Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coventry City win with a probability of 54.39%. A draw had a probability of 23.07% and a win for Southampton had a probability of 22.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Coventry City win was 2-1 with a probability of 10.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.85%) and 2-0 (8.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.84%) , while for a Southampton win it was 1-2 (5.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.