Champions League
Apr 15, 2026 8.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Emirates Stadium
  • Kai Havertz 56' yellowcard
  • Max Dowman 63' yellowcard
  • Leandro Trossard 79' yellowcard
  • Gabriel Jesus 79' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Daniel Bragança 71'
  • yellowcard Geovany Quenda 71'
  • yellowcard João Simões 77'
  • yellowcard Rafael Nel 85'
  • yellowcard Georgios Vagiannidis 85'

Arsenal vs Sporting Lisbon - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Arsenal

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Apr 7, 2026 8.00pm
Sporting Lisbon 0 - 1 Arsenal

Sporting Lisbon

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Apr 7, 2026 8.00pm
Sporting Lisbon 0 - 1 Arsenal

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 43.85%. A win for Sporting Lisbon had a probability of 32.15% and a draw had a probability of 23.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Arsenal win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.74%) and 2-0 (6.72%). The likeliest Sporting Lisbon win was 1-2 (7.58%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result

Arsenal 43.85% (-0.22)
Draw 23.97% (+0.04)
Sporting Lisbon 32.15% (+0.15)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.27% (-0.03)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.57% (-0.10)
Under 1.5 21.43% (+0.09)
Over 2.5 56.04% (-0.15)
Under 2.5 43.96% (+0.15)
Over 3.5 33.45% (-0.26)
Under 3.5 66.59% (+0.30)
Over 4.5 19.84% (-0.18)
Under 4.5 80.16% (+0.18)

First Half Winner

Arsenal 32.63%
Draw 39.29%
Sporting Lisbon 28.09%

Team To Score First

Arsenal 51.18% (-0.01)
No Goal 5.59% (+0.02)
Sporting Lisbon 43.23% (-0.02)

Corners

Over 8 52.93% (-0.36)
Equal 8 11.35%
Under 8 35.72% (+0.36)
Over 9 41.79% (-0.33)
Equal 9 11.14% (-0.03)
Under 9 47.07% (+0.36)
Over 10.5 31.7% (-0.29)
Under 10.5 68.3% (+0.29)

Arsenal Goals

Over 1.5 44.96% (-0.30)
Under 1.5 55.04% (+0.30)
Over 2.5 21.06% (-0.27)
Under 2.5 78.94% (+0.26)
Over 3.5 8.01% (-0.10)
Under 3.5 91.99% (+0.10)

Sporting Lisbon Goals

Over 0.5 67.21% (+0.11)
Under 0.5 32.79% (-0.11)
Over 1.5 35.57% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 64.43% (-0.03)
Over 2.5 14.35% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 85.65% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 4.97%
Under 3.5 95.03%

Score analysis

Arsenal 43.84%
Draw 23.96%
Sporting Lisbon 32.16%
Arsenal
2-1 @ 8.91% (+0.05)
1-0 @ 8.74%
2-0 @ 6.72% (-0.05)
3-1 @ 4.62% (-0.08)
3-0 @ 3.9% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 3.15% (-0.05)
Other @ 7.8% (-0.11)
Total : 43.84%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.05% (+0.08)
2-2 @ 5.73% (-0.03)
0-0 @ 5.59% (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.38% (-0.04)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 23.96%
Sporting Lisbon
1-2 @ 7.58% (+0.05)
0-1 @ 7.06% (+0.05)
0-2 @ 4.76% (+0.03)
1-3 @ 3.25% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.54% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 2.21% (+0.07)
Other @ 4.76%
Total : 32.16%

Head to Head

Champions League
Apr 7, 2026 8.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estádio José Alvalade
  • Daniel Bragança 62' yellowcard
  • Rafael Nel 79' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kai Havertz 70'
  • yellowcard Max Dowman 76'
  • yellowcard Gabriel Martinelli 76'
  • goal Kai Havertz 90'+1'
Champions League
Nov 26, 2024 8.00pm
1
5
HT : 0 3
FT Estadio Jose Alvalade
  • Ousmane Diomande 4' yellowcard
  • Goncalo Inacio 47' goal
  • goal Gabriel Martinelli 7'
  • goal Kai Havertz 22'
  • goal Gabriel Magalhaes 45'+1'
  • yellowcard David Raya 52'
  • goal Bukayo Saka 65'
  • goal Leandro Trossard 82'
Europa League
Mar 16, 2023 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
ET Emirates Stadium
  • Granit Xhaka 19' goal
  • goal Pedro Goncalves 62'
Europa League
Mar 9, 2023 5.45pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT Estádio José Alvalade
  • Goncalo Inacio 34' goal
  • Paulinho 55' goal
  • goal William Saliba 22'
  • goal Hidemasa Morita 62' (OG)
Europa League Gameweek 4
Nov 8, 2018 8.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Emirates Stadium (London)
  • Stephan Lichtsteiner 21' yellowcard
  • Matteo Guendouzi 72' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Bruno Gaspar 41'
  • yellowcard Marcos Acuna 67'
  • yellowcard Miguel Luis 74'
  • redcard Jeremy Mathieu 87'
Europa League Gameweek 3
Oct 25, 2018 5.55pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Marcos Acuna 39' yellowcard
  • Sebastian Coates 71' yellowcard
  • Jovane Cabral 90' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo Battaglia 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Rob Holding 46'
  • yellowcard Henrikh Mkhitaryan 52'
  • goal Danny Welbeck 77'

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