/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F10%2Fcaslog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F12%2Fbenlog.png)
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Korede Osundina
46'
-
Clau Mendes
70'
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Rafael Brito
78'
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Abdu Conté
87'
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João Marques
87'
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Abdu Conté
88'
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João Marques
88'
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Kelian Nsona
90'+3'
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Gianluca Prestianni
58'
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Richard Ríos
68'
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Georgiy Sudakov
70'
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Franjo Ivanović
81'
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Anísio
81'
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Anísio
82'
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Franjo Ivanović
82'
Casa Pia vs Benfica - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 65.72%. A draw had a probability of 21.48% and a win for Casa Pia had a probability of 12.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.96%) and 1-2 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.89%) , while for a Casa Pia win it was 1-0 (5.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.
Result
Casa Pia
12.8%
Draw
21.48%
▲
(+0.04)
Benfica
65.72%
▼
(-0.04)
Both Teams to Score:
44.01%
Goals
Over 1.5
72.34%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 1.5
27.66%
▲
(+0.02)
Over 2.5
47.55%
▼
(-0.05)
Under 2.5
52.45%
▲
(+0.05)
Over 3.5
26.03%
Under 3.5
73.97%
Over 4.5
16.42%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 4.5
83.58%
▲
(+0.02)
First Half Winner
Casa Pia
18.32%
Draw
38.84%
Benfica
42.85%
Team To Score First
Casa Pia
25.84%
No Goal
7.97%
▲
(+0.01)
Benfica
66.19%
▼
(-0.02)
Corners
Over 8
51.96%
Equal 8
12.09%
Under 8
35.95%
Over 9
40.19%
Equal 9
11.77%
Under 9
48.04%
Over 10.5
29.68%
Under 10.5
70.32%
Casa Pia Goals
Over 1.5
13.34%
Under 1.5
86.66%
Over 2.5
2.62%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 2.5
97.38%
▲
(+0.01)
Over 3.5
0.44%
Under 3.5
99.56%
Benfica Goals
Over 0.5
83.96%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 0.5
16.04%
▲
(+0.01)
Over 1.5
55.63%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 1.5
44.37%
▲
(+0.02)
Over 2.5
29.23%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 2.5
70.77%
▲
(+0.02)
Over 3.5
12.71%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 3.5
87.29%
▲
(+0.02)
Score analysis
Casa Pia
12.79%
Draw
21.5%
Benfica
65.73%
Casa Pia
1-0
@
5.33%
▲
(+0.01)
2-1 @ 3.32%
2-0 @ 1.93%
Other @ 0.43%
Total : 12.79%
2-1 @ 3.32%
2-0 @ 1.93%
Other @ 0.43%
Total : 12.79%
Draw
1-1
@
9.89%
▲
(+0.01)
0-0 @ 7.97% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 3.23% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 21.5%
0-0 @ 7.97% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 3.23% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 21.5%
Benfica
0-1
@
14.38%
0-2 @ 12.96%
1-2 @ 9.57% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 8.23% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 5.65%
2-3 @ 2.24%
Other @ 12.7% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 65.73%
0-2 @ 12.96%
1-2 @ 9.57% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 8.23% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 5.65%
2-3 @ 2.24%
Other @ 12.7% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 65.73%