Primeira Liga
Mar 15, 2026 3.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estádio da Madeira
  • Chiheb Labidi 46' yellowcard
  • Lucas João 63' yellowcard
  • Pablo Ruan 63' yellowcard
  • André Sousa 79' yellowcard
  • Daniel Jr 79' yellowcard
  • goal Felix Bacher 9'
  • yellowcard Xeka 58'
  • yellowcard André Lacximicant 58'
  • yellowcard Xeka 59'
  • yellowcard Rafik Guitane 59'
  • yellowcard André Lacximicant 59'
  • yellowcard André Lacximicant 60'
  • yellowcard Pedro Amaral 78'
  • yellowcard Pizzi 78'

Nacional vs Estoril Praia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Nacional

All competitions
Last game
Mar 7, 2026 3.30pm
Moreirense 1 - 1 Nacional
Goals scored
29
Top scorer
Jesus Andres Ramirez

Estoril Praia

All competitions
Last game
Mar 7, 2026 8.30pm
Estoril 0 - 0 Casa Pia
Goals scored
48
Top scorer
Yanis Begraoui

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 39.21%. A win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 36.52% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.09%) and 2-0 (5.39%). The likeliest Estoril Praia win was 1-2 (8.46%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.86%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.

Result

Nacional 39.21%
Draw 24.3%
Estoril Praia 36.52% (+0.05)

Both Teams to Score: 

61.18% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 81.51% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 18.49% (-0.05)
Over 2.5 60.3% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 39.7% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 37.63% (+0.07)
Under 3.5 62.37% (-0.04)
Over 4.5 22.47% (+0.04)
Under 4.5 77.53% (-0.04)

First Half Winner

Nacional 30.76%
Draw 40.16%
Estoril Praia 29.08%

Team To Score First

Nacional 47.63% (+0.02)
No Goal 4.65% (-0.01)
Estoril Praia 47.72%

Corners

Over 8 63.56%
Equal 8 10.78%
Under 8 25.66%
Over 9 52.06%
Equal 9 11.5%
Under 9 36.44%
Over 10.5 40.81%
Under 10.5 59.2%

Nacional Goals

Over 1.5 44.26% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 55.74% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 20.23%
Under 2.5 79.77%
Over 3.5 7.8%
Under 3.5 92.2%

Estoril Praia Goals

Over 0.5 72.57% (+0.05)
Under 0.5 27.43% (-0.06)
Over 1.5 41.83% (+0.06)
Under 1.5 58.17% (-0.06)
Over 2.5 18.46% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 81.54% (-0.03)
Over 3.5 6.62% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 93.38% (-0.03)

Score analysis

Nacional 39.21%
Draw 24.3%
Estoril Praia 36.52%
Nacional
2-1 @ 8.64% (-0.01)
1-0 @ 7.09% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 5.39%
3-1 @ 4.46%
3-2 @ 3.3% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 2.9% (-0.02)
Other @ 7.43%
Total : 39.21%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.86%
2-2 @ 6.65% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 4.65% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.77%
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 24.3%
Estoril Praia
1-2 @ 8.46%
0-1 @ 6.78%
0-2 @ 4.96% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 4.05% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 3.35% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 2.67% (-0.02)
Other @ 6.25% (+0.02)
Total : 36.52%

Head to Head

Primeira Liga
Oct 26, 2025 3.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Primeira Liga Gameweek 22
Feb 15, 2025 5.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio da Madeira
  • Paulinho 25' yellowcard
  • Dudu 45'+4' goal
  • Daniel Penha 52' goal
  • Isaac Aguiar Tomich 81' yellowcard
  • Gustavo Garcia 83' yellowcard
  • goal Andre Lacximicant 4'
  • yellowcard Felix Bacher 39'
  • yellowcard Jordan Holsgrove 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Vinicius Zanocelo 90'+2'
  • goal Felix Bacher 90'+3'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 5
Sep 15, 2024 6.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota
  • Pedro Alvaro 5' yellowcard
  • Joao Carvalho 19' goal
  • Michel 52' yellowcard
  • redcard Ulisses 65'
  • yellowcard Ze Vitor 69'
Taca da Liga
Jul 25, 2021 6.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT Estádio da Madeira
  • Bryan Rochez 36' goal
  • yellowcard 25'
  • goal Miguel Crespo 57'
  • goal Joao Carlos 90'
Primeira Liga
Apr 9, 2017 4.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Carlinhos 19' yellowcard
  • Lopes Mano 49' yellowcard
  • Dankler 71' yellowcard
  • Matheus Indio 93' yellowcard
  • goal Zizo 77'
  • yellowcard Tobias Figueiredo 88'
  • yellowcard Adriano Facchini 92'
Primeira Liga
Nov 26, 2016 4.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Washington 79' yellowcard
  • goal Ali Ghazal 9' (OG)
  • yellowcard Ailton 29'
  • yellowcard Oumar Diakhite 49'
  • yellowcard Joel 52'
  • yellowcard Mattheus 81'