Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 64.3%. A draw had a probability of 20.02% and a win for Sheffield Wednesday had a probability of 15.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.57%) and 1-2 (10.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.24%) , while for a Sheffield Wednesday win it was 1-0 (4.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.