Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bournemouth win with a probability of 48.95%. A draw had a probability of 25.83% and a win for Sunderland had a probability of 25.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bournemouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.75%) and 2-0 (8.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.46%) , while for a Sunderland win it was 0-1 (7.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.