Championship Gameweek 33
Feb 21, 2026 3.00pm
St. Mary's Stadium

Southampton vs Charlton Athletic - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Southampton

All competitions
Last game
Feb 10, 2026 7.45pm
Leicester 3 - 4 Southampton
Goals scored
46
Top scorer
Adam Armstrong

Charlton Athletic

All competitions
Last game
Feb 17, 2026 7.45pm
Charlton 0 - 0 Portsmouth
Goals scored
27
Top scorer
Tyreece Campbell

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Southampton win with a probability of 53.49%. A draw has a probability of 24.97% and a win for Charlton Athletic has a probability of 21.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (10.25%) and 2-0 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.78%) , while for a Charlton Athletic win it is 0-1 (6.38%).

Result

Southampton 53.49% (-0.04)
Draw 24.97%
Charlton Athletic 21.54% (+0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.38% (+0.07)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.77% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 25.23% (-0.08)
Over 2.5 50.18% (+0.08)
Under 2.5 49.82% (-0.08)
Over 3.5 27.2% (+0.08)
Under 3.5 72.8% (-0.08)
Over 4.5 15.48% (+0.05)
Under 4.5 84.52% (-0.05)

First Half Winner

Southampton 37.09%
Draw 41.42%
Charlton Athletic 21.49%

Team To Score First

Southampton 57.44% (+0.04)
No Goal 7.15% (-0.02)
Charlton Athletic 35.41% (-0.02)

Corners

Over 8 65.71%
Equal 8 10.42%
Under 8 23.87%
Over 9 54.4%
Equal 9 11.31%
Under 9 34.29%
Over 10.5 43.14%
Under 10.5 56.86%

Southampton Goals

Over 1.5 49.42% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 50.58% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 23.14% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 76.86% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 8.59%
Under 3.5 91.41%

Charlton Athletic Goals

Over 0.5 57.52% (+0.11)
Under 0.5 42.48% (-0.11)
Over 1.5 23.92% (+0.09)
Under 1.5 76.08% (-0.08)
Over 2.5 7.19% (+0.05)
Under 2.5 92.81% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 1.69% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 98.31% (-0.01)

Score analysis

Southampton 53.5%
Draw 24.97%
Charlton Athletic 21.54%
Southampton
1-0 @ 11.71% (-0.03)
2-1 @ 10.25%
2-0 @ 9.61%
3-0 @ 5.59% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 5.19%
3-2 @ 2.72% (+0.02)
Other @ 8.43%
Total : 53.5%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.78% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 7.15% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 4.83% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.05% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.97%
Charlton Athletic
0-1 @ 6.38% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 5.98% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 3.2% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 1.7% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.59% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.16%
Other @ 1.53% (+0.02)
Total : 21.54%

Head to Head

Championship
Nov 22, 2025 12.30pm
1
5
HT : 0 0
FT
League One
Apr 5, 2011 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Lee Barnard 58' goal
League One
Mar 22, 2011 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Bradley Wright-Phillips 47' yellowcard
  • Miguel Angel Llera 79' yellowcard
  • Bradley Wright-Phillips 86' goal
  • goal Radhi Jaidi 64'
  • yellowcard Lee Barnard 79'
League One
Apr 10, 2010 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Michail Antonio 34' goal
  • Dean Hammond 45' yellowcard
League One
Sep 12, 2009 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Deon Burton 49' goal
  • Thierry Racon 56' yellowcard
  • Frazer Richardson 61' yellowcard
  • Kelly Youga 68' yellowcard
  • goal Adam Lallana 42'
  • yellowcard Dean Hammond 70'
  • yellowcard Wayne Thomas 83'
Championship
Apr 4, 2009 3.00pm
2
3
HT : 1 1
FT
  • David McGoldrick 17' goal
  • Paul Wotton 30' yellowcard
  • Bradley Wright-Phillips 84' goal
  • goal Jonjo Shelvey 7'
  • yellowcard Mark Hudson 50'
  • goal Thierry Racon 60'
  • yellowcard Tresor Kandol 67'
  • goal Nick Bailey 69'
  • yellowcard Jonjo Shelvey 73'
  • yellowcard Rob Elliot 90'