Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 64.73%. A draw had a probability of 21.14% and a win for Bournemouth had a probability of 14.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Arsenal win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.98%) and 2-1 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.89%) , while for a Bournemouth win it was 0-1 (4.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.