Premier League Gameweek 30
Mar 15, 2026 2.00pm
3
1
HT : 0 0
FT Old Trafford
  • Casemiro 53' goal
  • Matheus Cunha 71' goal
  • Benjamin Sesko 75' yellowcard
  • Benjamin Sesko 81' goal
  • Manuel Ugarte 90' yellowcard
  • Manuel Ugarte 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Tammy Abraham 60'
  • yellowcard Leon Bailey 61'
  • yellowcard Tammy Abraham 61'
  • goal Ross Barkley 64'
  • yellowcard Douglas Luiz 82'
  • yellowcard Ian Maatsen 82'
  • yellowcard Andrés García 86'

Manchester United vs Aston Villa - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Manchester United

All competitions
Last game
Mar 4, 2026 8.15pm
Newcastle 2 - 1 Man Utd
Goals scored
56
Top scorer
Matheus Cunha

Aston Villa

All competitions
Last game
Mar 4, 2026 7.30pm
Aston Villa 1 - 4 Chelsea
Goals scored
42
Top scorer
Ollie Watkins

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 48.68%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 27.4% and a draw had a probability of 23.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.96%) and 2-0 (7.31%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 1-2 (6.79%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.05%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.

Result

Manchester United 48.68% (+0.04)
Draw 23.88% (-0.05)
Aston Villa 27.4% (-0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.95%

Goals

Over 1.5 79.74% (-0.10)
Under 1.5 20.26% (+0.09)
Over 2.5 57.56% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 42.44% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 35.19%
Under 3.5 64.81%
Over 4.5 20.88% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 79.12% (+0.03)

First Half Winner

Manchester United 34.17%
Draw 40.39%
Aston Villa 25.44%

Team To Score First

Manchester United 51.61%
No Goal 5.11% (+0.02)
Aston Villa 43.28% (-0.01)

Corners

Over 8 50.77% (-0.01)
Equal 8 12.48% (-0.01)
Under 8 36.75% (+0.03)
Over 9 38.73% (+0.01)
Equal 9 12.04% (-0.02)
Under 9 49.23% (+0.01)
Over 10.5 28.11% (+0.02)
Under 10.5 71.89% (-0.02)

Manchester United Goals

Over 1.5 49.95% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 50.05% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 24.36% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 75.64% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 9.61% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 90.39% (-0.02)

Aston Villa Goals

Over 0.5 65% (-0.11)
Under 0.5 35% (+0.11)
Over 1.5 32.6% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 67.4% (+0.09)
Over 2.5 12.37% (-0.06)
Under 2.5 87.63% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 3.9% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 96.1% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Manchester United 48.67%
Draw 23.88%
Aston Villa 27.4%
Manchester United
2-1 @ 9.77%
1-0 @ 8.96% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 7.31%
3-1 @ 5.44% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 4.21%
3-2 @ 3.62% (-0.01)
Other @ 9.36% (+0.02)
Total : 48.67%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.05% (-0.04)
2-2 @ 5.99%
0-0 @ 5.11% (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.48%
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 23.88%
Aston Villa
1-2 @ 6.79% (-0.01)
0-1 @ 6.14%
0-2 @ 3.83% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.87% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.52% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.6% (-0.02)
Other @ 3.65% (-0.03)
Total : 27.4%

Head to Head

Premier League
Dec 21, 2025 4.30pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Morgan Rogers 45' goal
  • Morgan Rogers 57' goal
  • Lamare Bogarde 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Matheus Cunha 45'+3'
  • yellowcard Manuel Ugarte 68'
  • yellowcard Diogo Dalot 72'
Premier League Gameweek 38
May 25, 2025 4.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Old Trafford
  • Amad Diallo 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Amad Diallo 76' goal
  • Christian Eriksen 87' goal
  • Casemiro 90'+4' yellowcard
  • redcard Emiliano Martinez 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Pau Torres 73'
  • yellowcard Morgan Rogers 80'
Premier League Gameweek 7
Oct 6, 2024 2.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Villa Park
  • Ross Barkley 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Christian Eriksen 3'
  • yellowcard Harry Maguire 36'
  • yellowcard Kobbie Mainoo 41'
  • yellowcard Marcus Rashford 59'
  • yellowcard Victor Lindelof 87'
Premier League Gameweek 24
Feb 11, 2024 4.30pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Villa Park
  • Clement Lenglet 45'+4' yellowcard
  • Matty Cash 60' yellowcard
  • Douglas Luiz 67' goal
  • Moussa Diaby 71' yellowcard
  • goal Rasmus Hojlund 17'
  • yellowcard Casemiro 37'
  • yellowcard Kobbie Mainoo 45'+4'
  • goal Scott McTominay 86'
Premier League Gameweek 19
Dec 26, 2023 8.00pm
3
2
HT : 0 2
FT Old Trafford
  • Alejandro Garnacho 59' goal
  • Alejandro Garnacho 71' goal
  • Bruno Fernandes 73' yellowcard
  • Rasmus Hojlund 82' goal
  • goal John McGinn 21'
  • goal Leander Dendoncker 26'
  • yellowcard Jacob Ramsey 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Diego Carlos 74'
  • yellowcard Ezri Konsa 87'
Premier League Gameweek 34
Apr 30, 2023 2.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Bruno Fernandes 39' goal

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