FA Cup
Apr 4, 2026 8.00pm
St. Mary's Stadium

Southampton vs Arsenal - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Southampton

All competitions

Arsenal

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Arsenal win with a probability of 44.33%. A win for Southampton has a probability of 30.99% and a draw has a probability of 24.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a Arsenal win is 0-1 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (9.11%) and 0-2 (7.21%). The likeliest Southampton win is 1-0 (7.56%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.36%).

Result

Southampton 30.99% (+0.05)
Draw 24.68%
Arsenal 44.33% (-0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.43%

Goals

Over 1.5 76.21%
Under 1.5 23.79%
Over 2.5 52.88% (+0.06)
Under 2.5 47.12% (-0.06)
Over 3.5 30.8% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 69.2% (-0.04)
Over 4.5 18.03% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 81.97% (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Southampton 28.52%
Draw 39.77%
Arsenal 31.71%

Team To Score First

Southampton 43.98%
No Goal 6.65% (-0.01)
Arsenal 49.37% (+0.01)

Corners

Over 8 58.07% (+0.05)
Equal 8 10.67% (-0.01)
Under 8 31.26% (-0.04)
Over 9 47.16% (+0.04)
Equal 9 10.9%
Under 9 41.93% (-0.05)
Over 10.5 36.87% (+0.04)
Under 10.5 63.13% (-0.04)

Southampton Goals

Over 1.5 33% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 67% (-0.05)
Over 2.5 12.83% (+0.06)
Under 2.5 87.17% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 4.06% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 95.94% (-0.02)

Arsenal Goals

Over 0.5 74.82% (-0.06)
Under 0.5 25.18% (+0.06)
Over 1.5 43.77% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 56.23% (+0.05)
Over 2.5 19.72% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 80.28% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 7.72% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 92.28% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Southampton 31%
Draw 24.67%
Arsenal 44.31%
Southampton
1-0 @ 7.56%
2-1 @ 7.12% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 4.78%
3-1 @ 3.01% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.36% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 2.26% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.91% (+0.03)
Total : 31%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.36%
0-0 @ 6.65% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.37%
3-3 @ 1.14%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.67%
Arsenal
0-1 @ 9.56% (-0.02)
1-2 @ 9.11% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 7.21% (-0.03)
1-3 @ 4.38% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 3.58%
2-3 @ 2.9% (-0.02)
Other @ 7.57% (-0.01)
Total : 44.31%

Head to Head

Premier League Gameweek 38
May 25, 2025 4.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT St. Mary's Stadium
  • Ross Stewart 56' goal
  • goal Kieran Tierney 43'
  • goal Martin Odegaard 89'
Premier League Gameweek 7
Oct 5, 2024 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 0 0
FT Emirates Stadium
  • Kai Havertz 58' goal
  • Gabriel Martinelli 68' goal
  • Bukayo Saka 88' goal
  • yellowcard Kyle Walker-Peters 23'
  • yellowcard Jan Bednarek 34'
  • yellowcard Tyler Obling 38'
  • goal Cameron Archer 55'
Premier League Gameweek 32
Apr 21, 2023 8.00pm
3
3
HT : 1 2
FT
  • Gabriel Martinelli 20' goal
  • Martin Odegaard 88' goal
  • Bukayo Saka 90' goal
  • goal Carlos Alcaraz 1'
  • goal Theo Walcott 14'
  • goal Duje Caleta-Car 66'
Premier League Gameweek 13
Oct 23, 2022 2.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Stuart Armstrong 65' goal
  • goal Granit Xhaka 11'
Premier League Gameweek 33
Apr 16, 2022 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Jan Bednarek 44' goal
  • Armando Broja 56' yellowcard
  • Shane Long 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ben White 90'+1'
Premier League Gameweek 16
Dec 11, 2021 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Gabriel Magalhaes 3' yellowcard
  • Bukayo Saka 17' yellowcard
  • Alexandre Lacazette 21' goal
  • Martin Odegaard 27' goal
  • Gabriel Magalhaes 62' goal