Primeira Liga Gameweek 25
Mar 7, 2026 8.30pm
Estádio António Coimbra da Mota

Estoril Praia vs Casa Pia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Estoril Praia

All competitions
Last game
Feb 27, 2026 8.45pm
Sporting Lisbon 3 - 0 Estoril
Goals scored
46
Top scorer
Yanis Begraoui

Casa Pia

All competitions
Last game
Mar 1, 2026 6.00pm
Casa Pia 1 - 1 Moreirense
Goals scored
26
Top scorer
Gaizka Larrazabal

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Estoril Praia win with a probability of 49.92%. A draw has a probability of 25.62% and a win for Casa Pia has a probability of 24.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a Estoril Praia win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.76%) and 2-0 (8.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.9%) , while for a Casa Pia win it is 0-1 (7.11%).

Result

Estoril Praia 49.92% (-0.04)
Draw 25.62%
Casa Pia 24.42%

Both Teams to Score: 

52.37% (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.51% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 25.49% (+0.03)
Over 2.5 50.43%
Under 2.5 49.54% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 28.37% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 71.63% (+0.04)
Over 4.5 16% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 84% (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Estoril Praia 36.65%
Draw 41.7%
Casa Pia 21.64%

Team To Score First

Estoril Praia 56.7%
No Goal 7.2% (+0.01)
Casa Pia 36.1% (-0.01)

Corners

Over 8 59.24%
Equal 8 11.69%
Under 8 29.07%
Over 9 47.18%
Equal 9 12.06%
Under 9 40.76%
Over 10.5 35.81%
Under 10.5 64.19%

Estoril Praia Goals

Over 1.5 47.12% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 52.88% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 21.66% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 78.34% (+0.03)
Over 3.5 8.03% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 91.97% (+0.02)

Casa Pia Goals

Over 0.5 60.46% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 39.54% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 26.67%
Under 1.5 73.33%
Over 2.5 8.79% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 91.21% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 2.44% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 97.56% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Estoril Praia 49.92%
Draw 25.62%
Casa Pia 24.42%
Estoril Praia
1-0 @ 11.14% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 9.76%
2-0 @ 8.65% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 5.02% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 4.69%
3-2 @ 2.84%
Other @ 7.82% (-0.01)
Total : 49.92%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.9%
0-0 @ 7.2% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.23% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.08%
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 25.62%
Casa Pia
0-1 @ 7.11% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 6.27% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 3.54%
1-3 @ 2.12% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.82%
0-3 @ 1.33% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.23% (-0.02)
Total : 24.42%

Head to Head

Primeira Liga
Oct 3, 2025 8.15pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Primeira Liga Gameweek 31
Apr 29, 2025 8.30pm
1
3
HT : 1 1
FT Campo do Cevadeiro
  • Cassiano 7' yellowcard
  • Cassiano 43' goal
  • Iyad Mohamed 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Jeremy Livolant 48' redcard
  • goal Yanis Begraoui 21'
  • yellowcard Jordan Holsgrove 64'
  • goal Alejandro Marques 82'
  • redcard Wagner Pina 83'
  • goal Joao Carvalho 87'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 14
Dec 15, 2024 8.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota
  • Helder Costa 38' yellowcard
  • Fabricio Garcia 40' yellowcard
  • Kevin Boma 61' yellowcard
  • Jeremy Livolant 61' yellowcard
  • goal Telasco Segovia 56'
  • goal Cassiano 63'
  • yellowcard Joao Pedro Goulart Silva 68'
  • yellowcard Telasco Segovia 78'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 28
Apr 8, 2024 8.15pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Campo do Cevadeiro
  • yellowcard Joao Basso 72'
  • goal 78'
  • yellowcard Mateus Fernandes 83'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 11
Nov 10, 2023 8.15pm
4
0
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota
  • Alejandro Marques 1' goal
  • Joao Marques 14' yellowcard
  • Rafik Guitane 24' goal
  • Jordan Holsgrove 64' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo Gomes 69' goal
  • Rodrigo Gomes 73' yellowcard
  • Cassiano 90'+5' goal
  • yellowcard Neto 32'
  • yellowcard Pablo Roberto 36'
  • yellowcard Felippe Cardoso 82'
  • yellowcard Beni Mukendi 90'+3'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 33
May 21, 2023 6.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT Estádio Pina Manique
  • Felippe Cardoso 85' goal
  • Saviour Godwin 90'+6' goal
  • goal Cassiano 74'
  • goal Pedro Alvaro 90'+8'