Primeira Liga Gameweek 24
Mar 1, 2026 6.00pm
Campo do Cevadeiro

Casa Pia vs Moreirense - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Casa Pia

All competitions
Last game
Feb 23, 2026 8.15pm
Famalicao 2 - 0 Casa Pia
Goals scored
25
Top scorer
Gaizka Larrazabal

Moreirense

All competitions
Last game
Feb 21, 2026 6.00pm
Moreirense 0 - 3 Sporting Lisbon
Goals scored
29
Top scorer
Mateja Stjepanovic

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Moreirense win with a probability of 36.48%. A win for Casa Pia has a probability of 36.21% and a draw has a probability of 27.28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Moreirense win is 0-1 with a probability of 10.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8%) and 0-2 (6.38%). The likeliest Casa Pia win is 1-0 (10.38%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.95%).

Result

Casa Pia 36.21% (+0.31)
Draw 27.28% (+0.11)
Moreirense 36.48% (-0.42)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.41% (-0.02)

Goals

Over 1.5 70.43% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 29.57% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 44.53% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 55.47%
Over 3.5 23.49% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 76.51% (+0.04)
Over 4.5 12.19% (-0.06)
Under 4.5 87.81% (+0.05)

First Half Winner

Casa Pia 25.83% (+0.01)
Draw 45.63%
Moreirense 28.55%

Team To Score First

Casa Pia 40.61% (+0.01)
No Goal 8.84% (+0.01)
Moreirense 50.55% (-0.03)

Corners

Over 8 45% (+0.03)
Equal 8 12.58% (-0.02)
Under 8 42.42% (-0.01)
Over 9 33.41% (+0.04)
Equal 9 11.59% (-0.01)
Under 9 55% (-0.03)
Over 10.5 23.61% (+0.04)
Under 10.5 76.39% (-0.04)

Casa Pia Goals

Over 1.5 33.32% (+0.28)
Under 1.5 66.68% (-0.27)
Over 2.5 12.38% (+0.19)
Under 2.5 87.62% (-0.18)
Over 3.5 3.73% (+0.05)
Under 3.5 96.27% (-0.05)

Moreirense Goals

Over 0.5 67.75% (-0.22)
Under 0.5 32.25% (+0.22)
Over 1.5 33.64% (-0.29)
Under 1.5 66.36% (+0.30)
Over 2.5 12.53% (-0.22)
Under 2.5 87.47% (+0.21)
Over 3.5 3.75% (-0.09)
Under 3.5 96.25% (+0.08)

Score analysis

Casa Pia 36.2%
Draw 27.29%
Moreirense 36.47%
Casa Pia
1-0 @ 10.38% (+0.07)
2-1 @ 7.62% (+0.08)
2-0 @ 6.57% (+0.03)
3-1 @ 3.23% (+0.05)
3-0 @ 2.7% (+0.07)
3-2 @ 1.98%
Other @ 3.72% (+0.06)
Total : 36.2%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.95% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 8.84% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 4.75% (+0.05)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 27.29%
Moreirense
0-1 @ 10.31% (-0.05)
1-2 @ 8% (-0.04)
0-2 @ 6.38% (-0.09)
1-3 @ 3.33% (-0.07)
0-3 @ 2.71% (-0.05)
2-3 @ 2% (-0.05)
Other @ 3.74% (-0.08)
Total : 36.47%

Head to Head

Primeira Liga
Sep 27, 2025 3.30pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Primeira Liga Gameweek 22
Feb 15, 2025 3.30pm
3
2
HT : 3 0
FT Parque Desportivo Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas
  • Alan 12' goal
  • Alan 26' goal
  • Alan 32' goal
  • Dinis Pinto 72' yellowcard
  • Sidnei Tavares 90' yellowcard
  • Jeremy Antonisse 90'+6' yellowcard
  • goal Max Svensson Rio 50'
  • yellowcard Miguel Ferreira de Sousa 76'
  • goal Cassiano 90'+6'
  • yellowcard Pablo Roberto 90'+10'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 5
Sep 14, 2024 3.30pm
3
1
HT : 0 1
FT Campo do Cevadeiro
  • Duplexe Tchamba 58' goal
  • Raul Blanco Juncal 70' goal
  • Andre Geraldes 76' yellowcard
  • Andrian Kraev 77' yellowcard
  • Raul Blanco Juncal 77' yellowcard
  • Nuno Moreira 81' goal
  • Patrick Sequeira 90'+5' yellowcard
  • Ruben Kluivert 90'+5' yellowcard
  • goal Madson 35'
  • yellowcard Ruben Ramos 51'
  • yellowcard Godfried Frimpong 90'+2'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 33
May 12, 2024 6.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Campo do Cevadeiro
  • Beni Mukendi 29' yellowcard
  • Pablo Roberto 60' yellowcard
  • goal Goncalo Franco 33'
  • yellowcard Luis Nlavo 61'
  • yellowcard Joao Camacho 62'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 16
Jan 8, 2024 8.15pm
1
4
HT : 1 3
FT Parque Desportivo Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas
  • Matheus Aias 14' goal
  • Joao Camacho 40' yellowcard
  • Jeremy Antonisse 90'+5' yellowcard
  • goal Yuki Soma 18'
  • goal Felippe Cardoso 26'
  • yellowcard Felippe Cardoso 35'
  • goal Joao Nunes 39'
  • goal Felippe Cardoso 56'
  • yellowcard Telasco Segovia 90'+5'