Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 41.65%. A win for Leicester City had a probability of 34.53% and a draw had a probability of 23.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.07%) and 0-2 (6.06%). The likeliest Leicester City win was 2-1 (7.98%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.43%).