Premier League Gameweek 31
Bournemouth
Mar 20, 2026 8.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT Vitality Stadium
Man Utd
  • Ryan Christie 67' goal
  • David Brooks 73' yellowcard
  • Eli Kroupi 73' yellowcard
  • Adam Smith 73' yellowcard
  • Eli Kroupi 81' yellowcard
  • Ben Gannon-Doak 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Bruno Fernandes 61'
  • goal James Hill 71' (OG)
  • yellowcard Benjamin Sesko 71'
  • yellowcard Ayden Heaven 82'
  • yellowcard Manuel Ugarte 82'
  • yellowcard Mason Mount 90'
  • yellowcard Mason Mount 90'+6'

Bournemouth vs Manchester United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Bournemouth

All competitions
Last game
Mar 14, 2026 3.00pm
Burnley 0 - 0 Bournemouth
Goals scored
46
Top scorer
Evanilson

Manchester United

All competitions
Last game
Mar 15, 2026 2.00pm
Man Utd 3 - 1 Aston Villa
Goals scored
56
Top scorer
Matheus Cunha

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 39.71%. A win for Bournemouth had a probability of 32.9% and a draw had a probability of 27.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.22%) and 0-2 (6.8%). The likeliest Bournemouth win was 1-0 (9.51%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.

Result

Bournemouth 32.9% ▼ (-0.10)
Draw 27.36% ▲ (+0.01)
Manchester United 39.71% ▲ (+0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.81% ▼ (-0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 70.57% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 1.5 29.43% ▲ (+0.11)
Over 2.5 46.11% ▼ (-0.10)
Under 2.5 53.89% ▲ (+0.10)
Over 3.5 25.42% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 3.5 74.58% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 4.5 13.83% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 4.5 86.17% ▲ (+0.04)

First Half Winner

Bournemouth 29.29% ▲ (+0.03)
Draw 41.47% ▲ (+0.01)
Manchester United 29.23% ▼ (-0.06)

Team To Score First

Bournemouth 43.82% ▼ (-0.03)
No Goal 8.94% ▲ (+0.03)
Manchester United 47.24% ▼ (-0.01)

Corners

Over 8 61.02% ▼ (-0.01)
Equal 8 11.52%
Under 8 27.46% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 9 48.95% ▼ (-0.01)
Equal 9 12.07%
Under 9 38.98% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 10.5 37.41% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 10.5 62.59% ▲ (+0.02)

Bournemouth Goals

Over 1.5 31.83% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 1.5 68.17% ▲ (+0.11)
Over 2.5 11.83% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 2.5 88.17% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 3.5 3.67% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 3.5 96.33% ▲ (+0.02)

Manchester United Goals

Over 0.5 70.5% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 0.5 29.5% ▲ (+0.06)
Over 1.5 36.9% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 1.5 63.1% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 2.5 14.81% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 2.5 85.19% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 3.5 4.84%
Under 3.5 95.16%

Score analysis

Bournemouth 32.91%
Draw 27.35%
Manchester United 39.7%
Bournemouth
1-0 @ 9.51% ▼ (-0.01)
2-1 @ 7.33% ▼ (-0.02)
2-0 @ 5.31% ▼ (-0.03)
3-1 @ 2.98% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 2.13%
3-2 @ 2.08%
Other @ 3.57% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 32.91%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.35% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 8.94% ▲ (+0.03)
2-2 @ 4.99% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 27.35%
Manchester United
0-1 @ 10.94% ▲ (+0.02)
1-2 @ 8.22%
0-2 @ 6.8% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 3.62% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 3.01%
2-3 @ 2.37% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 4.74%
Total : 39.7%

Head to Head

Premier League
Man Utd
Dec 15, 2025 8.00pm
4
4
HT : 2 1
FT
Bournemouth
  • Amad Diallo 13' goal
  • Diogo Dalot 43' yellowcard
  • Casemiro 45'+4' goal
  • Casemiro 50' yellowcard
  • Bruno Fernandes 77' goal
  • Matheus Cunha 79' goal
  • goal Antoine Semenyo 40'
  • yellowcard Antoine Semenyo 43'
  • goal Evanilson 46'
  • goal Marcus Tavernier 52'
  • yellowcard Marcos Senesi 76'
  • yellowcard Adam Smith 79'
  • yellowcard Adam Smith 81'
  • goal Eli Junior Kroupi 84'
Club Friendlies 1
Man Utd
Jul 31, 2025 3.30am
4
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Bournemouth
Club Friendlies 1 Gameweek 1
Bournemouth
Jul 30, 2025 10.00am
Man Utd
Club Friendlies 1 Gameweek 1
Man Utd
Jul 30, 2025 10.00am
Bournemouth
Premier League Gameweek 34
Bournemouth
Apr 27, 2025 2.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Vitality Stadium
Man Utd
  • Tyler Adams 21' yellowcard
  • Antoine Semenyo 23' goal
  • Dean Huijsen 63' yellowcard
  • Justin Kluivert 65' yellowcard
  • Evanilson 70' redcard
  • Adam Smith 71' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Patrick Dorgu 57'
  • yellowcard Luke Shaw 79'
  • goal Rasmus Hojlund 90'+6'
Premier League Gameweek 17
Man Utd
Dec 22, 2024 2.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT Old Trafford
Bournemouth
  • Manuel Ugarte 37' yellowcard
  • goal Dean Huijsen 29'
  • yellowcard Adam Smith 35'
  • goal Justin Kluivert 61'
  • goal Antoine Semenyo 63'
  • yellowcard Kepa Arrizabalaga 82'
  • yellowcard Dean Huijsen 90'+1'

Form Data

Burnley 0 - 0 Bournemouth
Bournemouth 0 - 0 Brentford
Bournemouth 1 - 1 Sunderland
West Ham 0 - 0 Bournemouth
Everton 1 - 2 Bournemouth
Bournemouth 1 - 1 Aston Villa
Man Utd 3 - 1 Aston Villa
Newcastle 2 - 1 Man Utd
Man Utd 2 - 1 Crystal Palace
Everton 0 - 1 Man Utd
West Ham 1 - 1 Man Utd
Man Utd 2 - 0 Spurs

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