrela Amadora 30.04%
Rio Ave
1-0 @ 11.93% ▲ (+0.09)
2-1 @ 8.89%
2-0 @ 7.7% ▲ (+0.05)
3-1 @ 3.65% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 3.6% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 2.04% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 4.52% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 42.33%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.93% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 9.27% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 4.67% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.02%
Total : 27.61%
Estrela Amadora
0-1 @ 9.55% ▼ (-0.03)
1-2 @ 7.25% ▼ (-0.04)
0-2 @ 4.89% ▼ (-0.03)
1-3 @ 2.31% ▼ (-0.03)
0-3 @ 2.03% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 1.63%
Other @ 2.38% ▼ (-0.03)
Total : 30.04%

Head to Head

Primeira Liga
Estrela Amadora
Oct 25, 2025 8.30pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Rio Ave
Primeira Liga Gameweek 32
Rio Ave
May 5, 2025 7.30pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube
Estrela Amadora
  • Theofanis Bakoulas 20' yellowcard
  • Marios Vrousai 22' yellowcard
  • Clayton 38' yellowcard
  • Petit 43' redcard
  • Clayton 65' goal
  • Clayton 79' goal
  • Joao Novais 86' yellowcard
  • Martim Neto 90'+7' goal
  • yellowcard Diogo Martins Travassos 17'
  • yellowcard Kikas 22'
  • yellowcard Alan Ruiz 68'
  • yellowcard Issiar Drame 77'
  • yellowcard Nilton Varela 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Rodrigo Pinho 90'+1'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 15
Estrela Amadora
Dec 23, 2024 8.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Jose Gomes
Rio Ave
  • Tiago Gabriel Coelho Oliveira 37' goal
  • Diogo Martins Travassos 58' yellowcard
  • Igor Jesus 81' yellowcard
  • Jovane Cabral 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Leonel Bucca 90'+10' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Joao Novais 52'
  • yellowcard Tiago Morais 82'
  • yellowcard Brandon Aguilera 90'+8'
  • redcard Petit 90'+9'
  • redcard Martim Neto 90'+13'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 29
Estrela Amadora
Apr 14, 2024 3.30pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio Jose Gomes da Costa
Rio Ave
  • Ruben Lima 29' yellowcard
  • Leo Cordeiro 43' goal
  • Nanu 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Kikas 88' goal
  • goal Aderlan 12'
  • yellowcard Patrick 86'
  • goal Marios Vrousai 90'+9'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 12
Rio Ave
Dec 2, 2023 3.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube
Estrela Amadora
  • Amine Oudrhiri 21' yellowcard
  • Goncalo Rodrigues 66' yellowcard
  • Aderlan 81' goal
  • Miguel Nobrega 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Joao Graca 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ronald Pereira Martins 25'
  • goal Josue Sa 86' (OG)

Form Data

Tondela 0 - 1 Rio Ave
Rio Ave 0 - 0 Famalicao
Porto 1 - 0 Rio Ave
Rio Ave 1 - 2 Moreirense
Braga 3 - 0 Rio Ave
Rio Ave 0 - 3 Arouca
Estrela Amadora 2 - 2 Gil Vicente
AVS 0 - 0 Estrela Amadora
Estrela Amadora 0 - 2 Tondela
Guimaraes 2 - 1 Estrela Amadora
Estrela Amadora 1 - 0 Santa Clara
Alverca 1 - 1 Estrela Amadora