Primeira Liga Gameweek 28
Apr 6, 2026 8.45pm
Estádio Pina Manique

Casa Pia vs Benfica - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Casa Pia

All competitions
Last game
Mar 20, 2026 8.15pm
Estrela Amadora 4 - 0 Casa Pia
Goals scored
26
Top scorer
Gaizka Larrazabal

Benfica

All competitions
Last game
Mar 21, 2026 6.00pm
Benfica 3 - 0 Guimaraes
Goals scored
58
Top scorer
Vangelis Pavlidis

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Benfica win with a probability of 65.75%. A draw has a probability of 21.45% and a win for Casa Pia has a probability of 12.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win is 0-1 with a probability of 14.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (12.96%) and 1-2 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.88%) , while for a Casa Pia win it is 1-0 (5.32%).

Result

Casa Pia 12.8% (-0.20)
Draw 21.45% (-0.07)
Benfica 65.75% (+0.27)

Both Teams to Score: 

44.01% (-0.54)

Goals

Over 1.5 72.36% (-0.29)
Under 1.5 27.64% (+0.29)
Over 2.5 47.59% (-0.34)
Under 2.5 52.41% (+0.37)
Over 3.5 26.03% (-0.42)
Under 3.5 73.97% (+0.43)
Over 4.5 16.43% (-0.22)
Under 4.5 83.57% (+0.22)

First Half Winner

Casa Pia 18.32%
Draw 38.84%
Benfica 42.85%

Team To Score First

Casa Pia 25.84% (-0.04)
No Goal 7.96% (+0.10)
Benfica 66.2% (-0.07)

Corners

Over 8 51.96% (-0.40)
Equal 8 12.09% (+0.06)
Under 8 35.95% (+0.36)
Over 9 40.19% (-0.41)
Equal 9 11.77%
Under 9 48.04% (+0.40)
Over 10.5 29.68% (-0.36)
Under 10.5 70.32% (+0.36)

Casa Pia Goals

Over 1.5 13.34% (-0.34)
Under 1.5 86.66% (+0.33)
Over 2.5 2.63% (-0.10)
Under 2.5 97.37% (+0.10)
Over 3.5 0.44% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 99.56% (+0.04)

Benfica Goals

Over 0.5 83.97% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 16.03% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 55.65% (-0.13)
Under 1.5 44.35% (+0.13)
Over 2.5 29.25% (-0.09)
Under 2.5 70.75% (+0.10)
Over 3.5 12.72% (-0.06)
Under 3.5 87.28% (+0.07)

Score analysis

Casa Pia 12.79%
Draw 21.47%
Benfica 65.76%
Casa Pia
1-0 @ 5.32% (-0.06)
2-1 @ 3.32% (-0.03)
2-0 @ 1.93% (-0.07)
Other @ 0.43% (-0.04)
Total : 12.79%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.88% (-0.04)
0-0 @ 7.96% (+0.10)
2-2 @ 3.22% (-0.08)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 21.47%
Benfica
0-1 @ 14.38% (+0.27)
0-2 @ 12.96% (+0.17)
1-2 @ 9.58% (-0.09)
0-3 @ 8.24% (+0.15)
1-3 @ 5.65% (-0.07)
2-3 @ 2.24% (-0.08)
Other @ 12.71% (-0.06)
Total : 65.76%

Head to Head

Primeira Liga
Nov 9, 2025 8.30pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Primeira Liga Gameweek 19
Jan 25, 2025 6.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT Campo do Cevadeiro
  • Cassiano 32' goal
  • Nuno Moreira 60' goal
  • Nuno Moreira 79' yellowcard
  • Miguel Ferreira de Sousa 82' yellowcard
  • Jeremy Livolant 90'+4' goal
  • goal Angel di Maria 14'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 2
Aug 17, 2024 8.30pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica
  • Vangelis Pavlidis 70' goal
  • Tiago Gouveia 80' goal
  • Fredrik Aursnes 90' goal
  • yellowcard Telasco Segovia 67'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 26
Mar 17, 2024 6.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Campo do Cevadeiro
  • yellowcard Florentino Luis 45'
  • goal Arthur Cabral 74'
  • yellowcard Antonio Silva 77'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 9
Oct 28, 2023 6.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica
  • Joao Mario 44' goal
  • Florentino Luis 73' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Gaizka Larrazabal 41'
  • yellowcard Pablo Roberto 72'
  • goal Gaizka Larrazabal 81'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 19
Feb 4, 2023 6.00pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Estádio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica
  • Joao Mario 35' goal
  • Joao Mario 43' goal
  • Alexander Bah 71' goal