Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 53.49%. A draw had a probability of 24.98% and a win for Charlton Athletic had a probability of 21.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (10.27%) and 2-0 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.77%) , while for a Charlton Athletic win it was 0-1 (6.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.