Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 50.04%. A draw had a probability of 26.31% and a win for Sunderland had a probability of 23.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.71%) and 1-2 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.81%) , while for a Sunderland win it was 1-0 (7.78%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.