Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 43.85%. A win for Sporting Lisbon had a probability of 32.15% and a draw had a probability of 23.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Arsenal win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.74%) and 2-0 (6.72%). The likeliest Sporting Lisbon win was 1-2 (7.58%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.