Primeira Liga Gameweek 24
Casa Pia
Mar 1, 2026 6.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Campo do Cevadeiro
Moreirense
  • Cassiano 3' yellowcard
  • Cassiano 4' yellowcard
  • Cassiano 40' goal
  • Dailon Livramento 66' yellowcard
  • Iyad Mohamed 66' yellowcard
  • Dailon Livramento 67' yellowcard
  • Iyad Mohamed 67' yellowcard
  • João Marques 83' yellowcard
  • Pedro Rosas 83' yellowcard
  • Tiago Morais 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Afonso Assis Cunha Almeida 46'
  • yellowcard Alan de Souza Guimarães 62'
  • yellowcard Nile John 70'
  • yellowcard Landerson 70'
  • yellowcard Leandro Santos 70'
  • yellowcard Francisco Miguel Teixeira Domingues 87'

Casa Pia vs Moreirense - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Casa Pia

All competitions
Last game
Feb 23, 2026 8.15pm
Famalicao 2 - 0 Casa Pia
Goals scored
26
Top scorer
Gaizka Larrazabal

Moreirense

All competitions
Last game
Feb 21, 2026 6.00pm
Moreirense 0 - 3 Sporting Lisbon
Goals scored
31
Top scorer
Mateja Stjepanovic

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Moreirense win with a probability of 36.48%. A win for Casa Pia had a probability of 36.24% and a draw had a probability of 27.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Moreirense win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.01%) and 0-2 (6.38%). The likeliest Casa Pia win was 1-0 (10.38%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.

Result

Casa Pia 36.24% ▲ (+0.04)
Draw 27.25% ▼ (-0.04)
Moreirense 36.48%

Both Teams to Score: 

50.48% ▲ (+0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 70.49% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 1.5 29.51% ▼ (-0.06)
Over 2.5 44.59% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 2.5 55.41% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 3.5 23.53% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 3.5 76.47% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 4.5 12.22% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 4.5 87.78% ▼ (-0.04)

First Half Winner

Casa Pia 25.83%
Draw 45.63%
Moreirense 28.55%

Team To Score First

Casa Pia 40.61%
No Goal 8.82% ▼ (-0.02)
Moreirense 50.57% ▲ (+0.03)

Corners

Over 8 45%
Equal 8 12.58%
Under 8 42.42%
Over 9 33.41%
Equal 9 11.59%
Under 9 55%
Over 10.5 23.61%
Under 10.5 76.39%

Casa Pia Goals

Over 1.5 33.37% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 1.5 66.63% ▼ (-0.06)
Over 2.5 12.41% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 2.5 87.59% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 3.75% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 3.5 96.25% ▼ (-0.02)

Moreirense Goals

Over 0.5 67.76% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 0.5 32.24% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 1.5 33.67% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 1.5 66.33% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 2.5 12.55% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 2.5 87.45% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 3.5 3.75%
Under 3.5 96.25%

Score analysis

Casa Pia 36.24%
Draw 27.26%
Moreirense 36.48%
Casa Pia
1-0 @ 10.38%
2-1 @ 7.63% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 6.57%
3-1 @ 3.23%
3-0 @ 2.71% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 1.98%
Other @ 3.74% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 36.24%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.94% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 8.82% ▼ (-0.02)
2-2 @ 4.75%
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 27.26%
Moreirense
0-1 @ 10.29% ▼ (-0.03)
1-2 @ 8.01% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 6.38%
1-3 @ 3.33%
0-3 @ 2.72% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 2.01% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.74%
Total : 36.48%

Head to Head

Primeira Liga
Moreirense
Sep 27, 2025 3.30pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Casa Pia
Primeira Liga Gameweek 22
Moreirense
Feb 15, 2025 3.30pm
3
2
HT : 3 0
FT Parque Desportivo Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas
Casa Pia
  • Alan 12' goal
  • Alan 26' goal
  • Alan 32' goal
  • Dinis Pinto 72' yellowcard
  • Sidnei Tavares 90' yellowcard
  • Jeremy Antonisse 90'+6' yellowcard
  • goal Max Svensson Rio 50'
  • yellowcard Miguel Ferreira de Sousa 76'
  • goal Cassiano 90'+6'
  • yellowcard Pablo Roberto 90'+10'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 5
Casa Pia
Sep 14, 2024 3.30pm
3
1
HT : 0 1
FT Campo do Cevadeiro
Moreirense
  • Duplexe Tchamba 58' goal
  • Raul Blanco Juncal 70' goal
  • Andre Geraldes 76' yellowcard
  • Andrian Kraev 77' yellowcard
  • Raul Blanco Juncal 77' yellowcard
  • Nuno Moreira 81' goal
  • Patrick Sequeira 90'+5' yellowcard
  • Ruben Kluivert 90'+5' yellowcard
  • goal Madson 35'
  • yellowcard Ruben Ramos 51'
  • yellowcard Godfried Frimpong 90'+2'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 33
Casa Pia
May 12, 2024 6.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Campo do Cevadeiro
Moreirense
  • Beni Mukendi 29' yellowcard
  • Pablo Roberto 60' yellowcard
  • goal Goncalo Franco 33'
  • yellowcard Luis Nlavo 61'
  • yellowcard Joao Camacho 62'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 16
Moreirense
Jan 8, 2024 8.15pm
1
4
HT : 1 3
FT Parque Desportivo Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas
Casa Pia
  • Matheus Aias 14' goal
  • Joao Camacho 40' yellowcard
  • Jeremy Antonisse 90'+5' yellowcard
  • goal Yuki Soma 18'
  • goal Felippe Cardoso 26'
  • yellowcard Felippe Cardoso 35'
  • goal Joao Nunes 39'
  • goal Felippe Cardoso 56'
  • yellowcard Telasco Segovia 90'+5'

Form Data

Famalicao 2 - 0 Casa Pia
Casa Pia 3 - 2 Arouca
Nacional 0 - 0 Casa Pia
Casa Pia 2 - 1 Porto
Casa Pia 3 - 3 AVS
Sporting Lisbon 3 - 0 Casa Pia
Moreirense 0 - 3 Sporting Lisbon
Rio Ave 1 - 2 Moreirense
Moreirense 1 - 2 Gil Vicente
Guimaraes 1 - 0 Moreirense
Moreirense 1 - 0 Santa Clara
Alverca 2 - 1 Moreirense