Championship Gameweek 35
Feb 28, 2026 3.00pm
The Coventry Building Society Arena

Coventry City vs Stoke City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Coventry City

All competitions
Last game
Feb 25, 2026 7.45pm
Sheff Utd 1 - 2 Coventry
Goals scored
70
Top scorer
Ellis Simms

Stoke City

All competitions
Last game
Feb 25, 2026 8.00pm
Stoke 2 - 1 Oxford Utd
Goals scored
38
Top scorer
Sorba Thomas

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Coventry City win with a probability of 58.23%. A draw has a probability of 24.32% and a win for Stoke City has a probability of 17.44%.

The most likely scoreline for a Coventry City win is 1-0 with a probability of 14.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (11.22%) and 2-1 (9.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.02%) , while for a Stoke City win it is 0-1 (6.55%).

Result

Coventry City 58.23% (+0.04)
Draw 24.32% (+0.09)
Stoke City 17.44% (-0.17)

Both Teams to Score: 

44.98% (-0.22)

Goals

Over 1.5 70.44% (-0.11)
Under 1.5 29.56% (+0.10)
Over 2.5 45.48% (-0.05)
Under 2.5 54.52% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 24.28% (-0.12)
Under 3.5 75.72% (+0.13)
Over 4.5 14.32% (-0.04)
Under 4.5 85.68% (+0.05)

First Half Winner

Coventry City 41.9% (-0.03)
Draw 41.06% (+0.02)
Stoke City 17.04% (+0.01)

Team To Score First

Coventry City 61.52% (-0.08)
No Goal 8.86% (+0.09)
Stoke City 29.62%

Corners

Over 8 59.08% (+0.04)
Equal 8 11.47% (+0.01)
Under 8 29.45% (-0.06)
Over 9 47.27% (+0.03)
Equal 9 11.81% (+0.01)
Under 9 40.92% (-0.04)
Over 10.5 36.12%
Under 10.5 63.88%

Coventry City Goals

Over 1.5 49.6% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 50.4% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 23.53% (+0.06)
Under 2.5 76.47% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 9.26% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 90.74% (-0.03)

Stoke City Goals

Over 0.5 50.27% (-0.13)
Under 0.5 49.73% (+0.13)
Over 1.5 17.76% (-0.12)
Under 1.5 82.24% (+0.12)
Over 2.5 4.55% (-0.07)
Under 2.5 95.45% (+0.07)
Over 3.5 1.02% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 98.98% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Coventry City 58.24%
Draw 24.33%
Stoke City 17.44%
Coventry City
1-0 @ 14.16% (+0.06)
2-0 @ 11.22% (-0.06)
2-1 @ 9.98% (+0.04)
3-0 @ 6.29% (+0.05)
3-1 @ 4.96% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.42% (-0.02)
Other @ 9.21%
Total : 58.24%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.02% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 8.86% (+0.09)
2-2 @ 3.8% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.05% (+0.03)
Total : 24.33%
Stoke City
0-1 @ 6.55% (-0.05)
1-2 @ 4.28%
0-2 @ 2.71% (-0.04)
1-3 @ 1.22% (-0.04)
2-3 @ 1.07% (-0.04)
Other @ 0.97% (-0.04)
Total : 17.44%

Head to Head

FA Cup
Jan 10, 2026 3.00pm
Britannia Stadium
Championship
Nov 8, 2025 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Championship Gameweek 36
Mar 8, 2025 12.30pm
3
2
HT : 2 0
FT The Coventry Building Society Arena
  • Victor Torp 22' goal
  • Victor Torp 31' goal
  • Matt Grimes 89' yellowcard
  • Bobby Thomas 90'+7' goal
  • goal Sam Gallagher 65'
  • yellowcard Ashley Phillips 77'
  • goal Sam Gallagher 86'
  • yellowcard Wouter Burger 90'
  • yellowcard Junior Tchamadeu 90'+6'
Championship Gameweek 1
Aug 10, 2024 12.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Bet365 Stadium
  • Jordan Thompson 69' yellowcard
  • Lewis Baker 78' goal
  • Josh Laurent 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Luis Binks 3'
Championship Gameweek 33
Feb 17, 2024 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Bet365 Stadium
  • Jordan Thompson 8' yellowcard
  • Lewis Baker 45' yellowcard
  • goal Ellis Simms 51'
  • yellowcard Callum O'Hare 86'
Championship Gameweek 16
Nov 11, 2023 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT The Coventry Building Society Arena
  • Liam Kitching 79' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Mehdi Leris 61'