Primeira Liga Gameweek 25
Estoril
Mar 7, 2026 8.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estádio António Coimbra da Mota
Casa Pia
  • Xeka 69' yellowcard
  • Gonçalo Costa 83' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Dailon Livramento 46'
  • yellowcard Pedro Rosas 69'
  • yellowcard Pedro Rosas 70'
  • yellowcard Iyad Mohamed 76'
  • yellowcard Kevin Prieto 76'
  • yellowcard João Marques 86'
  • yellowcard João Marques 87'

Estoril Praia vs Casa Pia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Estoril Praia

All competitions
Last game
Feb 27, 2026 8.45pm
Sporting Lisbon 3 - 0 Estoril
Goals scored
46
Top scorer
Yanis Begraoui

Casa Pia

All competitions
Last game
Mar 1, 2026 6.00pm
Casa Pia 1 - 1 Moreirense
Goals scored
26
Top scorer
Gaizka Larrazabal

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estoril Praia win with a probability of 50.02%. A draw had a probability of 25.62% and a win for Casa Pia had a probability of 24.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a Estoril Praia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.77%) and 2-0 (8.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.91%) , while for a Casa Pia win it was 0-1 (7.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.

Result

Estoril Praia 50.02% ▲ (+0.08)
Draw 25.62%
Casa Pia 24.39% ▼ (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.4%

Goals

Over 1.5 74.64% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 1.5 25.36% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 2.5 50.53% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 2.5 49.47% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 28.45% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 3.5 71.55% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 4.5 16.06% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 4.5 83.94% ▼ (-0.05)

First Half Winner

Estoril Praia 36.65%
Draw 41.7%
Casa Pia 21.64%

Team To Score First

Estoril Praia 56.72% ▲ (+0.02)
No Goal 7.17% ▼ (-0.03)
Casa Pia 36.11%

Corners

Over 8 59.23% ▼ (-0.02)
Equal 8 11.68% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 8 29.09% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 9 47.17% ▼ (-0.01)
Equal 9 12.06%
Under 9 40.78% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 10.5 35.8% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 10.5 64.19%

Estoril Praia Goals

Over 1.5 47.26% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 1.5 52.74% ▼ (-0.09)
Over 2.5 21.76% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 2.5 78.24% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 3.5 8.07% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 3.5 91.93% ▼ (-0.03)

Casa Pia Goals

Over 0.5 60.5%
Under 0.5 39.5%
Over 1.5 26.68%
Under 1.5 73.32%
Over 2.5 8.8%
Under 2.5 91.2%
Over 3.5 2.44% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 3.5 97.56% ▲ (+0.02)

Score analysis

Estoril Praia 50.02%
Draw 25.62%
Casa Pia 24.39%
Estoril Praia
1-0 @ 11.12%
2-1 @ 9.77%
2-0 @ 8.67% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 5.04% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 4.71% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.85% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 7.86% ▲ (+0.04)
Total : 50.02%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.91%
0-0 @ 7.17% ▼ (-0.03)
2-2 @ 5.24%
3-3 @ 1.09% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 25.62%
Casa Pia
0-1 @ 7.1% ▼ (-0.02)
1-2 @ 6.26%
0-2 @ 3.53% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 2.12%
2-3 @ 1.82%
0-3 @ 1.33%
Other @ 2.23% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 24.39%

Head to Head

Primeira Liga
Casa Pia
Oct 3, 2025 8.15pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Estoril
Primeira Liga Gameweek 31
Casa Pia
Apr 29, 2025 8.30pm
1
3
HT : 1 1
FT Campo do Cevadeiro
Estoril
  • Cassiano 7' yellowcard
  • Cassiano 43' goal
  • Iyad Mohamed 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Jeremy Livolant 48' redcard
  • goal Yanis Begraoui 21'
  • yellowcard Jordan Holsgrove 64'
  • goal Alejandro Marques 82'
  • redcard Wagner Pina 83'
  • goal Joao Carvalho 87'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 14
Estoril
Dec 15, 2024 8.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota
Casa Pia
  • Helder Costa 38' yellowcard
  • Fabricio Garcia 40' yellowcard
  • Kevin Boma 61' yellowcard
  • Jeremy Livolant 61' yellowcard
  • goal Telasco Segovia 56'
  • goal Cassiano 63'
  • yellowcard Joao Pedro Goulart Silva 68'
  • yellowcard Telasco Segovia 78'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 28
Casa Pia
Apr 8, 2024 8.15pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Campo do Cevadeiro
Estoril
  • yellowcard Joao Basso 72'
  • goal 78'
  • yellowcard Mateus Fernandes 83'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 11
Estoril
Nov 10, 2023 8.15pm
4
0
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota
Casa Pia
  • Alejandro Marques 1' goal
  • Joao Marques 14' yellowcard
  • Rafik Guitane 24' goal
  • Jordan Holsgrove 64' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo Gomes 69' goal
  • Rodrigo Gomes 73' yellowcard
  • Cassiano 90'+5' goal
  • yellowcard Neto 32'
  • yellowcard Pablo Roberto 36'
  • yellowcard Felippe Cardoso 82'
  • yellowcard Beni Mukendi 90'+3'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 33
Casa Pia
May 21, 2023 6.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT Estádio Pina Manique
Estoril
  • Felippe Cardoso 85' goal
  • Saviour Godwin 90'+6' goal
  • goal Cassiano 74'
  • goal Pedro Alvaro 90'+8'

Form Data

Sporting Lisbon 3 - 0 Estoril
Estoril 3 - 1 Gil Vicente
AVS 3 - 0 Estoril
Estoril 2 - 2 Tondela
Santa Clara 2 - 4 Estoril
Estoril 4 - 2 Guimaraes
Casa Pia 1 - 1 Moreirense
Famalicao 2 - 0 Casa Pia
Casa Pia 3 - 2 Arouca
Nacional 0 - 0 Casa Pia
Casa Pia 2 - 1 Porto
Casa Pia 3 - 3 AVS