Premier League Gameweek 28
Bournemouth
Feb 28, 2026 12.30pm
Vitality Stadium
Sunderland

Bournemouth vs Sunderland - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Bournemouth

All competitions
Last game
Feb 21, 2026 5.30pm
West Ham 0 - 0 Bournemouth
Goals scored
43
Top scorer
Amine Adli

Sunderland

All competitions
Last game
Feb 22, 2026 2.00pm
Sunderland 1 - 3 Fulham
Goals scored
28
Top scorer
Brian Brobbey

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Bournemouth win with a probability of 48.86%. A draw has a probability of 25.84% and a win for Sunderland has a probability of 25.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bournemouth win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.72%) and 2-0 (8.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.46%) , while for a Sunderland win it is 0-1 (7.73%).

Result

Bournemouth 48.86% ▼ (-0.11)
Draw 25.84%
Sunderland 25.27% ▲ (+0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.15% ▲ (+0.01)

Goals

Over 1.5 72.18% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 1.5 27.82% ▲ (+0.06)
Over 2.5 46.96% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 2.5 53.04% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 3.5 24.87% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 3.5 75.13% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 4.5 13.44% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 4.5 86.56% ▲ (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Bournemouth 35.03% ▼ (-0.04)
Draw 41.95% ▲ (+0.02)
Sunderland 23.02% ▲ (+0.04)

Team To Score First

Bournemouth 54.21% ▼ (-0.05)
No Goal 7.8%
Sunderland 37.99% ▲ (+0.06)

Corners

Over 8 61.46% ▼ (-0.76)
Equal 8 11.31% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 8 27.23% ▲ (+0.68)
Over 9 49.57% ▼ (-0.79)
Equal 9 11.88% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 9 38.54% ▲ (+0.76)
Over 10.5 38.16% ▼ (-0.75)
Under 10.5 61.84% ▲ (+0.75)

Bournemouth Goals

Over 1.5 43.79% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 1.5 56.21% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 2.5 18.97% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 2.5 81.03% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 3.5 6.41% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 3.5 93.59% ▲ (+0.03)

Sunderland Goals

Over 0.5 60.29% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 0.5 39.71% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 1.5 25.76% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 1.5 74.24% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 2.5 7.87% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 2.5 92.13% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 3.5 2% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 98% ▼ (-0.02)

Score analysis

Bournemouth 48.85%
Draw 25.84%
Sunderland 25.26%
Bournemouth
1-0 @ 12.24% ▼ (-0.02)
2-1 @ 9.72% ▼ (-0.02)
2-0 @ 8.82%
3-1 @ 4.62% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 4.45% ▼ (-0.04)
3-2 @ 2.65%
Other @ 6.35% ▼ (-0.03)
Total : 48.85%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.46%
0-0 @ 7.8%
2-2 @ 4.68%
Other @ 0.06%
Total : 25.84%
Sunderland
0-1 @ 7.73% ▲ (+0.03)
1-2 @ 6.61% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 3.95% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 2.13% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.6%
0-3 @ 1.3% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 1.94% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 25.26%

Head to Head

Premier League
Sunderland
Nov 29, 2025 3.00pm
3
2
HT : 1 2
FT
Bournemouth
  • Omar Alderete 21' yellowcard
  • Enzo Le Fee 30' goal
  • Bertrand Traore 46' goal
  • Trai Hume 65' yellowcard
  • Brian Brobbey 69' goal
  • Robin Roefs 90' yellowcard
  • Robin Roefs 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Nordi Mukiele 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Romaine Mundle 90'+8' yellowcard
  • goal Amine Adli 7'
  • goal Tyler Adams 15'
  • yellowcard Alex Scott 25'
  • yellowcard Andoni Iraola 75'
  • yellowcard Antoine Semenyo 86'
  • yellowcard Marcos Senesi 90'+1'
  • yellowcard David Brooks 90'+3'
  • redcard Lewis Cook 90'+6'
  • redcard 90'+6'
  • redcard 90'+7'
  • yellowcard Marcus Tavernier 90'+12'
  • yellowcard 90'+12'
Premier League
Sunderland
Apr 29, 2017 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Bournemouth
  • Steven Pienaar 46' yellowcard
  • Fabio Borini 76' yellowcard
  • Wahbi Khazri 78' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Lewis Cook 33'
  • yellowcard Harry Arter 76'
  • goal Joshua King 88'
Premier League
Bournemouth
Nov 5, 2016 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT
Sunderland
  • Harry Arter 3' yellowcard
  • Dan Gosling 11' goal
  • Joshua King 30' yellowcard
  • Adam Smith 73' yellowcard
  • goal Victor Anichebe 33'
  • yellowcard Steven Pienaar 43'
  • redcard Steven Pienaar 59'
  • yellowcard Victor Anichebe 70'
  • goal Jermain Defoe 74'
  • yellowcard Lynden Gooch 95'
Premier League
Sunderland
Jan 23, 2016 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT
Bournemouth
  • Patrick van Aanholt 45' goal
  • Billy Jones 89' yellowcard
  • goal Benik Afobe 13'
  • yellowcard Andrew Surman 18'
Premier League
Bournemouth
Sep 19, 2015 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT
Sunderland
  • Callum Wilson 4' goal
  • Matt Ritchie 9' goal
  • Dan Gosling 80' yellowcard
  • Glenn Murray 94' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Sebastian Coates 14'
  • yellowcard Billy Jones 24'
  • yellowcard Younes Kaboul 43'
  • yellowcard Fabio Borini 63'
  • redcard Younes Kaboul 74'
  • yellowcard Ola Toivonen 85'

Form Data

West Ham 0 - 0 Bournemouth
Everton 1 - 2 Bournemouth
Bournemouth 1 - 1 Aston Villa
Wolves 0 - 2 Bournemouth
Bournemouth 3 - 2 Liverpool
Brighton 1 - 1 Bournemouth
Sunderland 1 - 3 Fulham
Oxford Utd 0 - 1 Sunderland
Sunderland 0 - 1 Liverpool
Arsenal 3 - 0 Sunderland
Sunderland 3 - 0 Burnley
West Ham 3 - 1 Sunderland

Build-up

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