Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 57.84%. A draw had a probability of 23.83% and a win for Casa Pia had a probability of 18.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.6%) and 2-1 (10.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.56%) , while for a Casa Pia win it was 0-1 (6.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.