Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Moreirense win with a probability of 41.05%. A win for Nacional has a probability of 32.71% and a draw has a probability of 26.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Moreirense win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.65%) and 2-0 (7.11%). The likeliest Nacional win is 0-1 (9.09%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.25%).