Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 65.13%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Vitoria de Guimaraes had a probability of 14.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.25%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.24%) , while for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win it was 0-1 (4.53%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 8% likelihood.