Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 44.18%. A win for Famalicao had a probability of 28.62% and a draw had a probability of 27.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.26%) and 2-0 (7.68%). The likeliest Famalicao win was 0-1 (8.48%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.