Premier League Gameweek 30
Mar 14, 2026 3.00pm
Turf Moor

Burnley vs Bournemouth - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Burnley

All competitions
Last game
Mar 3, 2026 7.30pm
Everton 2 - 0 Burnley
Goals scored
32
Top scorer
Zian Flemming

Bournemouth

All competitions
Last game
Mar 3, 2026 7.30pm
Bournemouth 0 - 0 Brentford
Goals scored
44
Top scorer
Evanilson

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Bournemouth win with a probability of 38.24%. A win for Burnley has a probability of 34.38% and a draw has a probability of 27.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bournemouth win is 0-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.28%) and 0-2 (6.15%). The likeliest Burnley win is 1-0 (8.88%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.89%).

Result

Burnley 34.38%
Draw 27.35%
Bournemouth 38.24%

Both Teams to Score: 

52.97%

Goals

Over 1.5 73.08%
Under 1.5 26.92%
Over 2.5 49.89%
Under 2.5 50.11%
Over 3.5 28.71%
Under 3.5 71.29%
Over 4.5 16.09%
Under 4.5 83.91%

First Half Winner

Burnley 30.39%
Draw 39.32%
Bournemouth 30.28%

Team To Score First

Burnley 44.91%
No Goal 8.2%
Bournemouth 46.89%

Corners

Over 8 63.81%
Equal 8 10.74%
Under 8 25.46%
Over 9 52.33%
Equal 9 11.48%
Under 9 36.19%
Over 10.5 41.08%
Under 10.5 58.91%

Burnley Goals

Over 1.5 35.36%
Under 1.5 64.64%
Over 2.5 14.31%
Under 2.5 85.69%
Over 3.5 5.01%
Under 3.5 94.99%

Bournemouth Goals

Over 0.5 70.63%
Under 0.5 29.37%
Over 1.5 37.99%
Under 1.5 62.01%
Over 2.5 15.56%
Under 2.5 84.44%
Over 3.5 5.16%
Under 3.5 94.84%

Score analysis

Burnley 34.38%
Draw 27.35%
Bournemouth 38.25%
Burnley
1-0 @ 8.88%
2-1 @ 7.6%
2-0 @ 5.15%
3-1 @ 3.33%
3-0 @ 2.38%
3-2 @ 2.3%
Other @ 4.74%
Total : 34.38%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.89%
0-0 @ 8.2%
2-2 @ 5.7%
3-3 @ 1.29%
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 27.35%
Bournemouth
0-1 @ 9.82%
1-2 @ 8.28%
0-2 @ 6.15%
1-3 @ 3.59%
0-3 @ 2.92%
2-3 @ 2.6%
Other @ 4.89%
Total : 38.25%

Head to Head

Premier League
Dec 20, 2025 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Antoine Semenyo 67' goal
  • 74' yellowcard
  • David Brooks 74' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Zian Flemming 38'
  • goal Armando Broja 90'
Premier League Gameweek 27
Mar 3, 2024 1.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Turf Moor
  • Dara O'Shea 1' yellowcard
  • Vitinho 68' yellowcard
  • goal Justin Kluivert 13'
  • yellowcard Antoine Semenyo 41'
  • yellowcard Justin Kluivert 44'
  • yellowcard Marcus Tavernier 68'
  • yellowcard Adam Smith 84'
  • goal Antoine Semenyo 88'
Premier League Gameweek 10
Oct 28, 2023 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Vitality Stadium
  • Antoine Semenyo 22' goal
  • Philip Billing 76' goal
  • Philip Billing 76' yellowcard
  • Dango Ouattara 84' yellowcard
  • goal Charlie Taylor 11'
  • yellowcard Josh Cullen 28'
  • yellowcard Charlie Taylor 56'
  • yellowcard Ameen Al Dakhil 67'
FA Cup
Jan 7, 2023 3.00pm
2
4
HT : 1 3
FT Vitality Stadium
  • Ryan Christie 12' goal
  • Dominic Solanke 48' goal
  • goal Manuel Benson 6'
  • goal Anass Zaroury 39'
  • goal Anass Zaroury 43'
  • goal Manuel Benson 57'
FA Cup
Feb 9, 2021 5.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Turf Moor
  • Dwight McNeil 85' yellowcard
  • Phil Bardsley 90' yellowcard
  • goal Sam Surridge 21'
  • goal Junior Stanislas 88'
  • yellowcard Jefferson Lerma 90'+4'
Premier League Gameweek 27
Feb 22, 2020 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT Turf Moor
  • Matej Vydra 53' goal
  • Jay Rodriguez 60' goal
  • Phil Bardsley 65' yellowcard
  • Aaron Lennon 84' yellowcard
  • Dwight McNeil 88' goal
  • Jeff Hendrick 89' yellowcard
  • Ben Mee 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Simon Francis 43'
  • yellowcard Adam Smith 90'
  • yellowcard Steve Cook 90'