Champions League
Apr 15, 2026 8.00pm
Emirates Stadium

Arsenal vs Sporting Lisbon - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Arsenal

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Apr 7, 2026 8.00pm
Sporting Lisbon 0 - 1 Arsenal

Sporting Lisbon

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Apr 7, 2026 8.00pm
Sporting Lisbon 0 - 1 Arsenal

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Arsenal win with a probability of 47%. A win for Sporting Lisbon has a probability of 29.15% and a draw has a probability of 23.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Arsenal win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.19%) and 2-0 (7.58%). The likeliest Sporting Lisbon win is 1-2 (7.1%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.03%).

Result

Arsenal 47% (+0.04)
Draw 23.85%
Sporting Lisbon 29.15% (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.75%

Goals

Over 1.5 78.08%
Under 1.5 21.92%
Over 2.5 55.24%
Under 2.5 44.76%
Over 3.5 32.76%
Under 3.5 67.24%
Over 4.5 19.52%
Under 4.5 80.48%

First Half Winner

Arsenal 34.31%
Draw 38.09%
Sporting Lisbon 27.6%

Team To Score First

Arsenal 52.01%
No Goal 5.76%
Sporting Lisbon 42.23%

Corners

Over 8 49.05%
Equal 8 11.57%
Under 8 39.38%
Over 9 38.03%
Equal 9 11.02%
Under 9 50.95%
Over 10.5 28.34%
Under 10.5 71.66%

Arsenal Goals

Over 1.5 47.13% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 52.87% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 22.49% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 77.51% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 8.85% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 91.15% (-0.01)

Sporting Lisbon Goals

Over 0.5 64.4% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 35.6% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 32.4% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 67.6% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 12.46% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 87.54% (+0.03)
Over 3.5 4.17%
Under 3.5 95.83%

Score analysis

Arsenal 47%
Draw 23.84%
Sporting Lisbon 29.15%
Arsenal
1-0 @ 9.27% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 9.19%
2-0 @ 7.58%
3-1 @ 4.9%
3-0 @ 4.36% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 3.08%
Other @ 8.62% (+0.01)
Total : 47%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.03% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 5.76%
2-2 @ 5.52%
3-3 @ 1.3%
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 23.84%
Sporting Lisbon
1-2 @ 7.1%
0-1 @ 6.88% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 4.24% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.81%
2-3 @ 2.35% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.83% (-0.02)
Other @ 3.94%
Total : 29.15%

Head to Head

Champions League
Apr 7, 2026 8.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estádio José Alvalade
  • Daniel Bragança 62' yellowcard
  • Rafael Nel 79' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kai Havertz 70'
  • yellowcard Max Dowman 76'
  • yellowcard Gabriel Martinelli 76'
  • goal Kai Havertz 90'+1'
Champions League
Nov 26, 2024 8.00pm
1
5
HT : 0 3
FT Estadio Jose Alvalade
  • Ousmane Diomande 4' yellowcard
  • Goncalo Inacio 47' goal
  • goal Gabriel Martinelli 7'
  • goal Kai Havertz 22'
  • goal Gabriel Magalhaes 45'+1'
  • yellowcard David Raya 52'
  • goal Bukayo Saka 65'
  • goal Leandro Trossard 82'
Europa League
Mar 16, 2023 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
ET Emirates Stadium
  • Granit Xhaka 19' goal
  • goal Pedro Goncalves 62'
Europa League
Mar 9, 2023 5.45pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT Estádio José Alvalade
  • Goncalo Inacio 34' goal
  • Paulinho 55' goal
  • goal William Saliba 22'
  • goal Hidemasa Morita 62' (OG)
Europa League Gameweek 4
Nov 8, 2018 8.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Emirates Stadium (London)
  • Stephan Lichtsteiner 21' yellowcard
  • Matteo Guendouzi 72' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Bruno Gaspar 41'
  • yellowcard Marcos Acuna 67'
  • yellowcard Miguel Luis 74'
  • redcard Jeremy Mathieu 87'
Europa League Gameweek 3
Oct 25, 2018 5.55pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Marcos Acuna 39' yellowcard
  • Sebastian Coates 71' yellowcard
  • Jovane Cabral 90' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo Battaglia 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Rob Holding 46'
  • yellowcard Henrikh Mkhitaryan 52'
  • goal Danny Welbeck 77'