Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fulham win with a probability of 36.49%. A win for Sunderland had a probability of 36.2% and a draw had a probability of 27.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fulham win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.44%) and 0-2 (6.28%). The likeliest Sunderland win was 1-0 (10.35%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.