Championship Gameweek 34
Feb 24, 2026 8.00pm
St. Mary's Stadium

Southampton vs Queens Park Rangers - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Southampton

All competitions
Last game
Feb 21, 2026 3.00pm
Southampton 1 - 1 Charlton
Goals scored
49
Top scorer
Adam Armstrong

Queens Park Rangers

All competitions
Last game
Feb 21, 2026 12.30pm
Hull City 1 - 3 QPR
Goals scored
46
Top scorer
Rumarn Burrell

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Southampton win with a probability of 51.15%. A draw has a probability of 25.68% and a win for Queens Park Rangers has a probability of 23.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.88%) and 2-0 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.03%) , while for a Queens Park Rangers win it is 0-1 (7.23%).

Result

Southampton 51.15% (-0.15)
Draw 25.68%
Queens Park Rangers 23.17% (+0.13)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.39% (+0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 73.09% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 26.91% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 48.48% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 51.52% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 26.1% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 73.9% (-0.01)
Over 4.5 14.33% (-0.01)
Under 4.5 85.67% (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Southampton 36.28%
Draw 43.39%
Queens Park Rangers 20.33%

Team To Score First

Southampton 57.41% (+0.03)
No Goal 7.71% (-0.01)
Queens Park Rangers 34.88% (-0.02)

Corners

Over 8 68.94% (-0.08)
Equal 8 9.88%
Under 8 21.19% (+0.09)
Over 9 57.92% (-0.06)
Equal 9 11.02% (-0.01)
Under 9 31.06% (+0.08)
Over 10.5 46.66% (-0.05)
Under 10.5 53.34% (+0.05)

Southampton Goals

Over 1.5 46.68% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 53.32% (+0.08)
Over 2.5 21.13% (-0.07)
Under 2.5 78.87% (+0.07)
Over 3.5 7.43% (-0.05)
Under 3.5 92.57% (+0.04)

Queens Park Rangers Goals

Over 0.5 58.76% (+0.11)
Under 0.5 41.24% (-0.11)
Over 1.5 24.66% (+0.11)
Under 1.5 75.34% (-0.11)
Over 2.5 7.32% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 92.68% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 1.69% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 98.31% (-0.01)

Score analysis

Southampton 51.14%
Draw 25.68%
Queens Park Rangers 23.16%
Southampton
1-0 @ 11.95% (-0.08)
2-1 @ 9.88%
2-0 @ 9.19% (-0.05)
3-0 @ 5.01% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.96% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 2.79% (+0.02)
Other @ 7.36% (-0.03)
Total : 51.14%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.03%
0-0 @ 7.71% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 4.93% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.07% (-0.01)
Total : 25.68%
Queens Park Rangers
0-1 @ 7.23% (+0.03)
1-2 @ 6.21% (+0.05)
0-2 @ 3.41% (+0.03)
1-3 @ 1.87%
2-3 @ 1.55%
0-3 @ 1.27% (+0.02)
Other @ 1.62% (+0.03)
Total : 23.16%

Head to Head

Championship
Nov 5, 2025 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Championship Gameweek 23
Dec 23, 2023 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Kiyan Prince Foundation Stadium
  • Elijah Dixon-Bonner 45'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Taylor Harwood-Bellis 42'
  • yellowcard Joe Aribo 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Shea Charles 68'
  • yellowcard Che Adams 71'
  • redcard Shea Charles 89'
  • yellowcard Jack Stephens 90'+3'
Championship Gameweek 4
Aug 26, 2023 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT St. Mary's Stadium
  • Ryan Manning 11' yellowcard
  • Stuart Armstrong 19' yellowcard
  • Carlos Alcaraz 29' yellowcard
  • Samuel Edozie 30' goal
  • Adam Armstrong 64' goal
  • Ryan Fraser 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Jack Colback 32'
  • yellowcard Stephen Duke-McKenna 87'
  • yellowcard Sam Field 89'
Premier League
Feb 7, 2015 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Joey Barton 14' yellowcard
  • Clint Hill 58' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Morgan Schneiderlin 75'
  • goal Sadio Mane 93'
  • yellowcard Fraser Forster 96'
Premier League
Sep 27, 2014 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Nathaniel Clyne 26' yellowcard
  • Sadio Mane 32' yellowcard
  • Ryan Bertrand 54' goal
  • Graziano Pelle 68' goal
  • yellowcard Karl Henry 29'
  • goal Charlie Austin 66'
Premier League
Mar 2, 2013 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Gaston Ramirez 45' goal
  • Jose Fonte 45' yellowcard
  • goal Loïc Remy 14'
  • yellowcard Jay Bothroyd 17'
  • yellowcard Stéphane M'Bia 24'
  • yellowcard Armand Traore 45'
  • goal Jay Bothroyd 77'