FA Cup
Southampton
Feb 14, 2026 3.00pm
St. Mary's Stadium
Leicester

Southampton vs Leicester City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Southampton

All competitions

Leicester City

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Southampton win with a probability of 50.35%. A win for Leicester City has a probability of 26.12% and a draw has a probability of 23.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win is 2-1 with a probability of 10.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (9.35%) and 2-0 (7.76%). The likeliest Leicester City win is 1-2 (6.83%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.38%).

Result

Southampton 50.35% ▲ (+0.07)
Draw 23.52% ▼ (-0.04)
Leicester City 26.12% ▼ (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.8% ▼ (-0.07)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.78% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 1.5 21.22% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 2.5 55.73% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 2.5 44.27% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 3.5 31.32% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 3.5 68.68% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 4.5 18.32% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 4.5 81.68% ▲ (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Southampton 39.78% ▼ (-0.19)
Draw 39.41% ▲ (+0.18)
Leicester City 20.81% ▲ (+0.01)

Team To Score First

Southampton 58.31% ▼ (-0.19)
No Goal 5.57% ▼ (-0.01)
Leicester City 36.12% ▲ (+0.20)

Corners

Over 8 61.69% ▲ (+0.04)
Equal 8 10.79% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 8 27.52% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 9 50.36% ▲ (+0.05)
Equal 9 11.34%
Under 9 38.31% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 10.5 39.41% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 10.5 60.59% ▼ (-0.05)

Southampton Goals

Over 1.5 49.58% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 1.5 50.42% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 2.5 24.17% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 2.5 75.83% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 3.5 8.83% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 3.5 91.17% ▲ (+0.02)

Leicester City Goals

Over 0.5 62.97% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 0.5 37.03% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 1.5 29.79%
Under 1.5 70.21%
Over 2.5 10.28% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 2.5 89.72% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 3.5 2.96% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 3.5 97.04% ▲ (+0.04)

Score analysis

Southampton 50.35%
Draw 23.52%
Leicester City 26.13%
Southampton
2-1 @ 10.26% ▼ (-0.01)
1-0 @ 9.35% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 7.76%
3-0 @ 5.55% ▲ (+0.05)
3-1 @ 5.24% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 3.39% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 8.8%
Total : 50.35%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.38% ▲ (+0.03)
0-0 @ 5.57% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.38% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.16%
Other @ 0.03% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 23.52%
Leicester City
1-2 @ 6.83% ▲ (+0.03)
0-1 @ 6.3% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 3.91% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 2.37% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 2.01% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.78% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.93% ▼ (-0.03)
Total : 26.13%

Head to Head

Championship Gameweek 32
Leicester
Feb 10, 2026 7.45pm
3
4
HT : 3 0
FT King Power Stadium
Southampton
  • Divine Mukasa 9' goal
  • Patson Daka 13' goal
  • Abdul Fatawu 29' goal
  • Louis Page 64' yellowcard
  • Jamaal Lascelles 75' yellowcard
  • Jordan Ayew 84' yellowcard
  • Silko Thomas 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kuryu Matsuki 46'
  • yellowcard Shea Charles 46'
  • yellowcard Ross Stewart 46'
  • goal Ross Stewart 61'
  • yellowcard Ryan Manning 73'
  • yellowcard Cyle Larin 79'
  • goal Jack Stephens 82'
  • goal Ryan Manning 86'
  • goal Shea Charles 90'+6'
Championship
Southampton
Nov 25, 2025 8.00pm
3
0
HT : 3 0
FT
Leicester
  • Taylor Harwood-Bellis 18' goal
  • Finn Azaz 23' goal
  • Taylor Harwood-Bellis 42' goal
  • Flynn Downes 68' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Olabade Aluko 5'
  • yellowcard 5'
  • yellowcard Olabade Aluko 33'
Premier League Gameweek 35
Leicester
May 3, 2025 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT King Power Stadium
Southampton
  • Jamie Vardy 17' goal
  • Jordan Ayew 44' goal
  • Oliver Skipp 68' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kamal Deen Sulemana 52'
  • yellowcard Lesley Ugochukwu 65'
  • yellowcard Taylor Harwood-Bellis 75'
Premier League Gameweek 8
Southampton
Oct 19, 2024 3.00pm
2
3
HT : 2 0
FT St. Mary's Stadium
Leicester
  • Ryan Manning 6' yellowcard
  • Cameron Archer 8' goal
  • Mateus Fernandes 10' yellowcard
  • Joe Aribo 28' goal
  • Taylor Harwood-Bellis 33' yellowcard
  • Tyler Obling 36' yellowcard
  • Yukinari Sugawara 49' yellowcard
  • Ryan Fraser 73' redcard
  • Russell Martin 90'+9' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jamie Vardy 52'
  • yellowcard Facundo Buonanotte 62'
  • goal Facundo Buonanotte 64'
  • yellowcard Harry Winks 70'
  • goal Jamie Vardy 74'
  • goal Jordan Ayew 90'+8'
Championship Gameweek 38
Leicester
Apr 23, 2024 8.00pm
5
0
HT : 1 0
FT King Power Stadium
Southampton
  • Abdul Fatawu 25' goal
  • Wilfred Ndidi 62' goal
  • Jannik Vestergaard 66' yellowcard
  • Abdul Fatawu 75' goal
  • Jamie Vardy 79' goal
  • Abdul Fatawu 81' goal
Championship Gameweek 6
Southampton
Sep 15, 2023 8.00pm
1
4
HT : 1 3
FT St. Mary's Stadium
Leicester
  • Samuel Edozie 25' goal
  • William Smallbone 32' yellowcard
  • Ryan Manning 73' yellowcard
  • Kamal Deen Sulemana 90'+7' redcard
  • goal Jamie Vardy 1'
  • goal Kasey McAteer 18'
  • yellowcard Enzo Maresca 33'
  • yellowcard Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall 39'
  • goal Wilfred Ndidi 45'+3'
  • yellowcard Harry Winks 51'
  • goal Stephy Mavididi 67'
  • yellowcard Abdul Fatawu 73'
  • yellowcard Yunus Akgun 90'+2'

Form Data

Leicester 3 - 4 Southampton
Southampton 1 - 0 Watford
Stoke 0 - 2 Southampton
Portsmouth 0 - 0 Southampton
Southampton 1 - 0 Sheff Utd
Southampton 0 - 0 Hull City
Leicester 3 - 4 Southampton
Birmingham 2 - 1 Leicester
Leicester 0 - 2 Charlton
Leicester 1 - 2 Oxford Utd
Wrexham 1 - 1 Leicester
Coventry 0 - 0 Leicester