Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 50.29%. A win for Leicester City had a probability of 26.2% and a draw had a probability of 23.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 2-1 with a probability of 10.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.34%) and 2-0 (7.74%). The likeliest Leicester City win was 1-2 (6.84%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.