Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coventry City win with a probability of 58.23%. A draw had a probability of 24.32% and a win for Stoke City had a probability of 17.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Coventry City win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.22%) and 2-1 (9.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.02%) , while for a Stoke City win it was 0-1 (6.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.